Saturday, October 26, 2013

Diwali Release another UAC

 [1] It is evident that there creeps an UAC near the mouth of Malacca Strait. [850 hPa wind]

[2] Sea surface wind indicates convergence near 17 Deg Parallel.

[3] Along and above 10 Deg North the SWly feeder brings rain

[4] North Chennai, south CAP will be free of "significant" rainfal
[5] The circulation is inland in Telengana AP

Hope the best for rains during Diwali for TN

Belgaum - 2:16pm, "today morning at 9.30 for one hour it rained .. now its cloudy"
"Yesterday evening 7:30pm got good heavy T shower"

2:30pm, Rain continue over N,N-E Andhra, fresh T cells popping over N,central,W Karnataka and Very active N Bay.. 

#Chennai - 5:15pm, After a #hot and humid mid morning with hazy skies, now having a thin high cloud cover.

T Shower possible after 8pm.
From today till Monday evening, N,N-E,central-coast Tamilnadu, Chennai to get noon /  evening / midnight T showers.
1st easterlies of this N-E Monsoon season is expected to reach Tamilnadu coast on 1-Nov.
" Tamilnadu, #Chennai can expect a WET Diwali "

#Bangalore - Less rain forecast for city from today till 29-Oct.

Andhra circulation moved North and weakened.

#Kolkata - rainfall till 8:30am today, Alipur = 109.5mm and DumDum = 85.4mm

#Chennai - Rainfall till 8:30am today, Nungambakkam = 10.4mm, Airport = 1.8mm, Polichalur (IWM weather station) = 5.7mm

Today, the Andhra circulation is over N Andhra ... 
In next 24 to 36hrs, the circulation is expected to drift N-N-E and weaken even more over S Chatisgarh, S Odisha.. 
In 36hrs a circulation is expected over S Bangladesh and a N-S trough to drop from system upto central Tamilnadu.. 
Present Andhra circulation is expected to weaken and get merged with the trough from S Bangaldesh by Sunday evening.

As the Andhra circulation weakens and a N-S trough forms in 24hrs, HEAVY rain for most of S-E coast to persist for next 36hrs.
N-S trough is expected to form by Sunday and move East into Bay after 24hrs... the rain along S-E coast will go down from Monday evening.
Before evening of Sunday, scattered rain expected all along S-E coast from S Bengal, Odisha, Andhra coast to N,central Tamilnadu.
Due to S Bangladesh circulation, Heavy scattered rain expected over most of N-E States during next 2 days.