Wednesday, September 28, 2011

8pm, Strong T.showers over S.central Tamilnadu, Central Coast Andhra..
South West Monsoon is retreating Southwards. Parameters like OLR and UTH observed from IMD images indicate the SWM to have vacated regions above 25N. And approaching fast towards Maharashtra.
For Maharashtra and Mumbai, the only positve factor favouring "last farewell" rains is the Maximum Lifted Condensation Level. Still favourable at 1000-1500.

SWM should be withdrawing from below the 20N line by October 1st week.

Would expect NEM to set in around 15th October. One thing is for sure, next system coming from South Bay will be from the NEM "family".
COLA model predicts heavy T.showers along entire Coastal Tamilnadu from 1-Oct ..
2:30pm, T.showers breaking out over S, central Coastal Andhra and over S.central Tamilnadu ..
From today Isolated T.showers possible for Central and N. Tamilnadu coast.. till 30-Sep.. and will increase from 1-Oct.
A high pressure Anticyclone will pop over S-E Gujarat and N-W Maharastra on 30-Sep..
chennai - another HOT and CLEAR day so far... max. temp. was 36.9 C (11:59am). Now city is having good Sea breeze and Temp. going down.
RT @dr_nawin: @weatherofindia sunny morning @Coimbatore. Nilgiri hills blanketed fully with clouds. (9:51am)
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Baroda 11.00am, Clear sky, Sunny and hot. looks end of SWM in this region.