Thursday, September 03, 2015

#Drought #Alert for #India

Today, Monsoon is weak over Peninsula but a circulation over Srilanka, S-W Bay can bring T showers !
A low-level circulation seen over N Bengal and its N-S trough seen up to S-W Bay with a circulation over S-W Bay..

At mid,upper-levels a trough seen from N Bengal to N Bay is keeping N-E states, Bangladesh active with heavy rain ..
The mid-level circulation persists over S Gujarat along with its trough upto N-central Arabian sea.
This is September, the N-W India heat LOW is weakening and pressure around 1002 / 3mb today.
NO west coast offshore trough observed today !

#Drought #Alert for #India
Almost NO sign of Monsoon revival for N,N-W,W India during next 5 days !

11:30am, Most of India is dry, except N-E India and Tamilnadu ! ...

In next 36/48 hrs..
S-W Bay circulation is expected to drift West crossing S Tamilnadu and push into S-E Arabian sea ..
mid-level (700hpa) circulation over Gujarat is expected to persist till Saturday, this'll give some T showers for S-E,E Gujarat, W,S-W M.P

After the Bay circulation drifts into S-E Arabian sea... a monsoon revival can be expected for Kerala, Karnataka coast from 5/6-Sep !

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs

Before morning of 4-Sep...
Scattered T showers for many zones in Tamilnadu into S Andhra, S,S-E Karnataka.
And N-E Andhra, Odisha.
Today, T showers for W-ghats of Tamilnadu, Kerala and Karnataka expected ...

central,S-E,N Coastal Tamilnadu to get moderate rain after midnight and towards early morning of 4-Sep.
#Chennai - W,S-W,N-W suburb can get a T shower before 8pm today.
Light rain towards early morning of 4-Sep.

On 4-Sep..
More scattered T showers for Interior, W-ghats of Tamilnadu.
HEAVY rain alert for W-ghats and S-tip Tamilnadu.
4-Sep, can witness HEAVY scattered T showers over S,S-central Karnataka 
Moderate rain for N-E Andhra, into S Odisha.
From 5-Sep, coastal Kerala and Karnataka to get good showers !

During next 2 days, S,central zones of N-E states to get Heavy rain !