Monday, February 28, 2011

8pm, Heavy activity over S-W Bay near Srilanka and over Kashmir, Punjab ....
An anti-cyclone is over Chatisgarh and Orissa... it'll stay there for another 3 or 4 days.
S-W Bay UAC will move over S. Srilanka in 24hrs and more showers expected for Srilanka ...
Chennai - had a mild morning 22.5 C (6:00am) ... max temp reached 29.2 C (1:04pm)... Less humidity and with DRY stiff breeze from N-E
2:30pm, Isolated thunder storms seen over Central and N.central Maharastra .. .
2:30pm, An active W.D has started over Kashmir, Himachal and Punjab ... it'll be all very active in another 12 hrs..
Min temp are below normal by 2­ to 3 C
over U.P, Gujarat, West Bengal, Orissa, and coastal A.P, Haryana, Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha.
Mumbai :: This monsoon, MMS alerts to warn of disaster...
Mumbai :: This monsoon, MMS alerts to warn of disaster...

Saturday, February 26, 2011

RT @banerjeesouvik: it's going to rain badly here at Bangalore, covers are on..rains can come any moment.
5:30pm, We can see a whirl over S. Bay UAC ... .
5:30pm, Isolated thunder cells can be seen over W-N-W Tamilnadu and over S. Karnataka .. .
5:30pm, Again heavy rain over S. Kerala ... while W.D over kashmir is weakening ...
RT @hafeezgani: Heavy Rain in my village. And my village is 40 km from Bangalore....Tomorrow's match is in serious trouble (5:24pm)
On 25-Feb, "Heavy rain disrupts England practice session" (Cricket world cup) ...
25-Feb-2011, Heavy rain in Kanyakumari district (Tamilnadu) ...
Today, 70% chance of Thunder shower after 3pm Srilanka time .. this may affect the PAK v SRI LANKA Cricket world cup match.
Chennai - Having a dry day now 1:31pm... and touched a low of 22.5 C (4:45am).. Day high reached 28.4 C (1:19pm)... trend till 2-Mar
12:30pm, Cloudy over Himachal, Uttarakand and Kashmir... and cloudy over Gulf Mannar and S-E Tamilnadu ...
S-W Peninsula needs 2 more Doppler radars ... one at Goa and another at Trivandrum
Another active W.D will start on evening of 28-Feb and will go strong till 5-Mar.. Kashmir, Himachal, punjab are in for Heavy rain
In the series for W.D affecting Kashmir... the present one will cease on 27-Feb
S-E Tamilnadu and Srilanka are in for more rain on 1,2,3-Mar...
Kerala and S. Tamilnadu rains will decrease / cease from today.
50% chance of Rain for Bangalore on 27-Feb... and may spoil the IND v ENG Cricket world cup match.
Today the UAC is over S-E Bay... it'll move slowly to the west and might affect Srilanka again around 1 or 2-Mar...
From 27-Feb evening to 2-Mar ... Srilanka and S-E Tamilnadu coast will have high CAPE and more chances of thunder shower.
The CAPE factor and precipitable water along S. Tamilnadu and Kerala are pretty high... this will ensure more rains..
RT @akshaydeoras: Doppler Weather Radar ( DWR) to be inaugurated at 1000hrs on 27th Feb 2011 ( Sun) in Nagpur.
RT @rajugana: @weatherofindia, Baroda 9.45am, Cold winds from NE, min temp around 18C, Clear sky, Sunny and day temp on the raise.

Friday, February 25, 2011

The present cloud cover over Punjab and N-W Rajasthan will spread ALL over Haryana, Central and E. Rajasthan and into N-W U.P in next 4 hrs
6:30pm, Heavy thunder shower over S.central Kerala and S-W Srilanka .. ...
6:30pm, Heavy cloud cover over N-W India, And heavy rain over W. Punjab, Kashmir and Himachal ...
Met department to purge weather forecast of jargon...
The present W.D over Kashmir will move away around 27-Feb and another active one will start on 1-Mar ... and will continue beyond 4-Mar
S-S-E. Bay is having a UAC now... If it sustains for another 3 days it'll impact Srilanka again around 1-Mar...
RT @akshaydeoras: Intense convection happening in Nagpur right now.
45% chance of Thunderstorm at night with isolated rainfall!
Chennai - Temp. touched a max of 28.8 C (1:33pm) and now 2:30pm going down... Having wind from N-N-E
Chennai - after a week of warm mornings.. today it was bit cold at 22.5 C (6:33am)... this'll be the trend till 28-Feb
S. Kerala and S. Tamilnadu will get thunder showers today as well.
RT @siljasachin: @nidhi_razdan if you want to enjoy the beauty of rain go to gods own country,kerala in the month of june or july..
1pm, W.D continues to impact Kashmir , Himachal and Punjab ... One system is now over Nepal and moving East..
Nagercoil - Showers almost all night long till morning of 25-Feb-2011

Thursday, February 24, 2011

7pm, Thunder cells popping over N. Rajasthan, N-W U.P, S.Cent Tamilnadu and cloudy and rain all along S. Western ghats..

Magnitude 6.3 Earthquake near Christchurch, NZ

At 12:51 p.m. local time on February 22, 2011 (11:51 p.m. February 21 UTC), a 6.3-magnitude earthquake struck the South Island of New Zealand, the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reported. Several smaller aftershocks followed. The quake occurred near the city of Christchurch, a community of some 400,000 residents on the east coast. The initial death toll was 65, according to news reports, and authorities warned that the toll could rise sharply as search-and-rescue efforts continued.
This map shows the earthquakes that occurred near Christchurch since September 3, 2010. On that day a magnitude 7.1 quake struck to the west of Christchurch. Black circles represent earthquakes from September 3, 2010, until February 21, 2011. Red circles show the locations of the magnitude 6.3 quake and aftershocks on February 22 and the morning of February 23. Larger circles represent stronger earthquakes. Yellow shows urban areas, including Christchurch.
The USGS characterized the 6.3-magnitude quake on February 22 as an aftershock of the quake that struck to the west, in Darfield, New Zealand, on September 3, 2010. Darfield lies about 50 kilometers (30 miles) west-northwest of Christchurch. Although no specific tectonic structure linked the two events, numerous aftershocks of the September quake occurred along a roughly east-west line, as this image indicates. The USGS stated that the quakes were associated with regional tectonic plate boundary deformation. The Pacific Plate and the Australia Plate interact under the South Island of New Zealand.
The Darfield earthquake in September 2010 caused no casualties, even though it had a higher magnitude. Besides striking closer to a major population center, the 6.3-magnitude Christchurch earthquake had a depth of just 5 kilometers (3 miles). The New Zealand Herald reported that, whereas the Darfield quake happened in the early morning hours, the February 22 quake struck at the “worst possible time” of day—at the lunch hour when city streets were crowded with shoppers, diners, office workers, and school children. Moreover, some of the buildings that collapsed may have been weakened by the September 2010 quake.
Effects of the Christchurch earthquake were felt some 200 kilometers (125 miles) away, along the South Island’s west coast. A 30 million-tonne (33 million-ton) chunk of ice broke off from the Tasman Glacier, and slid into Tasman Lake. In fact, officials had expected ice would break off the glacier, although they expected the event to result from heavy rainfall caused by La Niña.

RT @jnaneshwara: Raining in Bangalore now..Second rain less than week.Rain in Feb! Any body has any idea why its raining in winter? (6:40pm)
RT @ramsdme: In coorg rain from after noon.Nice things happen too fast.
RT @arun8gb: Rain. Hei. I have missed you. Welcome back. Bangalore (5:12pm)
Rain map of India till 8:30am, 24-Feb-2011 ...
Min. temp over E.central India has gone down again by 2-4 deg C... meanwhile lowest   minimum temperature of 4.6 C was at Amritsar(Punjab)
Chennai - Min. temp will have a 1 or 2 deg C dip from tomorrow morning... as DRY conditions set in again,

South India Rainfall on 23-Feb-2011

Aruppukottai (Virudunagar dt) recorded a heavy rainfall of 7 centimetres:
          Chengannur (Alapuzha dt) 6, Venkatagiri Town (Nellore dt), T.Narsipur (Mysore dt), Kancheepuram, Thamaraipakkam (Tiruvallur dt) and Valparai 5 each, Kuppady (Waynad dt), Thrithala (Palakkad dt), Mavelikara and Mancompu (both Alapuzha dt), Chickodi (Belgaum dt), Manthala (Bidar dt), Sravanabelagola (Hassan dt), Bhagamandala (Kodagu dt), Srirangapattinam (Mandya dt), Uthiramerur (Kancheepuram dt), Tiruvallur, R.S.Mangalam (Ramanathapuram dt), Shenkottah (Tirunelveli dt), Mettupalayam (Coimbatore dt) and Coonoor 3 each, Tada (Nellore dt), Chalakudy (Thrissur dt), Kozha (Kottayam dt), Kollam, Dharwad, Harangai (Kodagu dt), Krishnarajpet (Mandya dt), Nanjangud (Mysore dt), Vadipatti (Madurai dt), Mahabalipuram (Kanceepuram dt), Cheyyar (Tiruvannamalai dt), Pappireddipatti (Dharmapurai dt), Periyanaickanpalayam (Coimbatore dt), Gopichettipalayam (Erode dt), Madurai Airport, Watrap and Srivillipudur (both Virudunagar dt) 2 each and Kavali, Rapur (Nellore dt), Sankeshwar (Belguam dt), Afzalpur (Gulbarga dt), Gulbarga, M,M,Hills (Chamrajnagar dt), Halli Mysore (Hassan dt), Napoklu and Somwarpet (both Kodagu dt), Krishnarajasagara (Mandya dt), Sholavandan (Madurai dt), Maduranthagam and Sriprumpudur (both Kancheepuram dt),  Tindivanam (Villupuram dt), Rameshwaram (Ramanathapuram dt), Needamangalam (Tiruvarur dt), Tenkasi (Tirunelveli dt), Pechiparai (Kanyakumari dt), Walajapet (Vellore dt), Kundhabridge (Nilgiris dt), Uthagamandalam and Sivakasi (Virudunagar dt) 1 each. 
4pm, More heavy rain / snow over Kashmir and Himachal, Rain over S, S-W Karnataka and S.central Kerala ...
The north westerlies will be strong along West and N-W India on 25, 26-Feb
Record snowfall in Himachal this year has revived more than 2,000 glaciers ...

Early forecasts favour normal pre-monsoon, monsoon seasons

India might just be looking at enhanced probabilities for normal to slightly above normal rainfall during both the pre-monsoon and monsoon seasons as per earliest available assessment by leading global long-range weather forecasters.
These are early indicators subject to updates on a month-to-month basis and should be viewed with caution, independent analysts warn.
The La Nina conditions in the equatorial and east Pacific, which are normally identified with a successful Indian monsoon without direct cause-effect relationship, has peaked over.
The hyper-active equatorial Pacific is now expected to relapse into what is said to be ‘neutral’ conditions (neither La Nina nor contra-indicative El Nino) to coincide with the Indian monsoon.
But the very fact that the probabilities of much-feared El Nino, whose tenure in the warmer east and equatorial Pacific has in the past suppressed rainfall over this part of the world, may not rear its head is reassuring enough, according to one expert.
The last word has not been said yet, he cautioned.
But global models – including the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University; the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts; the UK Met Office; and the Tokyo Climate Centre as well as the Regional Institute for Global Change under the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology - projected a normal to slightly above-normal Indian monsoon, 2011.
There are bound to be individual pockets of below-normal rainfall, though, a list of which would be closely watched. Global models differed in their interpretation of the spatial distribution of rainfall.
Some of them indicate southern peninsula may witness some deficiency because of anticipated above-normal pre-monsoon (March-April-May) showers and incidental cooling of the landmass.
Some others see the regional deficit panning out in a pattern reminiscent of the season before (2010 monsoon) that saw east, east-central and northeast India bearing the brunt of the deficit.
A third opinion looked to the usual suspect, northwest India, to throw up a deficit but without attributing any specific reason. 
Chennai - After 2 days of rain ... today having a partly cloudy day... with wind from E-N-E... Humidity is on higher side.
At present we can see a Upper level circulation taking shape over S-E Bay ...
Thunder showers for S. tamilnadu and S. Kerala will last till 27-Feb.
Today the wind direction along S-E peninsula is from N-E... this'll dry up the rains hanging along the S-E coast.
An UAC expected over S-E Bay on tomorrow, but it'll not last long.
Our previous post was mentioned as "11:30pm" ... actually its "11:30am" ... 11:30am, S, S-E Bay is having lots of convective activity ... and S. Kerala coast is also active ...
11:30am, W.D over Kashmir and Himachal seems to be slightly weakened ..
Upper air cyclonic circulation in lower levels over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood is moving away westwards
11:30pm, S, S-E Bay is having lots of convective activity ... and S. Kerala coast is also active ...
RT @rajugana: Slight fall in min temp 15.7C, Crystal clear blue sky, bright sun shine clearing the fog, chillness in the air.
Mumbai :: 'Unpredictable weather on the cards' ...

Wednesday, February 23, 2011

Record snowfall in HP revives 2,000 glaciers

MANALI: Record snowfall in Himachal this year has revived more than 2,000 glaciers.

Almora's G B Pant Institute of Himalayan Environment and Development's senior scientist J C Kuniyal said apart from reviving the glaciers , this year's record snowfall would also boost the crop cycle. "It is difficult to understand the environment. As we start talking about the dry winters, record snowfall leaves stunned everyone," he said.

He cautioned that unequal snowfall remains a matter of concern. But Lahaul-Spiti has received more than 175-cm snow in first 16 days of February, breaking the earlier record of 148-cm for the month in 1998.

Wonder why a senior climatologist should admit being stunned by record snowfall this year?  This blog has been regularly warning of such a prospect linked with a strong La Niña from July last year!

Read more:

RT @ggopi2808: Warm welcome into God's own country wit a blinding rain. Literally. My train halted for an hour. (9:03pm)
6pm, Fresh thunder cells over S,S-W Maharastra, Heavy rain over S. Kerala...
Rain for kerala (mainly S. Kerala) to continue till 27-Feb ...
Showers for Tamilnadu and Kerala to continue for another 24 hrs...
upper air cyclonic circulation in lower levels over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood persists.
Rain on 22-Feb ::  Coonoor­ 13, Chennai ­8, Kottayam­ 6, Bapatla, Thiruvananthapuram,
Machilipatinam, Kodaikanal ­3 CM
2:30pm, Thunder cells popping over S.S-E Tamilnadu, S-W Karnataka ...
2:30pm, Active W.D is really active over Kashmir and Himachal and slowly moving into Uttarakand ...

Rains from Tropical Cyclone Carlos.. over N-W Australia

Tropical Cyclone Carlos brought heavy rains to the coasts of Northern Territory and Western Australia in February 2011. In the Northern Territory city of Darwin, Carlos helped break rainfall records in what was already an unusually rainy month. The storm’s high winds and heavy rains also forced the suspension of petroleum mining projects in Western Australia, according to news reports.
This color-coded image shows rainfall amounts along the northwestern coast of Australia from February 15 to 22, 2011. The heaviest rainfall amounts—400 millimeters or nearly 16 inches—appear in dark blue. The lightest amounts—50 millimeters or less than 2 inches—appear in light green. The storm track for Carlos is superimposed on the rainfall amounts. Carlos maintained a fairly uniform storm intensity from February 17 to 22.
The U.S. Navy’s Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) reported that, as of 11:00 p.m. Western Australia time on February 22, Carlos was located roughly 100 nautical miles (185 kilometers) east-northeast of Learmonth, Western Australia. The storm had maximum sustained winds of 55 knots (100 kilometers per hour) and gusts up to 70 knots (130 kilometers per hour). Carlos was forecast to maintain its current strength over the next 12 hours then move west of Learmonth and intensify slightly. The storm was not expected to transition to an extra-tropical storm for about 96 hours.
This image is based on data from the Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis produced at Goddard Space Flight Center, which estimates rainfall by combining measurements from many satellites and calibrating them using rainfall measurements from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite.

Tweets about Kerala Rain on 22-Feb-2011

tom_mathew @nehasnair Rain??? in kerala? That's sad. Let me know where's your next gig.
Wed, 23 Feb 2011 02:06:36 +0000
from web reply view

glenpaulfrancis @sri50 heavy rain in Kerala too :D
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 18:42:43 +0000
from web reply view

g30rg322 RT @kra3: Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thrissur
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 16:15:30 +0000
from web reply view

Ituralde Rain and thunder in end of February. Oh! Kerala!
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:57:13 +0000
from Snaptu reply view

vineethjose so almost everywhere in kerala #rains RT @ArnRav @VineethJose And in Kochi & Thrissur too :) #Rain
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:44:21 +0000
from web reply view

snooyegubbii heavy rain in Palghat , Kerala... it was unexpected???
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:31:25 +0000
from web reply view

hashkerala RT @vishnuprasad007: Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thrissur
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:26:16 +0000
from Mobile Web reply view

vishnuprasad007 Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thrissur
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:24:57 +0000
from Mobile Web reply view

sunherigal The rain in kerala is awesome.... its greenary everywhere and soo soo beautiful...
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:23:42 +0000
from Nimbuzz Mobile reply view

REGINGEORGE Huuuuuu.....heavy rain in kerala....
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:22:29 +0000
from Nimbuzz Mobile reply view

hashkerala RT @bioismypassion: wow ..wish i was there..RT @rtkeralam: RT @kra3: Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thrissur
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 15:10:47 +0000
from HootSuite reply view

Usman_Nomi RT @bioismypassion: wow ..wish i was there..RT @rtkeralam: RT @kra3: Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thr
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 14:59:22 +0000
from Snaptu reply view

bioismypassion wow ..wish i was there..RT @rtkeralam: RT @kra3: Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thrissur
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 14:57:27 +0000
from HootSuite reply view

rtkeralam RT @kra3: Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thrissur
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 14:56:24 +0000
from twitterfeed reply view

hashkerala RT @kra3: Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thrissur
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 14:55:42 +0000
from web reply view

kra3 Hey, It's raining here, with thunder storms. Wow. :D #rain #kerala #thrissur
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 14:53:28 +0000
from web reply view

hashkerala RT @shaiju: Wooow, #thunder #lightning. Pheww... #rain #kerala #oasis
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 14:10:17 +0000
from Twitter for BlackBerry® reply view

saumya_surekha RT @danyvarghese: In kerala what follows after rain ?? Ans: power failure sponsored by KSEB.
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 14:00:02 +0000
from Gravity reply view

neeraj7glad RT @danyvarghese: In kerala what follows after rain ?? Ans: power failure sponsored by KSEB.
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 13:58:54 +0000
from Gravity reply view

shaiju Wooow, #thunder #lightning. Pheww... #rain #kerala #oasis
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 13:57:54 +0000
from Twitter for BlackBerry® reply view

hashkerala RT @shaiju: Unexpected rain, wow. After a long time... #Kerala...
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 13:40:07 +0000
from Twitter for BlackBerry® reply view

shaiju Unexpected rain, wow. After a long time... #Kerala...
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 13:39:34 +0000
from Twitter for BlackBerry® reply view

hashkerala RT @sreenath_pkd: Wow ! Rain striking one district after the other... #Kerala...
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 12:24:19 +0000
from Chromed Bird reply view

MASHUCHOORI Surprised RAIN in cochin,kerala #india
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 12:20:12 +0000
from Dabr reply view

sreenath_pkd Wow ! Rain striking one district after the other... #Kerala...
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 12:14:06 +0000
from Chromed Bird reply view

dotcompals @sreenath_pkd no idea about the condition in Palakkad. Here at Tattamangalam it's raining since 4.54pm #Palakkad #rain #Kerala
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 12:04:57 +0000
from Twitter for iPhone reply view

danyvarghese In kerala what follows after rain ?? Ans: power failure sponsored by KSEB.
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 09:32:37 +0000
from Gravity reply view

SHIJUKKONNI Check this video out -- Rhapsody of rain Monsoon Kerala Invis Multimedia DVD via @youtube
Tue, 22 Feb 2011 09:21:11 +0000
from Tweet Button reply view