Sunday, July 20, 2014

Posted Sunday Night:

Major Developments:

Monday: The current UAC over Odisha (on Sunday) is expected to track Westwards . The upper air trough subsequently formed, will guide the UAC westwards, and as it tracks west, it may form a Line of Wind discontinuity within the trough on Monday 21st. IF this materialises, then very heavy rains can be expected in Eastern/Central MP...roughly covering the regions around Jabalpur and Bhopal.
Anyway, good precipitation is expected on Monday in Central MP and parts of adjoining Vidharbh.

Tuesday: The system tracks westwards towards West MP/Gujarat and SE Rajasthan.
Would expect heavy rains in Central MP and Bhopal and Ujjain regions. North Maharshtra sees an increase in rains.
Wednesday, we can most likely get rains in Northern Gujarat region and parts of Kutch. Saurashtra gets some showers along with Coastal South Gujarat.
Increase in rains along Konkan and Goa from Tuesday night.
Adjoining parts of SE Sindh becomes cloudy with some patches getting thunder showers.

The Eastern areas of the system gradually reducing in precipitation.

Mumbai gets some on/off showers on Monday. Tuesday evening rains increasing and Wednesday getting intermittent heavy showers. again, 30-40 mms on Tuesday night/Wednesday. 75 mms in 2 days .
Delhi NCR will have to wait till Thursday for major meaningfull rains to restart. Days may rise to 2 days.
Couple of showers for Kolkata and rain generally decreasing.
Rains increasing again in Surat from Tuesday night.
Southern Peninsula (Bangalore) sees no major change next 3 days...maybe getting drier.

Pakistan: Sibbi was 44c on Balochstan and parts of Sindh still hot.
After Monday 21st, till Wednesay, Parts of SE Sindh will be cloudy and in some patches thunder showers can be expected on Tuesday Night and Wednesday.
from vagaries
Upper Punjab region of Pakistan adjoining Kashmir region may get isolated rains in some pockets .