Thursday, July 03, 2014

Breaking: Just as the Monsoon is signalling a revival, will the typhoon in the Pacific lull it up again?

Tropical Depression 08W formed just south of Guam and expected to transition into a tropical storm and then a cyclone during the weekend. The name Neoguri will be given to the storm as it continues to intensify and track northwest over the open western Pacific.

HEAVY rain ahead for S,central,E Uttarpradesh! Is this scenario possible?

Today, a mid-level W.D trough is seen upto N-central India ... 
This mid-level W.D is expected to drift E-S-E towards W,central,S-central Uttarpradesh on 5-Jul ... 
Present E India circulation is also expected to drift towards S-central Uttarpradesh in 2 days and "may" get merged over S-central UP.
Another suggestion is that the E India circulation may not drift W-N-W towards central Uttarpradesh, instead it'll persist over Bihar !!

WRF suggests - This merger can have devastating HEAVY rain over S,central,E Uttarpradesh, N,N-E,E Madhyapradesh, N Chatisgarh on 4,5-Jul.

8pm, Satellite suggests that E India circulation has drifted W-N-W into S Bihar ... 
8pm, Heavy rain has already pushed into E,N-E Madhyapradesh, N Chatisgarh and into E,S-E Uttarpradesh ...

02nd July 2014 , Afternoon Heavy Downpour , Kolkata

A heavy Afternoon Shower Inundated the Total Stretch from Garihat crossing to Ruby Genral Hospitals in South Kolkata 
on 02nd july 2014 

Beautiful low hanging dark clouds in Badlapur. (03 July 2014)

It feels awesome to be under of low hanging dark clouds. Nice rainy & cool weather. Nature at its best....

Badlapur max temp 27.7c with 35mms rainfall till 5.30pm today.

Mumbai 3-Jul, thru the lens of Instagrammers

#Chennai - Temperature around 37 C.
A 15% chance of rain today evening after 5pm.
T showers are expected on Friday evening !!

East India circulation expected to travel upto W,S-W Uttarpradesh

N Bay circulation has pushed inland and persisting over S,Central Bengal and along Jharkhand... 
11:30am, now the circulation seems to have drifted N-N-W into Bihar... HEAVY rain observed over S,central Bihar... 

Today as well a weak upper-level circulation persists along Maharastra coast ... 
Due to this circulation, showers persisting along Maharastra coast, Mumbai and upto #Goa, N Karnataka coast ...

Rainfall alert for East India during next 36 hrs ::
Next 2 days, the present circulation along central Bengal, S Bihar is expected to drift W-N-W upto S,S-W Uttarpradesh 

During next 12 hrs..
Heavy scattered rain expected over Bihar, N,central,S Bengal, Jharkhand and into N Odisha... 
In next 12 to 18hrs... moderate scattered rain will push into N,central Chatisgarh, E,N-E Madhyapradesh and into S,E Uttarpradesh.
Tomorrow, the HEAVY rain are expected to leave S Bengal and push into Bihar, E Uttarpradesh. Showers will continue over N,central Bengal.
In 36hrs... Widespread rain also expected to push into N,N-E,E Madhyapradesh into N,central Chatisgarh ... 

Scattered rain also expected over Uttarakhand and Himachal on today, tomorrow !
Widespread HEAVY rain to continue over most of N,central zones of N-E states of India during next 2 days.

Weather Instagram at July 03, 2014 at 05:52AM

35km south of #chennai - a mild and clear early morning. #weather

from Instagram

Indian Monsoon July Forecast: A more hopeful 1st half and a totally dismal 2nd half for rainfall

First half of July looks slightly better than June. The period 7-17 July looking relative productive in terms of rainfall, irrespective whether a typhoon develops as forecasted by US models. This scenario only flatters to deceive as around the 17, the monsoon is expected to go back to its slump.