Saturday, March 31, 2012

N-E states will again have showers from 4-Apr !
Scattered T.showers over S, central Kerala to continue till 6-Apr and beyond...
Fresh W.D is almost over N-W Kashmir.. will be active from tonight...
2:30pm, T.cells seen over N-E Andhra, S. Chatisgarh, N-E Orissa, S. Jharkand, N-W, E.central, S. Tamilnadu..
Strong T.showers to continue again over N,N-E Andhra, Orissa, S. Chatisgarh.. will last till 1-Apr...
Till 3/4-Apr, S.peninsula will be mild, N.Peninsula, central,E.central,West, N-W India will be under a strong HEAT wave.
N-W India may cool down a bit from 5-Apr..
Some moisture to hang over N-W, W. Tamilnadu and into Central Kerala for next 2 or 3 days.. so T.showers expected ..
For Tamilnadu, chennai , Kerala, S. Karnataka.. day temp. may not cross 33 deg C for next 3 or 4 days.
chennai - records a max. temp of 32.6°C (2:00pm)... now having Sea breeze from S-E

Friday, March 30, 2012

RT @albinantony: it may rain here @ kottayam , kerala (5:32pm)
RT @bheemaupadhyaya: Its cloudy in Bangalore. Very light drizzle for few mins in electronic city area @5pm. Cant wait for rain !
RT @venkattells: @weatherofindia Yeah it is raining heavily here :) coimbatore , 5:29pm
RT @iamvivekyadav: Hail storm in Coimbatore (5:28pm)
RT @rcxnair: Wow, the first rains of the summer lashing out at Coimbatore now - view from my office - (5:19pm)
Showers seen over coimbatore, tiruppur zones !! Request readers to update on this. Thanks
4pm, Strong showers seen over Nepal, Sikkim, Bhutan and Arunachal pradesh...
4pm, Strong T.showers seen over N.Andhra, S. Chatisgarh, S,S-W Orissa...
chennai - 4:44pm, sea breeze is not strong enough to reduce the heat .. temp now is 31.4°C
A W.D will reach N-W Kashmir on 1-Apr..
On 31-Mar & 1-Apr... strong T.showers possible over N-E Andhra and into S. Orissa..
Good news ! Till 5-Apr, HEAT will not surge above 35 deg C over Tamilnadu, S. Karnataka and Kerala..
Moisture over S. Tamilnadu & S. Kerala to persist till 5-Apr and beyond !! So expect daily scattered T.showers in this zone.
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Baroda 2.15pm, Clear sky, hot and humid..feel of real Summer...
A strong HEAT wave for Maharastra yesterday and it's expected to continue even today !..
chennai - today records a max of 34.0°C (10:57am) and even now 1:05pm temp. is hovering around 34 C. Sea breeze expected at 2:30pm

Thursday, March 29, 2012

RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia 8.00pm., Today also evening showers in Ernakulam, Kerala. Welcome relief from Summer heat.
chennai - after 31-Mar, city to have subdued temperature till 4-Apr.. and then !!
2012's "KalBaisakhi" season for Bengal, Bihar, U.P and Assam may start from early 2nd Week of April !!
COLA model suggests some T.Showers for N-E. Andhra, S-W Orissa on 31-Mar & 1-Apr..
S.Karnataka, S.Andhra, Tamilnadu, chennai , Kerala may be spared from HEAT till 5-Apr, that is going to affect entire India from 31-Mar .
Mangalore LIVE weather cam ... view it here ..
Day temp. to start peaking ALL over India (except over N-E states) from 31-Mar...
RT @cdauchile: Mumbai, Miami on list for big weather disasters - The Times of India
S,S-W Bay is expected to push in more moisture into S. Tamilnadu, S. Kerala from 1-Apr... More rain expected..
RT @fahadwiz: yipiee! The summer rain started at kerala :D/ Its too good. . trivandrum , kerala (4:57pm)
5pm, Heavy T.showers seen over S. Tamilnadu, S. Kerala ..
chennai - today max temp is around 33 deg C but feels like 37 deg C
Deadly weather disasters predicted ...

Wednesday, March 28, 2012

chennai - today had cloudy conditions till 12:30pm... max. temp was 32.2°C (1:13pm)
Next W.D is expected to reach Kashmir on 1-Apr.
Strong T.showers to continue over S. Kerala, Kerala W.ghats well into 1st week of April...
Entire West, N-W, S.central, central, E.central India will be under a heat wave from 31-Mar..
N. Tamilnadu, chennai to start heating up from 31-Mar..
Moisture will be over S. Tamilnadu, S,central Kerala till 31-Mar... afternoon T.showers to continue..
Heavy moisture can be seen over Kerala and West,S. Tamilnadu... Remnant of W.D is over Nepal...
RT @manaf4u99: A rain frm nowhere. We luv it. Kochiites really havng fun. kochi , kerala (6:28pm)
7pm, Strong T.showers seen all over Tamilnadu W.Ghats, S,central Kerala and Srilanka...
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia, Oh, summer showers, raining heavily with thunder, for the past half-an-hour in Ernakulam, Kerala (4:49pm)
9:10am, Radar shows a rain activity S-S-E of chennai over Sea !
chennai - having a chance of Rain before 2pm... especially for S-Chennai
chennai -some of the moisture pushed in from S-W Bay has entered into N. Tamilnadu as well. S.Chennai is having good cloud formation 9:33am
Today, S, S-central, central Tamilnadu can expect some isolated T.showers due to moisture push from Bay..
HOT conditions will slowly drift into N. Tamilnadu, chennai from 29-Mar..
As expected the S-W Bay circulation has pushed moisture into S. Tamilnadu... showers witnessed ... .

Tuesday, March 27, 2012

RT @vinodmnair2010: hi friends, now am in kerala, Thiruvanathapuram.
Hi hear heavy rain now. (5:18pm)
6pm, Isolated T.cell can be seen over S. extreme Kerala and over E.central Tamilnadu ...

All India Rainfall Toppers - 01.01.2012 to 27.03.2012

The rainfall figures given are in mm (Top 20 places - min 150 mm)

  1. Manali (Himachal Pradesh) - 520
  2. Anini (Arunachal Pradesh) - 500
  3. Car Nicobar (Andaman & Nicobar Islands) - 430
  4. Dharmashala (Himachal Pradesh) - 360
  5. Kalpa (Himachal Pradesh) - 350
  6. Nancowry (Andaman & Nicobar Islands) - 330
  7. Tuting (Arunachal Pradesh) - 300
  8. Bhuntar (Himachal Pradesh) - 270
  9. Kavali (Andhra Pradesh) - 233
  10. Hut Bay (Andaman & Nicobar Islands) - 210
  11. Srinagar - (Jammu & Kashmir) - 210
  12. Shimla (Himachal Pradesh) - 200
  13. Cherrapunji (Megahlaya) - 190
  14. Passighat (Arunachal Pradesh) - 190
  15. Sundernagar (Himachal Pradesh) - 180
  16. Silchar (Assam) - 160
  17. Port Blair (Andaman & Nicobar Islands) - 150
  18. Jammu (Jammu & Kashmir) - 150
  19. Pechiparai Dam (Tamil Nadu) - 150
  20. Tuticorin (Tamil Nadu) - 150

The link to the 2012 Rainfall predictor poll is here Poll code. The 2011 rankings can be found here - 2011 SWM rainfall rankings

Other places may also have obtained more rainfall than the station quoted above.
Entire N, N-W India is having a cloudy day...
chennai - records a mild 31.3°C (1:34pm) .. Having a clear day now 2:57pm with sea breeze from S-E
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Baroda 10.00am. Yesterday temp touched 40-19C. Partially cloudy sky today..a pic

Monday, March 26, 2012

India examines various weather prediction models of foreign agencies ...
chennai - will continue to have wind from S, S-E and there'll be a 2 deg rise in Day temp. from 29-Mar..
Northern N-E states will receive scattered showers well into 1st week of April !!
Due to moisture push from S-W Bay.. T.showers expected over S. Kerala, S. Tamilnadu along W.ghats from 29-Mar...
Present W.D will be active over Kashmir, Himachal till 28-Mar...
Fall in minimum temperatures by 2 to ­3°C over  Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan, Gujarat
and adjoining Maharashtra during next 2 to ­3 days.
W.D is active over Kashmir, Himachal, and into N-W Uttarakand...
N,N-W India will have mild days till 29-Mar.. after that those zone will also join into HEAT party...
From tomorrow, HEAT will spread into Central, E.central India and continue that way into April..
Present circulation over S-W Bay will die in another 24hrs.. but it'll push some moisture into S. Tamilnadu on 28-Mar..
As expected, a strong circulation has formed along E-S-E Srilanka coast over Bay..
chennai - today it's warm, touched a max of 31.1°C (1:25pm).. and now 4:38pm Sea breeze is in from S-E

Which place will end up as the Rainfall topper in 2012 SWM

After last year's epic rainfall race for being the wettest places during South West Monsoon. I have compiled a poll for viewers and rain followers voting for the season 2012. The link to the polls is here Poll code. The 2011 rankings can be found here - 2011 SWM rainfall rankings

Which place will end up as the Rainfall topper in 2012 SWM free polls

Sunday, March 25, 2012

Next Week's Forecast:

1. M-6, the latest in the series of W.D.s in March, is now sweeping through Northern Pakistan and India. The clouding is pushing Southwards into Punjab and Haryana. Northern areas of Rajasthan are parts of Delhi are clouded too. 

M-6 will precipitate in the Northern regions of Pakistan on Sunday. Some incoming moisture will bring rains to Upper Sindh and adjoining regions on Tuesday, 27th. 

But Indian states of Kashmir, H.P. and parts of Utteranchal will continue to get rains till Tuesday, 27th March. In fact, on Tuesday, it will be heavy in H.P. with upper regions of Keylong and Kalpa receiving snowfall.
Punjab can get light rains on Monday. Delhi will not get any rains from this system.
M-6 moves into Western Nepal as a weak system on Wednesday, 28th March.

2. A trough line runs along Central India, roughly in line with 20N, for most of the week from Monday thru Thursday. The N winds and the S winds meet along this line. Starting Mon/Tuesday, Effect will be: hot temperatures South of this line, specially in the Eastern part of the trough covering Eastern Vidharbha and adjoining Orissa. 

Nominal rise in NW and Northern India of 1 to 2c in day temperatures.
Strong N winds above the line, from Rajasthan in the West to W.Bengal will be prominent. 

3. Thursday,29th and Friday 30th, could see persisting heat and hot temperatures bringing almost heat wave conditions in Cenral Sindh, parts of Saurashtra and Gujarat region and Vidharbha.

City wise Forecast on Vagaries

Saturday, March 24, 2012

Scattered showers to continue over North N-E states till this month end !!
A moisture is expected to happen into S. Tamilnadu, Kerala from 27-Mar.. showers expected towards month end..
A weak W.D will reach N-W Kashmir tonight.. and will become active during 26,27-Mar and will last till 28-Mar..
West, central India to start Heating up from tomorrow, while S. peninsula will have warm days. slightly reduced day temp
RT @venkatesrao: We re on our expedition to check out the Marine wild life nests at the Olive Ridley Beach, ECR, Chennai. turtlenest
chennai - today touched a max. of 34.1°C (10:55am) and felt like 36 deg C... !
RT @arunshah: Terrible condition in nettoor, high temperature,no rain,no water in well,mosquito attacks at night..gosh!!! weather kerala
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Baroda 3.20pm, Cold & windy night and day temp shooting up..Hot winds blowing, 39-22 C range.
Saturday's Predicted rise in Day temperature overshoots. Against 37c, it is already 38c at S'Cruz (1 pm)....

Friday, March 23, 2012

S. Bay is expected to pop a circulation on 24/25-Mar.. this'll give showers to Srilanka & S. Tamilnadu from 27-Mar..
From 26-Mar, HOT conditions will spread to Central, N-W, West, E.central India ...
Entire N. peninsula (Maharastra, N. Karnatak, N. Andhra, Orissa, S. Chatisgarh) will be under HOT conditions ..
POLL -- Which place will end up as the Rainfall topper in 2012 South West Monsoon ??
chennai - touched a max of 32.9°C (11:17am) and now 2:17pm sea breeze has set in !
Today is World Meteorological Day 2012 - this year theme is "Powering our future with weather, climate and water"....
On 23 March, the World Meteorological Organization, its 189 Members and the worldwide meteorological community celebrate World Meteorological Day. This day commemorates the entry into force, on that date in 1950, of the WMO Convention creating the Organization. Subsequently, in 1951, WMO was designated a specialized agency of the United Nations System.
All the Best to the Vagaries' Meteorology Community and other meteorologists around the World... Let's inter -act More to be of use and help all around us !

Thursday, March 22, 2012

chennai - will have DRY & and 33 deg C Day from 25-Mar till 28-Mar..
A weak W.D will enter into Kashmir on 24-Mar and stay there till 28-Mar..
This is the expected circulation over S-W Bay on 26-Mar..
COLA model predicts a strong circulation over S-W Bay along Srilanka coast on 25/26-Mar.. this'll bring rain to Srilanka, S. Tamilnadu.
S. Peninsula (Kerala, Tamilnadu, chennai ) to have mild Day temp. from 25-Mar..
S. Kerala is having an isolated T.shower .. 6:30pm...
RT @rshrsho: Rain ! kumarakom kerala instagram (6:51pm)
Heat will be back over W, N-W, Central India from 25-Mar... N, central. peninsula will continue to have HOT days..
chennai - touched a max of 35.1°C (11:47am) and now 1:33pm it's going down slowly... wind from S-S-E and not strong enough to cool !
RT @aknarendranath: @weatherofindia Temperature in Delhi unusually below normal. (7:29am)
@aknarendranath >> Delhi - will have cooler day & night till 23/24-Mar... Due to a COLD wave sweeping in from N-W. (forecasted earlier)

Wednesday, March 21, 2012

Mumbai Forecast: The dust cloud gets thinner on Thursday, and visibility will improve as the winds change direction. Thursday: Day temperature will be around 34/35c and night ( Thursday Morning low) will be 20c. Winds will divert slightly to NE position and will see a nominal rise in day's heat as humidity level remains low. Dust cloud visibility will improve from Wednesday's situation.
Friday: As NE winds continue, the day temperature will rise to 36c, and dry heat will be felt.
Saturday/Sunday: Hot dry winds get stronger, and the day's heat increases to 37/38c.Low  (night) temperatures will be around 22c on the weekend.

Thursday/Friday: days will be in the current range of 37c, with nights still having the slight nip, being low at 15/16c.
Saturday/Sunday : Could see some warming up, specially the nights get warmer to around 18c.

Nagpur: Touched a high of 40.5c today. Expecting the days to remain around the 40c mark next few days.
The trough explained in Vagaries' weekly forecast ( Put up on Sunday) will keep the region marked in "pink" warm this weekend.

Dry weather for Southern India.
Bangalore was 35.4c today. By normal standard for B'Lore I would put it as quite Hot ! But, it shows as only 1c above normal for 21st March ! Bit surprising !
Isolated T.showers over S. Kerala to continue till 27-Mar and beyond.
Northern parts of N-E states will continue to have scattered showers from Today till 27-Mar and beyond...
A fresh easterlies will break into S-E Corner of Bay on 26/27-Mar.
Present circulation over S. Bay will move over Srilanka on 26-Mar.. scattered T.showers possible for Srilanka from today.
7:30pm, W.D has vanished from Kashmir and Himachal, cloudy over S. Karnataka, N,central Kerala..
Today, Dust/haze is prevailing over  Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, Rajasthan,
Gujarat and Madhya Pradesh
West, N-W India will start heating up again after 24-Mar..
HOT conditions will prevail over N. peninsula especially over Maharastra till 27-Mar and beyond !
Cooler DAY conditions for N, N-W, Central India for next 2 days..
Today, HOT conditions prevailed over Maharastra, N, N-W India getting cooler and a circulation has formed over S. Bay..
chennai - recorded a max. temp of 33.7°C (11:47am).. Now 7pm having good sea breeze from East
RT @ramutwits: @lakshmisharath @weatherofindia the weather in Coimbatore is like this.. see the screen shot! (1:52pm)
RT @albinantony: @weatherofindia Hot day in kottayam , Kerala

Sand Plumes take a perpendicular direction along N.Mah. Coast as winds change to North Direction.Though scattering, Mumbai will see haze and dust covering sky by afternoon. Visibility expected to drop to 800 mts. And hazy sun (75%).

Dust Storm makes Ahmedabad Gardabad...
Desert winds bring dust, haze to Delhi...
storm rips through Kashmir..
Bangalore - going to be another HOT week with humidity on lower side from 23-Mar.. Mild wind from E-S-E..
Remnant of 19-Mar DUST storm can be seen hanging over Gujarat, Rajasthan, N-W Madhyapradesh and along N-W maharastra..
RT @hameedazar: Wtf? KoyambeduCloseDown RT @TOIChennaiNews: Vegetable prices go up after Koyambedu closes down
Our Facebook page is live again after 3 months of inactivity, LIKE & Follow weather here..
chennai - a warm morning to start with.. 26.6°C (6:22am).. temp. expected to reach 35 deg C before 12:30pm

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

@aknarendranath >> Delhi - NO rain possibility for next 5 days and in fact it's going to be HOT from 24/25-Mar..
chennai - will have a drop in Day temp. by 2 deg and with LOW humidity from Sunday for another 3 days ..
Present W.D over Kashmir will be dead in another 36hrs.. And next system will reach on 25-Mar..
A strong LOW level circulation to form over S. Bay on 23-Mar..
The HOT conditions will prevail over Maharastra, N. Karnataka, N. Andhra till 25-Mar ...
From tonight entire N, N-W India will have cold night and day, but it'll last till 23-Mar... HEAT will be back..
Today a strong COLD wave can be seen over pakistan and waiting to enter into N-W India..
Remnant of sand storm seen over Punjab, Haryana and Rajasthan..
4pm, W.D is very active over Mountains of Kashmir and Himachal and slowly drifting S-E..
Maximum temperatures have crossed 40.0°C over isolated pockets of Andhra Pradesh,
Vidarbha, Marathwada, west Rajasthan and N.Karnataka
On 19-Mar, highest maximum temperature of 41.7°C was recorded at Chandrapur (Maharashtra)
Importance of Monsoon Forecast for India...
RT @aknarendranath: @weatherofindia Dust haze over Delhi after 11 am today.
Sand storm remnant can be seen over N,N-W Arabian sea, Gujarat & into Rajasthan ...
chennai - touched a HOT 35.6°C (12:26pm) .. now 2:53pm temp. is going due to sea breeze from S-E

Latest on the Sand Storm Movement..Image as on 11.30 am (IST) Tuesday

Monday, March 19, 2012

Importance of Monsoon Forecast for India:

Indian economy is basically an agriculture based, and agri business and economy depend a lot on the South West Monsoon. Agriculture contributes a major part to the GDP.
Hence, getting information and forecast of the Monsoon to the farmers and concerned departments well in advance is of prime importance. The agri industries need to plan cropping patterns and farmers need to plan purchase and storage of seeds and fertilisers.

Now, IMD issues its first SWM forecast in mid April. The April forecast indicates the likely amount of rain throughout India , on the whole, and does not detail its distribution region wise. 
A forecast of regional distribution is necassary for water management and reservoir capacity storage. 
The second forecast and rain estimate is issued in June. By that time, sowing is already complete, and an adverse situation could be disastrous. Saving water stressed seedlings becomes a priority with urgent irrigation. The SWM is half over by then.

Vagaries' Views:

The SWM forecast should be issued earliest by begining April. It could be made by analysing the weather developing situation as on that date in early April, and susequently monitor the developments as they happen and issue comments on how the monsoon is likely to progress.  The  Monsoon Watch series in Vagaries begins with this concept..and charting the progress periodically, the Monsoon Watch Series indicates the +ves and the -ves in the ensuing proress. 
Initially Vagaries (MW Series) forecasts only the arrival date. And that is of prime importance. A belated advance could be fore warned, and help the farmer in deleaying the sowing and saving his crops. Or later, a prolonged withdrawal could be bad for the crops too. 

The quantum is taken up later on.
Though a proper estimate of quantum of rain and regional distribution must be estimated. If, for example, we have 120% of the normal precipitation, that is 20% excess, in say the western state of Gujarat, and say, 80% normal, or 20% deficient in another state, IMD would declare a "normal" monsoon. That is because it takes the figures from the country as a whole. This, I feel depicts a wrong picture.

The most dangerous, or risky, is the " break Monsoon" in the middle of the season. This has to be estimated and informed as correctly as possible, as it holds the key to proper crop and water planning.
In such cases the agriculture ministry must be prepared to support proper irrigation and supply in July or August.
For such forewarnings, the IMD issues a forecasted estimate by the time the Monsoon is half over.

Now, recently,The Japanese Agency for Marine Earth Science and Tech. and another international agency IRI at Columbia, have forecasted a below normal SWM for 2012. A third, U.K Met office sees the chances of a normal Monsoon at only 40%. In fact, they have forecasted a slow down in July.

Whether true or false, our Govt. should take note of this seriously, and be prepared with the necassary steps to be taken. We just cannot wait till the IMD issues its "vague" forecasts. 
IMD maintains that it (SWM) cannot be forecasted so early, and that the Indian Monsoon system is too complicated. But let us understand, these foreign agencies have a track record.
In contrast, just last year, IMD had issued 10 forecasts. (April, June, 4 regional forecasts, on Aug 1st and on September 1st). Out of these 10, 7 were off the mark and 3 were in line.

We cannot take risks with such an important event (SWM). An event that makes or breaks Indian Agriculture and Economy.

Minimum temperatures are more than 20.0°C over entire peninsular India and also over
some parts of Gujarat and Rajasthan
A strong circulation possible over S, S-W Bay on 23/ seems NO moisture will be associated with this system..
Present W.D will be active over Kashmir and Himachal from today till 21-Mar...
There's NO respite from HOT conditions over Maharastra, N. Karnataka and N. Andhra till 25-Mar !
From 21-Mar to 23-Mar... DAY and night temp. over N, N-W India will go down and then pick up again ...
A fresh W.D is over Kashmir today and behind this system a COLD wave is expected to sweep into N-W India on 20-Mar..
Today's analysis show, HOT conditions all over West, N-W, Central and N,central-Peninsula ...
@minimeens >> Thanks to all our Followers, and we request you to LIKE our facebook page as well >>
chennai - Temp. max touched 33.8°C (12:00pm) ... now 1:01pm its at 32.2°C.. NO sea breeze yet!

Sunday, March 18, 2012

Vagaries' Sunday  Weekly  Forecast for  the  week 19th March to  25th  March.

This week, on Monday,19th and Tuesday 20th, another W.D, (M-5) is to move through from Northern Pakistan into Kashmir and H.P.
Though slightly weak, we can expect rains in Kashmir and H.P. with snow on the higher hills of both states from Monday for a couple of days.
Rest of the week after the 21st will be dry for the Northern States.
As an aftermath, North winds will be strong in Western and Central India from Tuesday. Thus raising the day temperatures by a couple of degrees after Tuesday. However, nights on the other hand will drop by a couple of degrees in North and Central India plains initially in the begining of the week.

A trough runs from Konkan to W.Bengal from Wednesday thru Friday. There will be no rains in the region, but the NW winds and S winds will converge along the line.
Day temperatures will rise to 38/40c along the line (see map  and city forecasts on vagaries).

Friday, March 16, 2012

4pm, Showers seen over N. Kerala and W.D active over Kashmir..
chennai - touched a max of 32.8°C (12:44pm)... and now 4:58pm wind is from E-S-E , so cooling down slowly!
Showers to continue over S. Kerala and S. Tamilnadu till evening of Saturday... ...
W.D will be active over Kashmir, Himachal till 21-Mar...
Last of Easterlies moisture will be over S. kerala till evening of Saturday.. showers expected till then..
Super heat wave will be over Most of Central, N-Peninsula, West, N-W, central India from Sunday..
On 15-Mar,  the highest maximum temperature of 42.5°C was recorded at Bhira (Maharashtra)

Thursday, March 15, 2012

RT @aknarendranath: "@malleshwara: Rains in Bangalore... Pleasant after the hotweather...." @weatherofindia
RT @iAravindh: @weatherofindia rains in Bangalore 8:15 PM IST
On 14-Mar, Tuticorin 9S. Tamilnadu) recorded a heavy rainfall of 7 centimetres.
N, N-W is still cold... lowest   minimum  temperature   of  7.4°C  has   been   recorded   at
chennai - from 17-Mar, Day temp. will rise by 1 or 2 deg and Wind will be from S, S-W till noon and S-E towards evening !
Next strong W.D will reach on Monday, 19-Mar over N-W Kashmir.
The HEAT wave will spread from N, N-W India upto S. Karnataka, S. Andhra, North Tamilnadu, chennai on 20-Mar .. and continue !!
A Heat wave is predicted over N-W, West, Central and into S.central India from Sunday, 18-Mar...
Temperature ALL over West, N-W, Central and central,N-peninsula will start to increase from Saturday ..
chennai - Max. temp was 32.3°C (10:48am) and wind is from N-E now 3:40pm

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Mumbai S'Cruz on Wednesday: 37.5c. Mumbai Colaba today: 35.5c. Vagaries had forecasted a rise for Tues/Wed up tp 36c. Should ease tomorrow (Thursday) as the winds turn North again. 
Ratnagiri on Wednesday : 39.7c ! Pune : 35.1c.

chennai - winds to become South and S-E from tomorrow, day temp. will rise by 1 deg and temp to reach 35 deg from 17/18-Mar
Total DRY and HOT days ahead for 95% of India from 18-Mar !!
Another moderate W.D will enter into Kashmir on 17-Mar..
Showers to continue over S. Tamilnadu, S. kerala till 17-Mar...
A heat wave expected over N-W, W, Central India, N, central Peninsula from 18-Mar..
From 17-Mar, temp. will rise ALL over India .. E, N-E India may be spared ..
The moisture will linger over S. Kerala till 17-Mar... so showers expected ...
Today, the easterlies moisture has moved and now over S. Karnataka, N-W Tamilnadu and Kerala ..
RT @rkglobalmumbai: Cardamom buy on dips as no rain in Kerala from last 3 months.
chennai - had a DRY day yesterday, and today it's BRIGHT and HOT .. max temp was 32.5°C (11:03am) >> this'll rise to 35 deg in coming days
Tuesday and Wednesday..The two hot days predicted for Mumbai.Tuesday was 34c, and now on Wed, 33c at 11 pm ! Heading for 36c it seems !

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

Delhi too was following its schedule with drizzles on Monday night/Tuesday morning. And with a marginal fall in the day from 30c to 27c, it was better off. Night temperature on Tuesday morning was 15c (16c was forecasted).
Forecast for next few days expected to tow the line as mentioned in the weekly forecast.

Mumbai: At it again. Showed its fluctuation, with the day shooting up to 34c (forecasted 35/36c) on Tuesday.
A reader actually  Mailed me  to ask "why fluctuate Temperatures this week? Its very confusing". Not able to correctly get his meaning though .-:)).
As explained in the weekly forecast, this rise was a result of the NE winds which dominated most of the day on Tuesday. Tuesday morninf saw a low of 19c (forecasted 19/20c).
No change in the outlook for Wed/Thursday.

Pune: Refused to give in to the 2 day warming tendency, seen all around. Day's high was stuck at 34c (36c expected) and the night stubbornly at 12.8c (16c). Lets see if Pune wants to go its own way next 2 days or tow vagaries' line  -:))

Bangalore: Clouds have appeared over the city, with light drizzles.

Chennai: Got its rain on Monday, but much below expectations. Only 1.6 mms. Elsewhere in the state, Nagapatinam got 2 cms and Pamban 1cm. Forecast hold good for Wed/Thursday.
More on vagaries.
RT @aknarendranath: @weatherofindia Drizzle, accompanied with a lot of thunder and lightning over Delhi right now(1:12am)... WoW, due to W.D
chennai - reports of light rain coming in from Porur !
RT @ranganaathan: waiting for a blast in T-Nagar RT @weatherofindia: chennai - pallavaram zone had a strong drizzle just 10 min back !!
North India is having a cloudy night, with Kashmir, Himachal having strong showers...
chennai - pallavaram zone had a strong drizzle just 10 min back !!

Monday, March 12, 2012

Rain over S. Kerala & S. Tip of Tamilnadu on 11-Mar.. Here's the rainfall record till 8:30am, 12-Mar..
On 11-Mar, Minimum temperatures rose by 4 to ­7°C over some parts of east Uttar Pradesh, east Madhya Pradesh, Telangana and Vidarbha

Rain over S. Kerala & S. Tip of Tamilnadu on 11-Mar

Aryankavu (Kollam dt) 2, Thuckalay and Kuzhithurai (both Kanyakumari dt), Punalur ,Kollam, Piravom (Ernakulam dt) ,Kayankulam (Alleppey dt) ,Thiruvananthapuram Airport and Nedumangadu (Thiruvananthapuram dt) 1 each.
RT @meethichhuri: Also, It drizzled in Chennai today. Climate was PLEASANT throughout the day. Mazza aa gaya! m/
chennai - expected to get showers during early hours or morning of 13-Mar.
6pm, W.D very active over Kashmir and Easterlies in a lull along Tamilnadu coast..
Easterlies showers will linger over Tamilnadu and Kerala from tomorrow till 16-Mar...
Tomorrow, Easterlies will be active along coastal Tamilnadu, chennai and W.D will be active over Kashmir, Himachal..
A minor heat wave to begin over W-N-W India and N,Central Peninsula from 18-Mar..
From 16-Mar, entire W, N-W, N. Peninsula will start to heat up ..
Tomorrow a High pressure will form over N. Bay.. this'll speed up the exit of Easterlies moisture into Arabian sea..
chennai - now 3:50pm, Heavily Cloudy with sprinkles around.. and temp. at 26.8°C
RT @sarmatangirala: Damnit Rain! Where did you go to? chennai (3:34pm)
RT @jellyfish88: It is raining in my city in March chennai
8pm, a strong W.D has reached N-W Kashmir and Easterlies has reached Central Tamilnadu coast..
chennai - getting ready to host a shower in afternoon, good low cloud formation seen, wind from N-E. Easterlies moisture almost over city!

Sunday, March 11, 2012

Chennai: As a weak easterly wave moves westwards, it is strenghtened by a UAC which will form over S.I. Karnataka. Inflow of moisture and clouds will bring rains on Monday to South T.N. and Chennai. Upto 5-10 mms could be expected in the city. 

The rain spell will last for a couple of days. The rain bearing easterlies will change course as the high forms over the Bay from Wednesday. 
Winds will turn SE from Thursday.
Early in the week, low temperatures will be around 25c, but revert back to 23c after Wednesday.

See all India weekly forecast at:
3pm, Next W.D is at the door steps of W. Kashmir and Easterlies over S.central Bay..
chennai - Rain forecast for city from Monday afternoon till night of 13-Mar...
Showers may reach into S. Andhra coast on 13-Mar.
From 13-Mar to 17-Mar.. showers to continue over S. Tamilnadu..
Entire Tamilnadu coast including chennai may get a T.shower or two from Monday evening till 14-Mar..
A strong W.D will reach N-W Kashmir by tonight.. and expected to last till 16/17-Mar ...
Entire W, N-W, S-W India to start heating from 17-Mar..
Strong Easterlies is now over S.central Bay.. It'll reach entire Tamilnadu coast, chenai by evening of Monday, 12-Mar.
Cold wave over W, N, N-W will go down from 14-Mar.. and then N-W will slowly begin to Heat..
RT @rajugana: Baroda 2.30pm, Clear sky, sunny and breezy.Temp 33-17C range. Cold in the Night / morning. a pic
chennai - as expected day temp. dipped a bit.. 31.2°C (1:41pm)
Today's, 11th March, IMD minimum temperature list on IMD site is wrong, and minimum readings are absolutely haywire. All are wrong, so please do not go on the readings in the list of 8.30 am. 
They may correct it, but as of now, at 10.30 am it is not corrected. However, the ticker on the Home page of IMD shows the correct readings of 11th Morning.
even the temperature  map is not correct

All India Rainfall Toppers - 01.01.2012 to 10.03.2012

The rainfall figures given are in mm (Top 20 places)
  1. Manali (Himachal Pradesh) - 500
  2. Car Nicobar (Andaman & Nicobar Islands) - 401
  3. Anini (Arunachal Pradesh) - 330
  4. Dharmashala (Himachal Pradesh) - 330
  5. Kalpa (Himachal Pradesh) - 330
  6. Nancowry (Andaman & Nicobar Islands) - 305
  7. Bhuntar (Himachal Pradesh) - 270
  8. Kavali (Andhra Pradesh) - 233
  9. Shimla (Himachal Pradesh) - 195
  10. Srinagar - (Jammu & Kashmir) - 190
  11. Hut Bay (Andaman & Nicobar Islands) - 180
  12. Sundernagar (Himachal Pradesh) - 180
  13. Jammu (Jammu & Kashmir) - 170
  14. Passighat (Arunachal Pradesh) - 150
  15. Silchar (Assam) - 150
  16. Port Blair (Andaman & Nicobar Islands) - 150
  17. Pechiparai Dam (Tamil Nadu) - 145
  18. Varakala (Kerala) - 140
  19. Cherrapunji (Megahlaya) - 135
  20. Roing (Arunachal Pradesh) - 130
Other places may also have obtained more rainfall than the station quoted above.

Saturday, March 10, 2012

Mumbai Topples its own Record for March ! 13.4c recorded on 1st March 2012. 
Today, 10th March saw Mumbai S'Cruz dipping to 12.7c, another record broken in 10 days.
Today, Colaba was at 18.0c, also lower than 1st March's 18.4c. 
Nasik and Ahmednagar were 8.0c , 6below normal for Nasik and 9c below for A'Nagar. Pune low was 10.1c.

Friday, March 09, 2012

RT @jaya52: Should visit, Nature Lovers, in the Land of God, Kerala, India-'Vazhachal'-In the kingdom of the Rain God.
@isaakshi >> COLD wave over N, N-W, Central India will last till 13-Mar... and then HEAT ! HEAT !
On 8-Mar, Cold wave conditions prevailed over parts of North Interior Karnataka.
Rare March COLD wave ...
chennai - may get a T.shower on 13-Mar afternoon .. >>>
Easterlies will be very active over S. Tamilnadu from 12 to 16-Mar...
chennai - may have a T.shower on 12, 13-Mar...
Due to easterlies, T.showers possible ALL along Tamilnadu coast on 13, 14-Mar..
Next W.D will reach Kashmir on 12-Mar.
Today, W.D is almost out of Himalayas !!
From 14-Mar, HEAT will be back over Maharastra , Mumbai !!
Upcoming easterlies may bring good rain to S. Tamilnadu and even to entire Tamilnadu coast on 13-Mar..
The easterlies will reach Srilanka, S. Tamilnadu coast on 12/13-Mar..
The cold wave will have it's effect over entire peninsula for next 2 days... Day & night temp to go down by 2 deg C..
Today, A circulation can be seen over S-E corner Bay.. this is the leading head of the upcoming Easterlies.

Rare March COLD wave

Minimum temperatures fell by 2­ to 4°C over  some parts of Jammu &
Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttrakhand, east Uttar Pradesh, east Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh,
Gujarat, south Madhya Maharashtra, interior Tamilnadu, Telangana, Kerala, Karnataka, north
Assam and Meghalaya.
On 8-Mar, lowest minimum temperature of  5.4°C  has been recorded at Erinpura (Rajasthan) in the plains of country.

-- IMD report --
A rare March month COLD wave is sweeping well into Maharastra..
On 8-Mar, highest max. temp. of 39.0°C was recorded at Tirupathi (Andhra Pradesh)... not far from chennai city !!

Thursday, March 08, 2012

WoW... Plastic-Eating Fungi Found in the Amazon May Solve World’s Waste Problem ..
On 7-Mar, lowest minimum temperature of  6.9°C  has been recorded at Pilani (Rajasthan) 
Present W.D will die in another 36 hrs over Uttarakand, Himachal and W. Nepal, And next is expected to reach on 12-Mar.
On 7-Mar.. heavy rain over S. Kerala .. Kollam 7 cm, Kanjirapally (Kottayam dt) and Thodupuzha (Idukki dt) recorded 5 and 3 cm.
Till 12-Mar.. scattered showers possible over S. Kerala and S. tip of Tamilnadu ...
An easterlies moisture from Bay to hit S. Tamilnadu, Srilanka from 12/13-Mar... strong showers possible..
RT @astrallass: In Kerala again @kochi where it is in high 30's very unsettled thou with winds n rain, no doubt due to solar storms (5:58pm)
Day temp. all over peninsula to go down by 2 deg from 11/12-Mar..
Day temp. has gone down over W, N-W, N, Central India.. and it'll remain that way till 11/12-Mar..
Biggest solar storm in years races toward Earth ..
chennai - touches another HOT 34.3°C (11:52am) and felt like 37 deg C. Sea breeze has set in now 2:29pm and temp. going down.!

Another March Cold Record in Maharashtra:

By touching 7.4c, Ahmednagar recorded its lowest March temperature evr on Wednesday. 7th March 2012. (Point No.3 of Sunday's Weekly Forecast). The previous low was 7.5c recorded on 17th March 1980.

M-2 is approaching the northern regions of the sub-continent. M-2 would move iinto Indian states of Kashmir, H.P. and Utteranchal on Sunday 11th. Likely to precipitate snow in the higher ranges and good rainfall in the lower hills of Kashmir and H.P. on Sunday.
By Monday, the system would slide into Western Nepal.

Wednesday, March 07, 2012

chennai - Till 10-Mar, wind will be from S, S-E and direction will change to E, E-N-E with high humidity due to upcoming easterlies.
chennai - Day temp. will go down by 2 deg from 10/11-Mar and stay there till 15-Mar...
Present scattered rain over North N-E states will go down from 10-Mar !
The present W.D will die over Uttarakand, Himachal and Nepal on 9-Mar.. and next is expected around 12/13-Mar..
An easterlies may reach S. Tamilnadu, Srilanka on 13-Mar...
From 9-Mar, entire peninsula will have mild day & night temp....
N, N-W, W, Central India has cooled down today ...
Minimum temperatures fell by 6 to ­7°C  over some parts of  Punjab and Haryana
chennai - Touched a max of 32.5°C (12:28pm)... and now 4pm wind is from S-E

Tuesday, March 06, 2012

On 5-Mar, Scattered rain continue over N-E states and W.D active over Himachal, Uttarakand..
Moisture level over S. kerala is slightly high, Isolated T.showers possible all thru this week till 12-Mar and beyond.
A moderate W.D will reach N-W Kashmir on 7-Mar.. and move S-E into Himachal & Uttarakand on 8,9-Mar...
W, central Maharastra to have high temp. till 12-Mar and beyond ... meanwhile rest of India will have normal temp. from 9-Mar
From tomorrow, entire N, N-W, W, central India will have cooler day & night as fresh cold wave sweeps in from N-W..
chennai - today touched a max of 32.4°C (11:07am) ... Day temp to come back to normal around 31/32 deg C from 9-Mar
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Baroda 10.45am, Clear sky, sunny and temp 36-18C range. A pic of blossom in early summer

Monday, March 05, 2012

chennai - Max. temp was 31.1°C (1:48pm) ... but felt like 35 deg C with moderate humidity!
On Sunday, Day temp were markedly above normal at many places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh.. number of stations recorded 39 degree Celsius.
chennai - present day temp. of 34 / 35 deg C will continue till 10-Mar... and reduce by 2 deg from 10/11-Mar..
Scattered rain over North N-E states will continue even till 10-Mar...
By 6/7-Mar.. W.D will be weak and will be over Nepal, Isolated showers over S. kerala will continue..
Surprisingly COLA models suggests that entire India (including Peninsula) will cool down by 2 to 3 deg C, from 11-Mar..
Present W.D will continue till 7-Mar... at that time another COLD wave will sweep into N-W,W,Central India..
Yesterday & Today, W.D is in full swing over Kashmir, Himachal and into Uttarakand ...
Min and max temp rose by 2 to ­4°C at many places  over  plains  of northwest,
central India. Above normal by 4­ to 8°C over northwest India
RT @georgypaul1: It is hot and humid in kerala . Summer rain not come. Rain rain come again little children wants to play
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Baroda 9.35am, Clear sky, bright sunshine, humid, prelude to Summer !

Saturday, March 03, 2012

chennai - On the temperature part .. slowly it'll reach 34 / 35 deg C in next 2 days and stay there for another 10 to 15 days.
chennai - and when wind is from S-E, E-S-E.. the humidity will be on higher side.
chennai - From today the wind direction is going to be from S, S-W, S-E ... when from S, S-W.. the humidity will be less.
Isolated T.showers over S.kerala along W.Ghats will continue till 9-Mar and beyond.
Meanwhile moisture push into N-E states will continue for next 2 days... scattered rain forecast in entire N-E zone...
W.D will be active over Kashmir, Himachal, Punjab from tomorrow till 7-Mar...
N-W, Central, W. India will have high Day temps. till 6/7-Mar... after that it'll cool down ...
Heating will build up over West, W.central, N-W India from tomorrow...
Next W.D is at the doors of N-W Kashmir...
As expected S. Kerala started to get isolated Showers.. on 2-Mar, Kollam and Kanjirapalli (Kottayam dt) recorded rainfall of 2 and 1 cm
chennai - Today touched a max of 34.0°C (11:55am).. but feels like 36 Deg

Friday, March 02, 2012

On 1-Mar, highest  maximum temperature  of 39.7°C has been recorded at  Kurnool in
(Andhra Pradesh)
chennai - had a very warm morning at 26.0°C (6:24am), and max. temp touched 33.4°C (12:55pm)
chennai - will have wind from S, S-W and S-E , so humidity will be on high side and Day & Night temp. will also be HIGH !!
Mumbai - HEAT will be on higher side from 3-Mar till 6-Mar... after that it'll go down slightly ..
Isolated T.showers possible over S. Kerala Western Ghats from tomorrow till 7/8-Mar.
Scattered showers ALL over N-E states will continue till 5-Mar...
Next moderate W.D will reach Kashmir on 3-Mar.. and will be active on 5,6-Mar...
After 7/8-Mar, N-W, central India may cool again !
From 3-Mar, temp. will be on higher side over W, N-W, Central. India and N, central Peninsula till 7-Mar..
on 3-Mar, a new Anti-cyclone will form over N. Arabian sea and move East into W. India.. this'll rise the day temp...
on 3-Mar, a new Anti-cyclone will form over N. Arabian sea and move East into W. India.. this'll rise the day temp...
The present mild weather for W, W.central, N-W India will go away from Tomorrow till 6-Mar..
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia Baroda 9.50am, chill morning with dew drops around; clear sky with bright sunshine; temp 33-15C.
2:30pm, Scattered showers continue over N-E states, W.D has cleared out, partial cloud cover all along S-E peninsula.
Dust/sand raising winds expected again on Saturday/Sunday in Dubai..could go upto 55-60 kmph.

Thursday, March 01, 2012

On 29-Feb, Min. temp rose by 2 to ­4°C over many  parts   of Rajasthan and some parts of Gujarat region and coastal & south Andhra Pradesh
chennai - Temp. max was 32.9°C (12:08pm) , going to be a mild night and warm & partly cloudy morning. Sea breeze is strong today from E-S-E
Scattered showers all over N-E states till 8:30am of 1-Mar-2012 ...
Meanwhile scattered showers over entire N-E States will continue till 4/5-Mar...
Next moderate W.D to affect N-W kashmir from Sunday, 4-Mar, evening...
Some moisture push to happen over S. Kerala around 6-Mar... so some afternoon T.showers expected ..
The heat will be short lived over N-W, West India (3 to 5-Mar).. before a strong COLD wave moves in from N-W, on 7-Mar.
The heat will pick up over West, N-W India from 3-Mar.. till then mild days and cold nights expected..
N. Peninsula is having a lull in heating ... N,N-W maharastra has cooled up slightly yesterday, today .. will last till 2-Mar
Mumbai region cools down Thursday Morning... Cooling was anticipated in Mah and Gujarat from Wednesday for 2 days ( forecasted earlier). A weak F-4 has brought down the temperatures a bit more than anticipated..
Mumbai S'Cruz was 13.4c (Wednesday Night recorded minimum Thursday Morning). Lowest for this date ,1st March, for S'Cruz  is 15c. Mumbai Colaba was 18.4c, Pune 9.8c, Nasik 8.7c, and Ahmednagar 7.1c.

Note on official start of summer season from today will be up tonite..