Sunday, July 05, 2015

The Monsoon axis is stubbornly fixed in the North, and the fresh WD ( JL-1) is preparing to proceed, come what may !
From an already formed UAC,a Low ( BB-2) forms in the North Bay of Bengal on the 7th.
May concentrate in WML and maybe depression (992 mb), before crossing Odisha coast around 10th. But strength and Track depends on WD trough behaviour.
West coast trough...and city forecasts on latest Vagaries at

Essence Of Storm , Kolkata 4th july 2015

More Hot days for Chennai and Monsoon active only over East India

2:30pm, All monsoon guns are silent, except over E Uttarpradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, N,S Bengal ...

In next 24hrs, a circulation is expected over East end of Monsoon axis over central Bengal ...
This low-level circulation is expected to have a weak upper-level circulation over same zone.
This is expected to move West from 7-Jul.

The upcoming East India low-level circulation is expected to drift slowly to West from Tuesday. 
For East India circulation, There's NO good associated upper-level circulation or surface level LOW expected after Tuesday.

In Western front, offshore trough is expected to get Better from S Maharastra coast to N,central Kerala from 7-Jul.

This Break Monsoon period can persist till 14-Jul due to present MJO dry phase...

There's No indication of N Bay LOW even till 10-Jul, instead an inland strong circulation is expected over N Odisha, Jharkhand on 9-Jul.

Rainfall warning for next 36hrs
Before morning of 6-Jul...
HEAVY rain expected along N,N-E zones of Monsoon axis, that is Nepal, Bihar, N Bengal..

In next 12hrs, scattered rain expected for Chatisgarh, Jharkhand, Odisha, S,central Bengal and E Madhyapradesh.
Scattered rain also possible for Karnataka coast and Kerala during next 36hrs.
Less or NO rain for Maharastra coast till Monday evening.

Morning of 6-Jul...
Scattered rain possible for central, N-W Uttarpradesh into Himachal, Uttarakhand and Punjab.

Evening, midnight of 6-Jul...
HEAVY rain for W Bihar, E,N Uttarpradesh, into Nepal, Uttarakhand, Himachal, some zones of Haryana.
Evening, midnight of 6-Jul... scattered heavy rain for Punjab, Haryana, and into S,S-W Kashmir ...

Chennai - NO respite from HOT temps on Monday and Tuesday.
A 30% chance of scattered light rain possible after 5/6pm on today, Monday.
Chennai - 4pm, after touching 40 C, a good sea breeze has set-in. And so far NO T-cell formation over Western interiors.

July 05, 2015 at 03:31PM

Chennai - 3pm, Airport records 40 C.More #hot days ahead till Tuesday. #iwm