Monday, July 07, 2014

Super Typhoon Neoguri Loop July 7, 2014


Dr Jeff Masters: Super Typhoon Neoguri Lashing Okinawa, Headed for Japan

he outer spiral bands of Super Typhoon Neoguri are pounding the Japanese Ryukyu Islands, which include Okinawa, as the mighty storm heads north-northwest at 12 mph towards Japan.

Truant Monsoon: Kharif sowing just 57% of last year!!!

"As per the latest reports of sowing of kharif crops, kharif sowing area has crossed 182.40 lakh hectare," an official statement said. Total Kharif sowing in the year-ago period stood at 318.90 lakh hectares in the year-ago period.
#Mumbai Rainfall stats... at 5:30pm
Santacruz = 59mm
Colaba 22mm
Badlapur 15mm
Alibaug 11mm
Ratnagiri 4mm
Mahabaleshwar 2mm
Dahanu 0.8mm

RT @uzair432: @weatherofindia Heavy rain lashing many parts of hyderabad. Temparature drops to comfortable 26c 7:47pm

This is Coimbatore NOW ! 😊 #Coimbatore #Peelamedu #MyCollege #Bridge ... 6:52pm ...

AWS at Tibetian plateau

China set up an automatic meteorological observation station at the East Rongbuk Glacier of Mount Everest, according to a report by Xinhua News Agency.
Located 5,830 meters above the ground, the station is the highest long-term positioning automatic meteorological observation station in the country. It will be used to monitor the weather conditions of the East Rongbuk Glacier and the exchange progress between glaciers and atmosphere.

"Thanks to the help of a Tibetan mountaineering guide and local people, we have set up the station after four days of work," said Wang Zhongyan, deputy head of the Atmospheric and Environmental Comprehensive Observation and Research Station on Mount Everest, Chinese Academy of Sciences.

According to Wang, China has three meteorological observation stations on Mount Everest at 4,276 meters, 5,190 meters and 5,830 meters high, respectively.

"The three stations form a relatively complete observation section at different altitude gradients," Wang said. "We will collect records regularly and ensure the normal operations of the station."

Mount Everest, which stands at the middle section of the Himalayas, consists of a large area of glaciers, especially a large valley glacier. The glacier covers a total area of around 1,600 square meters, accounting for 32 percent of the entire region of the Mount Everest.

A view from Ooty (Tamilnadu) today at 3pm ...

Super Typhoon Neoguri's Latest Projected Path

Mumbai rain instagrams after 4:30pm

#mumbai - rains #little window view #pretty (4:54pm) ...

Where did the sea link go? #Mumbai #sealink #bandra#worli #monsoon #rain (4:51pm) ...

When it #rains, it #floods. #Mumbai #LowerParel (4:46pm) ...
3:30pm, T showers seen over S Maharastra, N,N-E Karnataka, Central Andhra, central Chatisgarh, central Odisha
3:30pm, More rain over Jharkhand, S,S-W Bengal, E Bihar.
Showers along Karnataka coast, dotted along Maharastra coast

#Chennai - 4:20pm, showers seen near Ponneri zone, around 30km N-N-W from city.
70% chance of T showers after 5pm and before 12am.'s raining there 😊😊 #madurai #clouds ... 3:39pm...

#Rain #Mumbai ... 4:49pm ...

Weather Instagram at July 07, 2014 at 03:14PM

#chennai - 2:30pm, less hot than yesterday. T showers possible after 5pm. #weather

from Instagram

Latest visible satellite shot of Typhoon Neoguri ... 

The worst of monsoon deficit may be behind us. Rainfall may pick up shortly but is such turnaround a tad too late? !

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) latest model forecasts provided some stunning news. The much touted “Super El Nino” just mysteriously dissipated into mid-air, leaving La Nina like conditions. Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) in Nino3.4 areas are plunging and expected to turn negative within this month and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) have bounced back to be La Nina like as seen above!!

Be optimistic upon SWM July RF

 Many of the private weather channels are skeptic about SWM 2014 [JULY] rainfall.  It has been ascertained by the [official] national weather  channels that the chances of revival of SWM rainfall in July is NOT that much alarming.  [China Meteorological Administration & IMD]

Usually in India National Weather Administration is NOT responsible for declaring DROUGHT of course in agricultural preview.  .  

The position and strength of TIBETIAN HIGH [warm] is to play important role in deciding monsoonal rains in NW / Central / and East India up to Nellore.

*** Tibetian High is situated at about 5000 meter above mean sea level.  This portion of earth is a barren land at 5000m height forming a plateau of length 2000 km to 700km width.  A third pole indeed..***** 

This is playing a key role in determining Indian SWM & NEM.

Moreover the Mascarene High is also positioning with good strength but no Low Level Jet strength wind is blowing in Arabian Sea.

However every one is optimistic. 


It's time IMD should snap out of denial and officially acknowledge the reality of drought

The very fact that the IMD has to keep on reiterating every day that it may be too early to panic suggest that the spectre of drought is increasing as a strong probability, if not prevailing already. 
While there is much merit to IMD’s argument that the seasonal rainfall may in the end turn out not very far from their revised forecast of 93% of LPA, with July-Sept making up for the June deficiency, even so, there is every reason already to panic, at least on the agricultural front. 

Read more:

Neoguri: Strongest Pacific storm for the year with wind speeds upto 290 kph to flatten Okinawa late tonight

Okinawa will likely see the worst impact from the storm Monday night with rainfall rates of 50 mm (2 inches) or greater per hour at times, sustained winds as high as 225 kph (140 mph) with occasional gusts of 290 kph (180 mph),"