Wednesday, December 09, 2015

HEAVY rain ahead for S,SE coast Tamilnadu. Flood alert !

9:30pm, IR shows Almost NO convective activity along N,central-coast Tamilnadu.. "after a long time" ... 
.. but Gulf of Mannar is active again to give some HEAVY T showers for S,SE coast of Tamilnadu in next 2/4hrs.

Latest analysis show, that circulation South of Srilanka persists.
S Arabian sea is also having a circulation..

In next 2 days, the circulation South of Srilanka is expected to persist almost in same zone, while Arabian sea circulation will move West.

For N,central-coast Tamilnadu, some more moderate / light rain expected during next 36hrs and will become DRY on Friday evening.

For S-tip,S,SE-coast Tamilnadu ... HEAVY T showers ahead in next 36 hrs...
#Alert #Flood
For Tirunelveli and Tuticorin district during next 2 days.

#Chennai - 1 or 2 light / moderate passing shower ahead and one can be of moderate to heavy on Thursday ! #chennairains 

WD - Heavy Snow / rain ahead for Kashmir

Upper-level WD trough is now seen along N,central Pakistan and adjoining N,NW India ...
A low-level circulation seen over central Pakistan and its trough seen South upto NE Arabian sea ...

In upper,low-levels moisture is being dragged from Arabian sea thru W,SW coast into central,N-central India..
This moisture drag is due to WD trough and it is evident in this 9:30pm, Satellite IR ...

By Friday, the low-level WD circulation, trough is expected to move E, ESE into W,NW Uttarpradesh ..
But the upper-level WD trough is expected to move East and confined over Kashmir and upto 30N ...

Moisture drag from Arabian sea thru Maharastra coast will continue into central, E India during next 2 days..
Due to this, zones from coastal Maharastra to Madhyapradesh, Chatisgarh to Bengal is expected to get cloudy with odd light rain.

Due to WD.
Before morning of 11-Dec, scattered rain / snow for Kashmir, Himachal and rain for N Uttarakhand..

December 09, 2015 at 09:40AM

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December 09, 2015 at 09:37AM

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December 09, 2015 at 09:36AM

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December 09, 2015 at 06:17AM

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WD and moisture push into Peninsula thru SW coast

Present upper-level WD trough over Afghanistan is expected to reach N,NW India in next 24hrs..

This WD trough is expected to drop a low-level circulation along central Pakistan and adjoining India in next 24hrs ..

On 10,11-Dec, this WD trough will drift East and fizzle out over N India !
The associated low-level circulation will also drift East and then E-S-E up to W,central Uttarpradesh on 11-Dec..

During next 3 days, this WD trough, circulation will take moisture from central Arabian sea to central India ..

From today till Thursday evening...
scattered rain / snow for Kashmir and Himachal.
Cloudy weather for W,SW-coast upto central India !
Due to E Arabian sea easterly trough...
On today, thursday, Scattered T showers for W,W-ghats Karnataka, N Kerala..

From Friday into Sunday, scattered T showers will spawn into N,NW Karnataka, S,central,E Maharastra, N,NW Telegana.and S Chatisgarh !