Thursday, September 23, 2010

7pm, Heavy thunder showers over central and S. Kerala , N. Karnataka and isolated over N-W. Andhra..
Chennai - Had a warm and humid day with max. temp. of 33.7 C (11:18am)... Wind is from E-S-E
Monsoon Floods Devastate Parts of India ...
Heavy rain threatens to affect Australia's warm-up game..
3:30pm, Showers again over S. Tamilnadu, S. Kerala, N. Karnataka, isolated over E. Maharastra, Orissa and Bihar..
@vishalpatil >> If possible please provide us some Weather photos from Bhandardara... during your stay. send ""
@vishalpatil >> Most afternoon showers will be Thunder storms and that too during the END of monsoon season. Enjoy ur trip!!


A super-drencher upper air cyclonic circulation persisting over North-East Rajasthan still has what it takes to coerce seasonal westerlies scoop up moisture from far-off Bay of Bengal and dump it over North-West India.
An itinerant western disturbance has been interacting with monsoon easterlies spawned by a low-pressure area and originating from the Bay over the past few days.

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has warned of the possibility of isolated heavy rainfall over Himachal Pradesh, Uttarkhand, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi, North Rajasthan and West Uttar Pradesh for at least two more days.
The last 24 hours ending on Wednesday afternoon reported widespread rainfall over Himachal Pradesh, Haryana, North-East Rajasthan, Sub-Himalayan West Bengal, Sikkim, Coastal Karnataka and Lakshadweep.
It was fairly widespread over Uttarakhand, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, the North-Eastern States, Gangetic West Bengal, Interior Karnataka and Tamil Nadu, Hardoi, Azamgarh, Gaya, Bankura and Sagar Islands.

International weather forecasters see the possibility of year 2010 monsoon, now on its final leg, lashing its tail over the south peninsula from this weekend.
As on Wednesday, the season has delivered 104 per cent rainfall, only two percentage points away from hitting the ‘upper circuit' as estimated in IMD's long-range forecast.
Most weather models see a phase of negative outgoing long wave radiation (OLR) enveloping Eastern and South-East Arabian Sea and contiguous Central Equatorial Indian Ocean and South-West Bay of Bengal from this weekend.
Negative OLR means less terrestrial radiation escaping into the atmosphere thanks to the presence of cloudiness over the region.

The setting resembles monsoon onset conditions except that a cyclonic circulation sitting over the Bay and entering the Tamil Nadu coast would drive in easterlies over the peninsula to trigger the rains.
The Climate Prediction Centre (CPC) of the US National Weather Services is of the view that Peninsular India would slip under end-of-season monsoon rains during the week ending September 29.
Extended forecasts indicate that these rains could continue into the next week (September 30 to October 6) as well.
International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society sees above normal rainfall for an area surrounding South Interior Karnataka until Saturday.
Contiguous regions of Tamil Nadu and Rayalaseema are also expected to witness fairly widespread to scattered rains, the IRI said.
In the North, heavy to very rains have been forecast over Nepal, East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar, Gangetic West Bengal and North-East India.
An IMD update on Wednesday showed the presence of convective clouds over parts of Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, North-East Rajasthan, East Uttar Pradesh, North Bihar, South Chhattisgarh, South-East Arabian Sea, South-East Bay of Bengal and Andaman sea.
The IMD has also located an upper air cyclonic circulation over South Coastal Tamil Nadu and neighbourhood.
Its forecast valid until Saturday said that fairly widespread rain or thundershowers are likely over Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarkhand, West Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh, Delhi and North Rajasthan during the next two days before gradually lifting.
Fairly widespread rainfall would also occur over the North-Eastern States, Bihar, West Bengal, Sikkim, South Peninsular India, Lakshadweep and Andaman and Nicobar Islands during this period.
Extended forecast until Monday indicated that the fairly widespread rainfall would continue over the Northeastern States and South Peninsular India.
Here's the GFS prediction of Depression / Low over S-E Arabian Sea on 29,30-Sep... ...
Around 29-Sep, the present Low circulation will emerge over S-E Arabian Sea ... and it's predicted to become as a Depression on 30-Sep-2010.
Showers for S. Tamilnadu & S. Kerala is expected to be at its peak on 27,28,29-Sep.
Today's Low level circulation over N.Srilanka & N. Gulf of Mannar.. will cross S. Tamilnadu in 2 days.
@vishalpatil >> ... and with Some passing clouds and only 15% chance of Afternoon or late evening showers. Visit.
@vishalpatil >> As the Monsoon has almost died down.. and with a Anti-cyclone over Central Maharastra.. You can expect mostly clear skies...
2:02pm, Reports of Thunder storm over N. Kanyakumari district (S. Tamilnadu)...
A medium level Anti-cyclone is setting over central Maharastra ..
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia, Baroda 10.00am, Sunny hot and humid, clear skies.
Chennai - To the east over the Bay, we can see number of small thunder cells... Signs of early Monsoon ??
RT @openeyenews: Monsoon to withdraw from Rajasthan by early Oct-Met