Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Cricket weather - 1st Test, Ind v Eng at Chennai

Weather forecast for 1st cricket test match between India and England at Chennai, from 11-Dec-08 to 15-Dec-08.

Before going into forecast, take a look at the latest satellite pic from IMD.
Since the remnant of "07B" is moving north in Arabian sea, there's a possibility that the cloud formations in the South-Bay of Bengal (near srilanka) can move inland and cause some scaterred showers over Tamilnadu.
And recent 5 day COLA GFS models suggests that there'll be showers for Tamilnadu coast after 13-Dec-08.
Forecast for the match days:
Partly cloudly with sunshine thru all days of the match.
Since the North-east current is strong, there are 60% chance of mild/sharp showers in early mornings, before the start of play. And 50% chance of showers in late evening also, that too after the match time is over.
So RAIN will not affect the course of play during the first 3 days.
Last 2 days of the match might be affected by some heavy sharp showers, that too a 70% possibility.
We'll keep tracking the weather conditions of the match.

Any life left in "07B" ??

Here is the latest from JTWC.
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THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL CYCLONE 07B (SEVEN) PREVIOUSLY
LOCATED NEAR 6.5N 78.5E, IS NOW NEAR 6.7N 74.7E APPROXIMATELY 310 NM
WEST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, AND HAS TRACKED GENERALLY WESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST 06 HOURS. RECENT ANIMATED INFRARED IMAGERY AND A
091439Z SSMI PASS SHOW CONVECTION AROUND A POORLY DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAS REDUCED IN SIZE AND INTENSITY AND
BROKEN UP INTO FRAGMENTS. ALTHOUGH THE SYSTEM HAS MOVED INTO AN AREA
OF LIGHT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, COOLER AIR FROM THE NORTHERN ARABIAN
SEA IS INHIBITING ANY SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. DUE TO A WEAK LLCC AND
INFLUX OF DRY COOL AIR INTO 07B, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS
POOR.
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Going by latest satellite pic, "07B" has huge cloud mass and it has moved North further into Arabian sea. No worries for India as of now.