Friday, October 14, 2016

October 14, 2016 at 03:36PM

8am, Badlapur, good bye #monsoon and welcome #winter. #weather

from Instagram

End of SW Monsoon, next what ?

Take a look at latest water vapor satellite imagery.. DRY seen over most of #India except S.India. "END of SW #Monsoon 2016" ..
Latest analysis also suggests the same "DRY has set in over most of India" and N,NW winds are prevailing ! ..

Analysis show that elongated circulation is seen from NNE Bay to Central Bay.
A weak circulation along N-coast Kerala.. 
During next 2 days, the N-coast Kerala circulation is expected to drift SSW and place itself over SE-corner Arabian sea as weak circulation ..
Ideally the expected SE-corner Arabian sea circulation is a best scenario for the winds in Bay to become East around this time of year, but, this time TS Sarika in W Pacific is and Will hinder the easterlies flow into SE Bay !

Now coming to TS Sarika in W Pacific .. this is the expected track till 17-Oct.
GFS expects another TS or typhoon following this .. 
We can see that now and in 4 days the Winds will gush towards TS/Typhoon Sarika .
GFS expects another Typhoon in making followed by Sarika..

GFS model suggests that Easterlies will not push into SE Bay till 25-Oct.
N Tamilnadu, #Chennai may have Winter like condition from 18 to 24.
As of now, there's NO chance of North-East Monsoon till 24-Oct !

During next 2 / 3 days.
Heavy afternoon, late-evening T showers for W-ghats Kerala & Tamilnadu, NW,W,SW,S,S-central Tamilnadu..

October 13, 2016 at 11:15PM

For more tweets follow :: @weatherofindia