Friday, October 26, 2012

6:30pm, Low over E-central Bay is getting a shape ..

Latest NOGAPS model suggests that showers along N,central Tamilnadu coast, #chennai will start from morning of 28-Oct..  
3:30pm, Presently, the S-E-central Bay circulation is tracked as "93W" .. "Slowly taking shape" ..

3:30pm, Heavy rain seen over most of Andaman Islands, due to "93W" ... 
Heavy showers are expected to start along central,N.Tamilnadu coast from night of 27-Oct or from early morning, 28-Oct

NOGAPS still suggests that system may become as a depression before hitting central Tamilnadu coast on 30-Oct..

Interestingly COLA model suggests that the LOW will slide S-W into Mannar after touching N.Srilanka on 30-Oct.

So COLA predicts heavy rain for S,S-E.Tamilnadu and less rain for N,central Tamilnadu coast ..

COLA model supports Rain to start all along Tamilnadu coast from 28-Oct... 
Low level circulation is seen over S-E-central Bay..

Another low level circulation is seen over S-E Arabian sea .. this may become Next Cyclone over Arabian sea ..

Today's S-E-central Bay circulation is expected to track west towards Central Tamilnadu coast, and come near on 28-Oct.

IMD-GFS & NOGAPS models are almost predicting a Low pressure system hitting central Tamilnadu coast on 29-Oct.
Cyclone Murjan has almost vanished along & over Somalia ..