A weak W.D system is affecting Kashmir ... and this is expected to persist for next 2 / 3 days ... http://ow.ly/i/22omL 

Scattered rain over Kashmir to continue till Monday ... http://ow.ly/i/22owi 

"91B" - Bay circulation

Tracking has started for S.Bay circulation.
Presently it's named as "91 B".
Location :: 3.7 N , 86.9 E
Pressure :: 1010 MB

For more on the upcoming cyclone please refer to this post ...

Upcoming Cyclone / Depression over S.Bay - Update, 4-May-2013

RT @surlak91: @weatherofindia it's pouring in coimbatore as well.cool and lovely weather, contrasting to sultry Chennai. (6:26pm)

Bangalore Rain now 6pm

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 5.35pm, Clear skies, Sunny, Hot and humid day. No pop-up of T.Clouds yet.... 

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Bangalore 6.00pm, Sudden development of T. Clouds and it is pouring right now.. a pic http://t.co/aSPzhLZxBV 

UPDATE::

RT @axpn: after a very hot day, heavy rains for 15 mins - Jayanagar, Bangalore  6.30pm @weatherofindia 

Present isolated T.Showers over central,N Tamilnadu is expected to Vanish from tomorrow, except for N-W,W,S Tamilnadu http://ow.ly/i/22mVR 

But T.showers are expected to persist over most of Kerala, W-Ghats of Kerala during next 3 days ... http://ow.ly/i/22mWK 

During next 3 days, isolated T.showers also possible over N,N-E Karnataka, W,N-W,N-E Andhra as well .!

From 5-May to 8-May, T.showers possible over Central,N.Bengal ... http://ow.ly/i/22n1B 

Some T.showers also possible for S,N-E Odisha as well during next 3 days !

Some isolated T.showers also possible for S-W,S Bengal as well !

Massive and widespread T.showers forecast for entire N-E states, Sikkim and Bangladesh from today till 8-May ... http://ow.ly/i/22n6o 

After 7-May, the #HOT conditions over S,S-central Peninsula is expected to ease due the LOW over Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/22nkG 

#HOT conditions to continue for N,central,E.central,N-W,W India during next 4 days ... http://ow.ly/i/22ns9 

Upcoming Cyclone / Depression over S.Bay - Update, 4-May-2013

The S.Bay circulation is expected to become marked in another 48 hrs (on Monday) ... http://ow.ly/i/22mbC 

Rush of winds from across equator can be seen already towards the S.Bay circulation ... http://ow.ly/i/22md5 

Both IMD and COLA models suggest that the circulation will become Depression on 9-May over S,S-W Bay ... http://ow.ly/i/22meq 

NOGAPS model expects the system to attain near Cyclone strength on 10-May and will be near N-E Srilanka ... http://ow.ly/i/22mmu 

3:30pm, Fresh T.showers seen over S,central Odisha, N-E Andhra, N-central,N-W,S.Tamilnadu, N.Kerala, S-W Karnataka.. http://ow.ly/i/22m9c 

Today, a weak low level circulation seen over N.Uttarpradesh and another over N.Bihar and N.Bengal ... http://ow.ly/i/22lUj 


And the trough extending south from Bihar can be seen upto S,S-W Karnataka ... ow.ly/i/22lUj

Today, S.Bay has popped a East to West elongated circulation at lower levels ... 

During next 3 days, the North South trough from Bihar to S,S-W Karnataka is expected to persist ... http://ow.ly/i/22m4P 

@adorable_riti >> #Kolkata - at 1:20pm, it was around 36 C (feels like 46.3 C), with humidity around 57% , mild breeze from S-S-W.

" agni natchathiram " - 4-May-2013

While the public gear up to face ‘agni natchathiram’ that commences on Satur­day, the Indian Meteor­ological Department (IMD) website has some happy as well as disturbing news.

The IMD portal says there are possibilities of summer convective rains hitting the southern parts of the state, which could gradually move up northwards and bring relief from scorching sun. But there are also unpleasant signs, as formation of low-pressure area in the Bay of Bengal is expected within a few days.

The National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting which is a research-based organisation under Ministry of Earth Sciences has foreseen a cyclone to cross somewhere between northern TN and southern Andhra Pradesh on May 13. The conclusion drawn based on numerical weather models show that a system could form east of Sri Lanka and reach TN or AP coast in another 10 days.

Dr Y.E.A. Raj, deputy director general of meteorology, Regional Met Centre (RMC), said that the models are indicating a chance for low pressure in the Bay of Bengal. “We are yet to authenticate the possibility of a depression moving towards TN,” he added.

Eight systems of depression or cyclonic storm were formed in the Bay of Bengal in the last 12 years in the month of May. Astro-Meteorologist S. Ramach­andran has predicted the possibility of cyclone hitting north TN and south AP between May 14 and May 18 due to planetary positions.

Taken from http://www.deccanchronicle.com

-----------------------------------------------------------------

Gear up for Agni’s wrath ... http://ow.ly/kHxKY 

Buttermilk for parched throats in Kilpauk, #Chennai ... http://ow.ly/kHxIT 

On 3-May, highest maximum temperature of 44.7°C was recorded at Rentachintala (Andhra Pradesh)

#Chennai - Yesterday, max temperature was 38.1. Today at 12:40pm it was around 37 C (feels like 44.6 C). Mild breeze from S-S-E !

#HOT Tamilnadu on 3-May, Dharmapuri = 40.1 C, Karur = 40.5 C, Madurai = 39.4 C, Thiruchirapalli = 41.3 C, Vellore = 41.7 C, Salem = 39.2 C

#HOT at 1pm, Nagpur = 45 C, Varanasi = 42 C, Patna = 41 C, #Delhi touches 40 C, Amristar, Jaipur = 39 C, Ahmedabad = 37 C, #Mumbai = 31 C

BB-1 Update ( Saturday12 noon IST)

As on Saturday Morning (IST), NRL has announved the formation of a Low Level Circulation, an UAC and  prelude to a Low at 3N and 84E. This is the iitial formation stage of our BB-1, announced in vagaries yesterday (Friday).

After reading and deciphering almost 8 International models, we see 3 different tracks shown by them as possible route of the system.

Some models show:
1. The sytem ,as a cyclone, hitting the TN coast, and tracking NE ito the Interiors and finally dissipating over Vidharbh.
2. Some show the system heading straight North towards the Orissa coast, and striking there.
3. Some decipher the track as hitting the Southern India coast and re-emerging in the Arabian Sea, and moving up to 15N....

If interested, see vagaries' views.