Tuesday, June 02, 2015

Weather at June 02, 2015 at 11:58PM

6:33pm, a beautiful dusk view from Dohnavur. #weather

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Weather at June 02, 2015 at 11:56PM

4:43pm, cloudy over S of Tumkur. It drizzled at around 6:11pm. #weather

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Revised ESSO-IMD (SWM 2015) forecast.

Due to the revised SWM-2015 forecast of ESSO-IMD there is a fall in sensex index in India. EARTH SYSTEM SCIENCE ORGANISATION[ESSO]-IMD now re-estimated the country's rainfall at 88% of Long Period Average.

W Bay circulation is now tracked as 94B

Today, the mid,upper-level circulation has drifted North and now over W Bay near to S,central coast Andhra .. http://ow.ly/i/b66aT
This mid,upper-level circulation is now tracked as 94B.
There's no low-level circulation associated with this system.

At low-levels, a LWD is seen from N-central India (N Madhyapradesh) to S-coast Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/b66N6
Present W Bay circulation 94B is expected to Slowly drift W-N-W into N Andhra coast on 4-Jun and continue west .. http://ow.ly/i/b66QP
On, 6-Jun, the Bay circulation is expected to drift into Arabian sea along central coast Karnataka and intensify.. http://ow.ly/i/b66Vs

On 5-Jun, evening, the Monsoon is expected to launch into S,central Kerala coast !
At present a low,mid-level circulation also seen over S Arabian sea and this is activating the cross-equatorial wind and the Somali jet !

Due to 94B, During next 36hrs...
HEAVY T showers expected along S,central,N-E coast of Andhra ... http://ow.ly/i/b68td 
More HEAVY T showers for S,S-central,S-E,S-W Karnataka and Bangalore on today and 3-Jun.
Today, tomorrow - more scattered T showers over N,N-W,w-ghats Tamilnadu.

WD update
The upper-level WD trough persists along N,N-W India tilting S-W upto S Pakistan ... http://ow.ly/i/b694w 
This upper-level WD trough is expected to persist in same zone for next 48hrs.
Due to WD trough...
Scattered T showers for Kashmir, Himachal, S,S-W,central,E Rajasthan.
One or two over Punjab, Haryana and W Uttarpradesh


The SWM winds have penetrated upto 100 Deg East IN LOWER LATITUDES.  That to the vertical depth of westerly is APPROXIMATELY up to one km amsl.  This weak westerlies make cycir-upper air circulation-[just like monsoon depression] and as a result (of Yesterday's cycir) it was cloudy over North Chennai [of course with light rain] and south CAP un to Machilipattinam.  This will further move northerly and give lesser rain.

Even the 200 hPa wind is weak NEly.  The 100 hPa wind at Chennai [i.e 13 Deg N] is also Easterly with strength 36knots. The SWM penetration aloft [~1.5km amsl] is producing weather in Bay and SE Indian coast.

Similarly the weak UAC in AS may pull SWly winds to AS.


Weather at June 02, 2015 at 09:09AM

An early morning click from Chamundi hills. But Where is it? http://goo.gl/Mqb0ys .. #weather

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