Thursday, August 21, 2014

Rain...Rain...... going away

 In the previous post the "condensation Trail" is depicted over  Chennai.  This implies moisture at 30,000 ft .  The warm air advection will bring rain tomorrow morning.
                              or
At least clouding will be there in Chennai tomorrow [22.08.2014] morning. 

This WMO [Severe Weather Information Center-SWIC] picture indicates TS over Tamil Nadu along 10 Deg Parallel too. 
Rapid formation will be there
As the SUN is marching towards south, the south Indian ocean is slowly getting warmth.  This means strength of SWM will be reducing .

The SWM seasonal rainfall pattern for TN

Weather Instagram at August 21, 2014 at 06:49PM

#chennai - 6:30pm, a warm and clear evening. No rain expected on Friday. #weather


from Instagram

@VigneshMohan >> For #Chennai - there's a good chance of T shower over W,S-W suburbs on Saturday evening !

Today as well the low-level trough is seen along S-E coast dipping South upto S tip tamilnadu... http://ow.ly/i/6CJbQ
In this trough, a low,mid-level circulation is embedded and located over S Tamilnadu, Gulf Mannar ... http://ow.ly/i/6CMsL

Yesterday's upper-level circulation over S-E corner Arabian sea near to S Kerala coast persists ... http://ow.ly/i/6CNdD

In next 3 days, the mid-level circulation is expected to drift N-N-W from S Tamilnadu and emerge over Arabian sea along Karnataka coast.
By Sunday, the low-level circulation is expected to reach #Mumbai coast after traveling from S Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/6CNjD
In 2/3 days, the upper-level circulation will persist over Lakshadweep after moving N-N-W from present position ... http://ow.ly/i/6CNta

N Bay is expected to be CALM till 26-Aug !

Rainfall forecast for next 2 days ::
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

In next 12hrs, Scattered T showers expected ALL along W-ghats from N Maharastra to S tip Tamilnadu ! .. http://youtu.be/igEoI77-wa8
Today late-evening,into early morning...
Scattered HEAVY rain ahead over Karnataka, S,central,E Maharastra, W,N,N-W Andhra into S Chatisgarh
Before midnight today...
Scattered HEAVY T showers expected over central,W,N,N-W Tamilnadu... http://youtu.be/igEoI77-wa8
Tomorrow afternoon again...
HEAVY scattered T showers expected ALL along W-ghats from central Maharastra to S-tip Tamilnadu.
Friday, HEAVY scattered T showers to continue over W,S,central,N-W Tamilnadu ... http://youtu.be/igEoI77-wa8
Friday afternoon... scattered rain expected over Odisha, Jharkhand and into S Bengal.
Scattered T showers for Karnataka to continue on tomorrow.
More T showers ahead for W,S-W,N-W karnataka on Saturday as well.

From early hrs of Saturday, HEAVY widespread rain expected over S,central,W-ghats Kerala and over S tip Tamilnadu.
On Saturday, HEAVY widespread rain for Kerala, Karnataka coast, W-ghats, S tip Tamilnadu ... http://ow.ly/i/6CPus 
12:30pm, Heavy morning rain along #Mumbai has almost vanished now... http://ow.ly/i/6CIN3 
12:30pm, lots of fresh T showers has popped over N-central Maharastra, Odisha and into Jharkhand .. http://ow.ly/i/6CIN3

RT @dna: #Mumbai - Waterlogging in Dadar due to heavy rain http://t.co/18891Mua5G http://t.co/QVjguVZtsu