Monday, June 23, 2014

Japanese Met predicts double whammy for Indian Monsoon: India faces devastating drought

The Japanese climate agency, JAMSTEC model predictions, if they actualize doesn’t augur too well at all for the Indian monsoon. They predict a double whammy – a combined El Nino-Indian Ocean Dipole adverse effect. If so, we may end up facing a seasonal rainfall deficiency at least within 20-30% range, if not more. Our current rainfall deficiency stands at over 45% and the month of June may end with 50% plus deficiency. If JAMSTEC is right, then July-Sept may fare no better.

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2014/06/japanese-met-predicts-double-whammy-for.html
It is very rare to observe "almost NO moisture" at mid-levels along W,S-W coast at this time of year ... http://ow.ly/i/5ZInq 

2:30pm, Almost NO rain seen along W,S-W coast, except for some rain along N-central Kerala ... http://ow.ly/i/5ZIyF 
2:30pm, In fact MOST of India is having very less rain activity or NO rain.. http://ow.ly/i/5ZIyF
ODD satellite image in 2nd half of June!

West coast offshore trough is weak except along S,central Karnataka coast , N Kerala coast.. and there's less sign of revival in next 3 days
Latest GFS model suggests a even bad picture!!
Almost NO revival expected along S-W,W coast even till 29-Jun !

Weather Instagram at June 23, 2014 at 01:58PM

#chennai - 1:45pm, warm with thin high cloud cover. Less rain possible if this continues. #weather


from Instagram