Thursday, November 17, 2016

November 17, 2016 at 11:07AM

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November 17, 2016 at 11:05AM

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9:30am, #Chennai got a mini early hr shower. IWM Polichalur 3mm. Scattered T showers also witnessed over S,SE Tamilnadu...

An elongated low-level circulation is occupying S Bay along 5th parallel ...
This circulation is expected to consolidate slowly along SSE of srilanka during next 3 days ...

During next 42hrs, Scattered Heavy T showers will be along S,SE Tamilnadu and scattered light,moderate rain expected for rest of Tamilnadu ..
Since the easterly trough has moved into Arabian sea, the T showers that were prevailing along W Karnataka,SW Maharastra will not be there !

After 21/22-Nov, present dry phase of MJO is expected to become neutral / wet over Bay, India .. this "may" induce better easterlies in Bay ..

GFS expects a LOW over SW Bay near Srilanka on 22/23-Nov !!

Meanwhile, a weak WD trough is expected to affect Kashmir from 22-Nov !