If DMK loses polls, blame their Renewable Energy policy in Tamil Nadu

Tamil Nadu had finally voted on April 13th though counting is on May 13th. In what is seen as an extremely tight contest with tempers rising high during the campaign, among the major poll issues was the acute power shortage faced by the state. With voting over, Tamil Nadu is set to face longer power outages following a decision by the Tamil Nadu Generation and Distribution Corporation (TANGEDCO) to increase the load shedding period from two hours to three hours every day.

Chennai faces an-hour-long power cut while other parts of the state it will be not less than 3 hours a day. The TANGEDCO decision comes in the face of an increasing power deficit in the State, combined with rising deficits in other States.  

 

As an energy consultant observed "Tamil Nadu has put too many of its eggs in the wind basket." 

Read more: http://exitopinionpollsindia.blogspot.com/2011/04/if-dmk-loses-polls-blame-their.html

As La Nina Tapers off, How will the Monsoons behave?

The IMD finally released their monsoon forecast, after dithering for some time.  Speaking to CNBC-TV18's Karan Thapar, Ajit Tyagi, Director General of the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), said this year the forecast in quantitative terms is of 98%, which falls in the normal category. 

"We are confident within the model areas of plus/minus 5%. In extreme cases to be below normal category, which is between 90 and 96%—to be preciously the 93%, if we minus 5% from the 98%," he said raising hopes of higher farm output that could help the government tame high food prices."

As per the latest data from the Bureau of Meteorology, Australia, the La Niña, which brought above normal rainfall to India last year, has run its course with the central Pacific returning to El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO)  neutral conditions as reflected by the Nino 3.4 Index being 0.4 C deg. Since January this year, due to the La Niña effect, daytime maxima have been too low for ‘monsoon comfort’ since sustained heating of the northwest region is crucial to set up the keenly watched ‘heat low’ to build. The heat low builds due to sustained heating of northwest India, adjoining Pakistan and the Arabia desert.  

It is these conditions what posed a dilemma for IMD in their forecast of the monsoon and they dithered finalizing it until it became clear that we have returned to ENSO neutral conditions by mid-April, which can reduce rainfall. in the country. We can now hope that daytime maxima returns to normal fully in May to establish the south-westerly monsoon wind regime before heavy monsoon rains start over western India. Unlike other low-pressure areas, the ‘heat low’ is topped up by clear, cloud-free skies due to special reasons associated with the geography.

Read More: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/04/as-la-nina-tapers-off-how-will-indian.html

It’s their DNA that drives NGOs to embrace Climate Porn

The hysterical rhetoric used by many environmentalists and NGOs to hype the threat of global warming had been termed by Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR), a left-leaning British think tank as ‘Climate Porn' who elaborated:

“This alarmist interpretation is characterized by an inflated sense of urgency and cinematic tones. The public become disempowered because it's too big for them; and when it sounds like science fiction, there is an element of the unreal there."

On July 15th 2009 Greenpeace issued a press release claiming, “As permanent ice decreases, we are looking at ice-free summers in the Arctic as early as 2030.” Just a month later, Gerd Leipold then boss of Greenpeace was forced to admit that his organization put out false and misleading information about the Arctic ice melts. When confronted on the BBC’s ‘Hardtalk’ program, Leipold said it “may have been a mistake” but justified the claims saying:

"We as a pressure group have to emotionalize issues and we’re not ashamed of emotionalizing issues.”

As a climatologist Leipold should have known the Greenpeace claim of permanent Arctic melt was complete scientific nonsense. But instead he justifies this decision on the ground that emotionalizing issues is a compulsive behaviour of a pressure group as if dictated by a recessive trait of its DNA!

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/03/its-their-dna-that-drives-ngos-to.html

Solar Theory Emerges the Most Plausible explanation to Earthquakes

“Just hours after the horrific earthquake and tsunami devastated coastal areas of Japan, global warming alarmists like the BBC are already injecting climate change propaganda into their coverage of the story, hastily exploiting the tragedy as a vehicle through which to push their increasingly desperate and discredited enviro-fascist agenda.

If you thought that climate change alarmists wouldn't be so insensitive as to build their warped argument on the bodies of freshly dead corpses, then think again."

http://www.propagandamatrix.com

 

Global warmists now claim that the recent double whammy, earthquake and Tsunami, suffered by Japan were on account of Global Warming.

So let’s begin by checking global temperatures. As seen in the above graph, the last two months (January & February) UAH Satellite data indicates that average global temperature anomaly has slipped into the negative band due to the La Niña effect. Temperatures are back to those of the seventies cooling. In Japan, is still in winter. Victims of these recent extreme events in Japan have to face snow and sub-zero temperatures, which is the reason India sent tons of blankets - to make our small relief contribution count! So what global warming are we talking about?

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/03/solar-theory-emerges-most-plausible.html

Record snowfall in HP revives 2,000 glaciers

MANALI: Record snowfall in Himachal this year has revived more than 2,000 glaciers.

Almora's G B Pant Institute of Himalayan Environment and Development's senior scientist J C Kuniyal said apart from reviving the glaciers , this year's record snowfall would also boost the crop cycle. "It is difficult to understand the environment. As we start talking about the dry winters, record snowfall leaves stunned everyone," he said.

He cautioned that unequal snowfall remains a matter of concern. But Lahaul-Spiti has received more than 175-cm snow in first 16 days of February, breaking the earlier record of 148-cm for the month in 1998.

Wonder why a senior climatologist should admit being stunned by record snowfall this year?  This blog has been regularly warning of such a prospect linked with a strong La Niña from July last year!

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/02/record-snowfall-revives-2000-himalayan.html

Are Weather Extremities Increasing? Scientific consensus swings to say they don't

The idea that climate extremes are supposed to get more frequent and in intensity is one of the most omni-present manifestations of the climate doomsday religion.

The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project is the latest attempt by the climatologist research fraternity to seek an answer to this question whether weather extremities are on the rise. The project by using super-computers generated a dataset of global atmospheric circulation from 1871 to the present. As the extract of the Wall Street Journal in its article, The Weather Isn’t Getting Weirder  illustrates, the project’s initial findings, published last month, show no evidence of an intensifying weather trend:

“In the climate models, the extremes get more extreme as we move into a doubled CO2 world in 100 years", atmospheric scientist Gilbert Compo, one of the researchers on the project, tells me from his office at the University of Colorado, Boulder. “So we were surprised that none of the three major indices of climate variability that we used show a trend of increased circulation going back to 1871.” In other words, researchers have yet to find evidence of more-extreme weather patterns over the period, contrary to what the models predict. “There’s no data-driven answer yet to the question of how human activity has affected extreme weather,” adds Roger Pielke Jr., another University of Colorado climate researcher."

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/02/are-weather-extremities-increasing-ngos.html

Dr. Madhav Khandekar Lecture, Mumbai: The Unsettled Science Of Global Warming: Where Do We Go From Here?

Friday, 25th February 2011, From 4.00 p.m. to 5.30 p.m.
Marshal Hall, Jawaharlal Nehru Library,
Vidyanagari, University of Mumbai, Santacruz (East), Mumbai

It is with great pleasure to let you know Prof Dr. Madhav Khandekar is in India and giving a lecture next week. Many of you may ask just who exactly is Dr. Madhav Khandekar?

Dr. Madhav Khandekar is a former research scientist from Environment Canada (in Toronto, Canada) and has been in the weather & climate science for over 53 years. He holds an M. Sc. degree in Statistics from Pune University and an M. S. and Ph. D. degree in meteorology from the Florida State University, USA. Dr. Khandekar has published well over 130 research papers, including over 40 peer-reviewed papers in various international Journals and authored a book on ocean surface wave analysis and modeling, published by Springer-Verlag in 1989.

Khandekar is presently on the editorial board of the Journal Natural Hazards (Netherlands) and is a former editor of the journal Climate Research (Germany). He was an expert reviewer for the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) AR4 published in 2007.  Dr. Khandekar continues his research at present on global warming/extreme weather link and Indian/Asian Monsoon inter-annual variability. He is also closely associated with the  "Natural Resource Stewardship Project" (NRSP), led by a pal of mine, executive director Tom Harris and renowned climatologist, Dr. Tim Ball.

For more details: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/02/dr-madhav-khandekar-lecture-mumbai.html

With Genghis Khan as their new icon, climate activists now openly flaunt their anti-human ideology

“Genghis Khan and his Mongol hordes had an impact on the global carbon cycle as big as today’s annual demand for gasoline.”

A study published by the website http://carsandpeople.sdsu.edu/ from San Diego State University goes so far to calculate one car is of 18 human equivalents. Accordingly, if Genghis Khan killed 40 million people, this is tantamount to 2,222,222 Genghis Khan Equivalents! Put simply, Genghis Khan and his Mongol hordes had an impact on the global carbon cycle as big as today’s annual demand for gasoline!

The study claimed that the Mongol invasion scrubbed off nearly 700 million tons of carbon from the atmosphere, cooling the planet as it roughly equals the amount of carbon global society now produces annually from gasoline.  Climate Depot blog further reported that the study concluded:

“Over the course of the century and a half run of the Mongol Empire, about 22 percent of the world's total land area had been conquered and an estimated 40 million people were slaughtered by the horse-driven, bow-wielding hordes. Depopulation over such a large swath of land meant that countless numbers of cultivated fields eventually returned to forests.

In other words, one effect of Genghis Khan's unrelenting invasion was widespread reforestation, and the re-growth of those forests meant that more carbon could be absorbed from the atmosphere...the longevity of the Mongol invasion made it stand out as having the biggest impact on the world's climate."

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/with-genghis-khan-as-their-new-icon.html

Breaking: Indian Environment Ministry formally challenges Human induced Global Warming

Jairam Ramesh, India's dynamic Environment Minister has done it again. A paper published by his ministry termed UN Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s claim on human induced global warming, as highly exaggerated as the latter's impact is significantly reduced by Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) that is responsible for low cloud formation over earth in the last 150 years.

The paper's lead author was U R Rao, former chairman of Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) and was released by Jairam Ramesh himself. Analyzing the data between 1960 and 2005, Rao found that lesser GCRs were reaching the earth due to increase in solar magnetic field and thereby leading to increase in global warming. Says the paper:

“We conclude that the contribution to climate change due to the change in galactic cosmic ray intensity is quite significant and needs to be factored into the prediction of global warming and its effect on sea level raise and weather prediction.”

The real blow to the global warmist movement is when Jairam Ramesh defended climate scepticism and cautioned against foreign funded agendas of environmental organizations and NGOs like WWF, Greenpeace, Oxfam, Christian Aid, ActionAid  in the name of Climate Justice activism etc :

“There is a groupthink in climate science today. Anyone who raises alternative climate theories is immediately branded as a climate atheist in an atmosphere of climate evangelists,” he said. “Climate science is incredibly more complex than [developed countries] negotiators make it out to be… Climate science should not be driven by the West. We should not always be dependent on outside reports.”

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/breaking-indian-environment-ministry.html

June 2010: Drought in Sri Lanka is your fault; January 2011: Record rain in Sri Lanka is your fault - Tom Nelson

Droughts, floods, cold, heat and what have you, everything is climate change. Six months ago, Sri Lanka experienced a drought due to the El Niño effect and this month a flood due to the La Niña effect. "Sustainable or organic farming" had been given a big boost by humanitarian organizations after the Tsunami of 2004. 

And yet, the drought and floods within a space of six months have pushed Sri Lanka into a food crisis - the food shortage to be felt in the months ahead. All their "sustainable" experiments"washed away by these weather extremes.

When will NGOs get over their global warming obsession? They can  only start making an impact if they track ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation)  a natural oceanic cycle, in their adaptation and mitigation programmes.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/june-2010-drought-in-sri-lanka-is-your.html

What happens when WWF is in charge of the weather department?

This is a fast developing story. The forecast that global temperatures will rise by 4C by the end of this century is provided by the UK Met Office which Climate Justice Activists latch on to create mass hysteria.

So you may ask, why a photo of the popular Jack Nicholson movie “One flew over Cuckoo’s Nest”? 

It’s because, the head of the Met Office was the former chief of WWF, UK and paid a salary higher than the Prime Minister of the UK. He brought with him many of his WFF colleagues with him. They practically run the UK Met Office.

For the last 3 years, the Met Office consistently predicted barbeque summers and milder winters to end up with mud on their faces. Last year, despite their winter forecast turning wrong, the Met Office still believed that cold winters will become rare:

"The winter so far has been one of the coldest for nearly 30 years in Britain, but such icy weather was more common in centuries past and should become even rarer going forward."

This year too they had been reduced to a laughing stock when their current winter forecast proved a failure - the third in successive years. But now they are fighting for their credibility by claiming that they informed the British government in late October this year of the possibility of a very cold winter, which is great if true. The problem is that they feed the BBC and the general public a contrary forecast - you guessed it, milder winter. The Met Office is the official weather agency for the BBC, so why this duplicity? 

Once this story broke out, the BBC got so enraged that they filed a Freedom of Information request that pitted the BBC, Met Office and UK government one against the other. Public opinion within UK is growing to institute a parliamentary probe on this matter. The global warming propaganda machine of the UK is finally beginning to get unstuck. And once it does, it will be to the utter embarrassment of NGOs and environmental organizations that tout themselves as Climate Justice Movement!

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/what-happens-when-wwf-is-in-charge-of.html

Europe to face nightmare floods from sudden snow thaw

Last month, the big chill  in Europe was the second worst in over 300 years. The culprit was a large area of high pressure formed over the Atlantic, blocking the warm Westerlies. One reason we have seen such large amounts of snow is the pressure is much lower than normal, allowing the air to rise and form deeper clouds, therefore producing heavier showers.

Now comes the sudden thaw in parts Europe as milder Atlantic air overcomes this block. The thaw, after a period of severe winter weather, comes as a relief - but one that has its own risks and challenges. With several days of steady rain the continent is bracing itself for unprecedented winter flooding. The cold has frozen rivers and the risk that rivers could flood is high as an unsettled Atlantic weather system moves in, bringing with a rapid rise in the temperature and heavy rainfall. It is the rains coinciding with thaw that ups the risk of nightmare floods. How nightmarish the floods could be will depend upon the intensity of rain on one hand and the rapidity of the thaw on the other.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/europe-to-face-nightmare-floods-from.html

1998 remains hottest year in recorded history. 2010 falters at the finishing line

According to UAH (satellite) data, 1998 (+0.424 deg. C) barely edged out 2010 (+0.411 deg. C), which suggests a whisker of a win for 1998. The margin 0.01 is not statistically significant but what is significant is that for the last 12 years, there is no evidence of accelerating global warming trend. There is of course an underlying warming trend since 1979, but it is not linear, and basically flatlined over the last 12 years. 

If 2010 is one of the warmest in recorded, then 2011 is likely to be one of the coldest as evident from Dr Roy Spencer's comments:
 

 “The following plot shows global average sea surface temperatures from the AMSR-E instrument over the lifetime of the Aqua satellite, through Dec 31, 2010. The SSTs at the end of December suggest that the tropospheric temperatures in the previous graph still have a ways to fall in the coming months to catch up to the ocean, which should now be approaching its coolest point if it follows the course of previous La Nina’s”

Read More: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2011/01/1998-remains-hottest-year-in-recorded.html

“Global Warming” gets out of Control - Now creates “Global Cooling”

"We are told the earth continues to get warmer, yet it’s feeling a lot colder outside.” 

And as it does, we may logically conclude so much for global warming and the prediction of snow’s extinction.  This probably led Dr Tim Ball, a respected climatologist to comment in his blog:

 “Nasty old Mother Nature causes the demise by going about her normal business. As the old advertisement said, it’s not nice to fool with Mother Nature. The Northern Hemisphere winter is already proving once again that global warming is another undelivered government promise.” 

Life apparently isn’t that straightforward.

Since 1998, the hottest year in recorded history, there is no statistically significant warming trend. And yet, none of the 24 models used by the IPCC view that as even possible.  Simply put, they are at odds with reality. So what do global warmists do? They precisely did what Albert Einstein warned about of science regressing into a religion whenever facts are changed to suit theory instead of the other way round.The result is, you guessed it - all this cooling is due to global warming! This led to Steven Goddard in his blog  to observe:   

“No matter what the weather did or does, climate scientists blame it on global warming. Every event in nature is now seen as a sign of global warming. If it weren’t for CO2, the weather would be different and somehow better.”

Read More:

http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2010/12/global-warming-gets-out-of-control-now.html

Brrrr. Snow in New Delhi this winter - High Probability?

Last week, there was no let up in the cold conditions in New Delhi. The minimum temperature dropped further in the city to 4.7 degrees Celsius last Wednesday. This is in contrast to last year in December, were minimum temperatures touched only a low of 5.2 degrees during this month.

However, the all-time record for the lowest temperature December was registered in 1945, when it touched 1.1 degrees and that for January is -0.6 degrees recorded on January 16, 1935. In the recent past also near zero degree temperature (0.2 degree Celsius) was recorded on January 8, 2006 where Delhites woke-up surprised to see snow.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2010/12/brrrr-snow-in-new-delhi-this-winter.html

I’m dreaming of a White Christmas”: A Carol with Global Warmist Undertones

This has to be one of the most recognizable song lyrics out there during every Christmas season. White Christmas was actually written in 1940 by an Irving Berlin for the 1942 movie "Holiday Inn" starring Bing Crosby and Fred Astaire. 

Songs often reflect the times. As seen from the graph, the period 1920-45 was a period the globe experienced warming at a scale matching those seen during 1977-2000. In fact the warmest year for USA remains 1934 and then only 1998 according to NASA data. A snow covered Christmas Day was a rarity then and Irving Berlin captured within the lyrics the nostalgia when snow was more common, perhaps explaining the sheer magnetism the song holds.

The planet undergoes a warm-cool oscillation on an average, every 25-30 years, correlating significantly with a climatic phenomenon called Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) as seen in the graph. Living almost in a quarter of a century within the same cycle will tend to prompt almost anybody to forget what it meant living in an opposite cycle. 

As was the case of Irving Berlin in the 40s, it was also the same at turn of the millennium, wherein almost two decades of warming made most forget that a global cooling mode is next to come as part of earth’s natural climatic variability.  An article in the UK’s Independent newspaper with a dateline 20 March 2000 best illustrated this popular fallacy when it predicted snow will become extinct:

"According to Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia, within a few years winter snowfall will become "a very rare and exciting event. Children just aren't going to know what snow is”

 Read more:  http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2010/12/im-dreaming-of-white-christmas-carol.html

Cancun Climate "Deal: A Mirage of Progress

Not perfect, no treaty, not binding, fails to establish a firm date for negotiators to reach a conclusion on a new climate treaty, but a deal has been struck. The agreement says that developing countries will have to take "nationally appropriate actions" to curb their emissions by 2020. Hence, developing nations don't have to take targeted emission cuts like their developed counterparts. And the developed countries need not have any legally binding commitments.  A compromise to accommodate everyone (almost everyone, except for Bolvia)  ......The deal  made a grab for the lower hanging fruits and includes a Green Climate Fund that would give $133 billion a year in aid to poor nations by 2020, measures to protect tropical forests and ways to share clean energy technologies. These are sops to the developing countries for their part in the compromise. The only problem is that the details in operationalizing these measures are still not finalized.

Read More: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2010/12/cancun-climate-deal-mirage-of-progress.html

Cancún hit by coldest ever December.

For several years now, we sceptics have bemusedly eyed a phenomenon known as “The Gore Effect”, in veneration of Global Warming’s High Priest and US ex-Vice President, Al Gore.  It describes almost a seemingly causal relationship of temperature decrease whenever global warming or when a global warming event is held. The Gore Effect" has rather a long and uniquely entertaining history. In simple terms, it strikes the warmists whenever and wherever they gather as if Mother Nature herself is mocking their climate hysteria.

Cancún has a tropical climate, specifically a tropical wet and dry climate with little temperature differences between seasons, but pronounced rainy seasons. The city is warm year-round, and moderated by onshore trade winds, with an annual mean temperature of 27.1 °C (80.8 °F). This placed the odds stacked heavily against a Gore Effect strike Cancun. And yet, it didn’t fail us. For six consecutive days during the Cancun Meet, temperatures hit a 100 year low!

Read More:  http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2010/12/cancun-hit-by-coldest-ever-december-who.html

Cancun Speeds up the end of Climate Hysteria

The low expectations of the Cancun UNFCC, COP 16 however misleads as it gives an impression that almost nothing will materialize as tangible outcomes. Judging from the first week proceedings, we climate sceptics are being forced to radically revise this faulty perception. With all humility we confess, we were wrong, so wrong. Never in our wildest imagination did we expect Cancun would set the ball rolling for the quicker end of this global warming scam.

Three developments in particular triggered our revision of perception. The most significant setback to climate alarmists was Japan’s refusal to extend their Kyoto commitments. The Guardian reported “The forthrightness of the statement took people by surprise, said one British official". Soon after Japan’s stunner came UN climate chief Christiana Figueres' clarification that Japan is only one of three countries among the 36 signatories that's opposed to extending their emission targets under the pact. She announced the others being Canada and Russia! The flood gates are now open to dump Kyoto! If this is not the beginning of the end of this scam what is?

Read More: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2010/12/cancun-speeds-up-end-of-climate.html

Coldest Winter in 100 Years, Europe Shivers

 Winter Dec to Feb inclusive in Britain and Europe will be exceptionally cold and snowy – like hell frozen over at times - with much of England, Germany, Benelux and N France suffering one of the coldest winters for over 100 years. It is expected that two of the three months Dec, Jan & Feb are likely to be in the three coldest for a 100 years (eg using Central England Temperatures).

This is Piers Corbyn, of Weather Action who predicted Copenhagen would be deluged by snow during the Climate meet last year. This time, he predicts one of the harshest winters in recent times for whole of Europe. Read more here.

Meanwhile, Europe is getting a feel of what winter may look like this week. Temperatures dropped to as low as minus 18 degrees Celsius in some parts of Germany, while driving rain in Italy triggered the collapse of two Roman walls in Pompeii and flooding in Venice. Britain, shivering in the earliest widespread snowfalls of winter since 1993, was one of the countries worst affected with two of its major transport hubs scrapping all flights. 

Will New Delhi follow by going sub-zero this winter? 

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.com/2010/12/as-they-discuss-global-warming-europe.html