Monday, December 06, 2010

Heavy rain now along S and central Andhra coast. Now its Andhra's turn to face the "94B" 's fury!!

North-East monsoon may spring up more surprises

Close on the heels of directing non-seasonal rains into the West and North-West India, the ongoing North-East monsoon could be waiting to unfold more surprises for the West Coast during this week.
A core of the northeasterly winds that currently sustain the low-pressure area in the South-West Bay of Bengal could cross the peninsula and blow into the Arabian Sea to whip up a ‘low' there as well.

The US Navy's Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Centre (FNMOC) saw these winds banding themselves akin to an ‘elephant's trunk' to gather winds and moisture around the Arabian Sea system.
In the process, the latter could strengthen a bit and be dragged in east for a likely tryst with the West Coast (Kerala-Karnataka).
What would likely prevent it from gathering further strength could be the less-than-desirable sea-surface temperatures in the South-East Arabian Sea (around Lakshadweep and the Kerala coasts).

If this scenario were to unfold, this would be a rare instance for Kerala to fancy its chances with a sea-based system of reasonable strength hurtling in straight towards its coast.
It would now be the turn for the Arabian Sea to give it back to the Bay; the system is shown as crossing the Karnataka coast and the larger peninsula to enter the Bay where it could likely interact with the remnant trough of the previous ‘low' and gain in strength.
The combined system will cut a path towards the Myanmar coast in due course, with some international agencies indicating that southerly-to-southwesterly winds (as against the seasonal northeasterlies) may help the system to rustle up some strength before hitting the Myanmar coast.

In any case, all these activities are forecast to taper off around December 12, following which a ‘silent period' may descend on the Bay of Bengal and the Arabian Sea.
This will come about as winds change direction temporarily from being northeasterly to southerly-southwesterly to being even northwesterly, the FNMOC said.
Meanwhile, a weather update from India Meteorological Department (IMD) for the 24 hours ending Sunday morning said that widespread rainfall occurred over Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
It was fairly widespread over Tamil Nadu and isolated over Madhya Maharashtra, Coastal Andhra Pradesh and Kerala.

Insat cloud imagery showed the presence of convective (rain-bearing) clouds over parts of Bay of Bengal, South Andaman Sea, Comorin area, South Arabian Sea, Orissa, South Chhattisgarh, Coastal Andhra Pradesh, South Interior Karnataka, Kerala and Tamil Nadu.
The belt of enhanced rains is forecast to migrate north-northeast along the East Coast with a weather alert from the IMD suggesting isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall over Coastal Andhra Pradesh on Monday and Tuesday.
The heavy to very rain alert would be valid for Rayalaseema and Tamil Nadu for Monday and subsequently for Orissa. The causative ‘low' in the South-West Bay persisted on Sunday; it is forecast to hold on its own for a couple of days more before weakening.
But this phase would only clear the way for the incoming system from the Arabian Sea to drop anchor in the Bay of Bengal and breathe life back into the remnant trough from the earlier ‘low.'
A short-term forecast by the IMD said that widespread rain or thundershowers would occur over Coastal Andhra Pradesh and fairly widespread over Rayalaseema, Tamil Nadu and Andaman and Nicobar Islands. However, it may decrease over Tamil Nadu after Monday.
Scattered rain or thundershowers would occur over Orissa, Telangana, South Interior Karnataka and Kerala. It may increase over Orissa and Telangana from Tuesday onwards.
Isolated rain or thundershowers have been forecast over Jharkhand, Gangetic West Bengal and Chhattisgarh on Monday and increase thereafter.
Fog to shallow fog conditions may occur over parts of the plains of North-West India mainly during morning hours until Wednesday.
Extended forecast until Friday said that scattered to fairly widespread rainfall activity may occur over East and adjoining Central and South Peninsular India. Mainly dry weather would prevail over plains of North-West and adjoining Central India.
More intermittent sharp showers with sunny break is forecast for N.Tamilnadu, chennai coast from early hrs of 7-Dec till evening of 7-Dec
7pm, Now the major cloud formation has moved North into S.Andhra coast. 7:42pm,That's y Showers has stoppd in Chennai..
Non-Stop rains for Chennai and N.Tamilnadu coast will go down from midnight today... Now its turn for S,central Andhra coast.
In 24 hrs as the Bay Low "94B" moves N-N-E, Heavy "South-west Monsoon" like rain forecast for Entire Kerala... Rain will start from 7-Dec.
GFS models all along has predicted vaguely about the S.Arabian sea Low "95A". Now COLA predicts a LOW system striking Kerala coast on 9-Dec
GFS predicts that the "94B" will travel along Andhra coast and move N-E, then intensify as Depression and landfall over Myanmar on 11/12-Dec
RT @gopals: Incessant rain in Chennai. Govt declared holiday tomorrow for all Schools. Received SMS from DAVPS, Velachery.
RT @narain: Puzhal lake opened. Areas like Kollathur, Rettari, ThiruViKa Nagar,Ambattur, Avadi -Thirumullaivoyil will see water flow chennai
4:30pm, Very heavy cloud mass covering N. Tamilnadu coast and S.Andhra coast ...
Chennai - Steady sharp showers again now 5:21pm after 1.5 hrs break... more showers on way.. Rain forecast till morning of 7-Dec.
RT @narain: புழல் ஏரி திறந்துவிடப்பட்டது. ரெட்டேரி, திருவிக நகர்,அம்பத்தூர், ஆவடி-திருமுல்லைவாயில் பகுதிகள் பாதிக்கப்படலாம் Chennai
RT @svgan_in: No rain in chennai for the past 90min. (3:25pm)
Very heavy rainfall around Chennai till 8:30am, 6-Dec.. Kelambakkam 17 cm
The wind direction will become westerly all over S. peninsula from evening of 8-Dec... this will move Low "95A" to Karnataka / kerala coast.
S-W Bay Low "94B" will skirt along N.Tamilnadu and Chennai coast only on 8-Dec... so more showers on way for Chennai..
RT @jayakumaur: atlast.. the rain has stopped here.. thiruvanmiyur @weatherofindia (1:25pm)
12:30pm, Massive cloud mass nearing N. Tamilnadu coast from Bay... more Heavy rain on way in another 3 hrs..
Chennai - Only drizzles now 1:16pm... And more showers expected in another 3 hrs.
RT @malhotramona: @weatherofindia two parrots on dec 6 2010 weather is sunny day (mumbai)

Official Rainfall figures from LPA 94B

HI, friends

Thank you very much for all of your blessings for my marriage.

Everything went very well and today i am leaving to Kuzhithurai

Rainfall at 8.30am in mm

Chennai Ennore – 148
Chennai Nungambakkam – 98
Chennai Madhavaram – 95
Gummidipundi – 84
Chembarabakkam -75
Walajabad – 72
Kadambathur – 64
Redhills – 62
Madurantakam – 58
Thamaraipakkam - 54
Kanchipuram – 53
Arakkonam – 51
Uttiramerur – 51
Korattur - 50
Cholavaram - 49
Pondicherry - 39
Poondi - 36
Chidambaram – 33
Karaikal – 30
Nagapattinam – 28


Sriharikota – 106
Nellore – 84
RT @vijayrajp: Rains in Chennai
S.Arabian sea LOW "95A" is active (pos 6.7N, 67.5E). COLA-GFS now predicts it to become as Depression, move N-E and cross N.Kerala on 8-Dec.
The present "94B" after travelling upto N.Andhra coast it'll move E-N-E and will intensify into a Depression over N-E Bay on 10-Dec.
Chennai - Sharp showers will continue well into Afternoon, may be upto 3pm and more.. Egmore zone records 39.2 mm in 24hrs
The present "94B" low along Central Tamilnadu coast will move in a N-N-E direction along Andhra coast and then moving E-N-E. 6-Dec to 9-Dec
Yesterday's S-W Bay "94B" has slightly moved North, now lying along central and N.Tamilnadu coast over Bay.
In next 24 hrs, More heavy rain forecast for Central, N. Tamilnadu coast and for S. Andhra coast.
Chennai - Sharp showers and strong drizzles continue .. now into 2 day..
RT @osouthasia: IND Chennai: Rain continues, death toll reaches 150...
RT @swathirjn: I never experienced this kind of rain which keeps on pouring from sat afternoon. Its awesome though. Chennai (9:38am)
RT @tigerpugal007: heavy rain in chennai...... (9:40am)