Monday, August 31, 2015

Monsoon over Peninsula is expected to be WEAK till 6-Sep !!

Today, at low-levels..
A circulation seen over N Bengal and its trough seen South up to N Tamilnadu coast ...
And, another circulation seen over central Pakistan and its trough seen up to N-N-E Arabian Sea ...

In mid-level (700hpa), a weak trough seen from central Pakistan to N-E Arabian sea near to S,S-W Gujarat coast..
Today as well the West coast offshore trough is weak ..only seen along S coast Gujarat to S-central coast Maharastra ..
Weak or NO west coast offshore trough is the Trend of this SW monsoon so far and there's no change expected for next 3 days !!
Even the mid,upper-level RH is also weak (very weak) at this time of year ...

During next 2 days, the central Pakistan circulation and its trough up to N-E Arabian sea is expected to persist at low,mid-levels.
Trough will continue to whip up some moderate rain for N coast Maharastra, Mumbai, S,S-E Gujarat for 1 / 2 days ..
For most of N,N-W,W India, almost NO rain expected from 2/3-Sep till 6-Sep !!

From 3-Sep, the monsoon current is expected to become very weak over Peninsula and even the Bay wing.
This condition will drop a low-level N-S trough from Jharkhand to S-tip Tamilnadu on 3/4-Sep ...

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
Due to weak monsoon conditions and N-S trough and LWD formation... T shower activity expected to pick over central, S peninsula from 2-Sep

Before morning of 1-Sep...
Scattered rain over N-E Andhra, Odisha, S,central Chatisgarh, Jharkhand and S,S-W Bengal.
For next 36hrs... heavy, widespread rain expected for  N Bengal and over many zones of N-E India.
Only scattered rain expected along Maharastra coast, Karnataka coast and Kerala during next 36hrs.

N-E Tamilnadu, #Chennai and S Andhra can get a T shower after 5pm and before am tonight.

On 1-Sep...
Again, scattered moderate rain for N-E Andhra, S,central Chatisgarh, Odisha, S,S-E Madhyapradesh, Jharkhand, S,S-W Bengal.
On 1-Sep, almost NO rain expected over N-E Tamilnadu, Chennai, S Karnataka and S Andhra.

August 31, 2015 at 01:51PM

#Chennai - Rainfall till 8:30am today... IWM Polichalur = 9mm Nungambakkam = 29mm Airport = 1mm. #iwm

Sunday, August 30, 2015

August 30, 2015 at 11:36PM

Chennai - 11:20pm, a moderate T shower is now over W, WNW, WSW suburbs and drifting ENE. #weather

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Saturday, August 29, 2015

August 29, 2015 at 07:31PM

2:50pm, Kanyakumari. Clear skies! #weather

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August 29, 2015 at 07:25PM

4:31pm, Raining very heavily outer ring Road Hyderabad. #weather

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August 29, 2015 at 07:22PM

Pune - 5:15pm, raining. #weather

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Wednesday, August 26, 2015

N Bay Low, circulation is slowly pushing West into S coast Odisha...

Thursday - A wet day expected along S-E India up to N Tamilnadu and Chennai

10:30pm, Heavy rain over Chatisgarh, N Jharkhand, Bihar and E Uttarpradesh ...

RT @rdsouza11: light rain here in bangalore  atm @SkymetWeather  @weatherofindia (5:33pm)

Chennai - 11pm, Good heavy cloud buildup seen over W,N-W from city at 100 to 200km.
Moderate rain can push into city around 1am into morning.
A wet Thursday expected over ... Odisha, Chatisgarh, N,N-E,S Andhra, W,central,E Maharastra, S,W,N-W Karnataka, N,N-E Tamilnadu.

Chennai - 27-Aug is expected to be Wet from early morning to late-evening...

N Bay LOW expected to move West in 36hrs

Latest analysis show that the N Bay LOW, circulation persists and has strengthened ...
The mid,upper-level circulation of N Bay LOW is seen over N-central Bay ...

Today, west coast offshore trough is almost non-existent, but east coast trough seen from N Bay to S-E coast Tamilnadu ..

In next 24/36hrs, the N Bay LOW, circulation is expected to drift West and push into Odisha coast ..
The low,mid-level circulation is expected to drift West and cross S Odisha coast in 36/48hrs..
Meanwhile, the upper-level (500hpa) circulation is expected to drift S-W to W Bay near to S coast Andhra and Chennai ..

On Friday, the upper,mid-level circulation "may" push upto central Maharastra.
..but low-level circulation is expected to drift West initially and then North and N-N-E ...
In the upcoming Bay LOW movement, the west coast offshore trough is expected to be weak with an odd strength on 26,27-Aug.

10:30pm, Heavy rain over W,NW Odisha, central,E Chatisgarh and into S Jharkhand ...

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
Today, before midnight...
Heavy widespread rain for Odisha, Jharkhand, S Chatisgarh, N-E Andhra and Bengal ...
Today afternoon, evening..
Heavy, scattered T showers for Telegana, W,central,N-E,S Karnataka, S Andhra, N,N-E Tamilnadu, #Chennai.
Along west coast...
Rain expected along Karnataka, Kerala coast on morning of 27-Aug.
Meanwhile, less or NO rain for Maharastra coast today!

N,N-W,N-central,W India to remain rain less during next 24/36hrs.

Chennai and suburbs can expect a T shower today before midnight !

Today, some scattered T showers may pop over S,E Madhyapradesh, E,central Maharastra and N Chatisgarh !

Saturday, August 22, 2015

August 22, 2015 at 08:55PM

Chennai - 8:45pm, T shower time again. Rain will reach NW,W suburbs in next 30min. #weather

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August 22, 2015 at 08:44PM

Got 1 hr massive showers Today evening at Belgaum city. #iwm

August 22, 2015 at 08:50PM

2:17pm, Rain at dharmapuri, Tamilnadu. #weather

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August 22, 2015 at 08:47PM

3pm, Pelting rains in Salem! #weather

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Weather & Climate

As somebody pointed out my orientations have slightly shifted from [amateur] meteorologist to climatologist.  I presently study meteorological evident in Tamil annals and from  dendrochronology (tree ring analysis). My face book friend who is interested in finding genetically modifying [ சீமை கருவேலம் = Prosopis juliflora ] trees also says that tree rings indicates climatology. interesting.

** Winds are pumped from NWly direction and Tamambaram and south of Tambaram  suburb and upto Cudallore will be getting rainfall ranging to 10-99mm. 

*** This is so unique when the monsoon trough is near foot hills of Himalayas.

***** AS usual SWM 2015 the east coast and especially NE received good rainfall. Chirrapunji, and other wettest place in the east,the (current) rainfall is an indicator of active SWM
 I am searching this sort of identical climatology in the past.  When more SWM rains are reported in Easter India there were historical evidence of 
elephant migration from west to east. 

I hope you know the difference between WEATHER and CLIMATE.

Friday, August 21, 2015

August 21, 2015 at 07:13PM

Chennai - 7pm, a heavy T shower is nearing W,SW,NW suburbs. Going to be another long wet night. #weather

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Thursday, August 20, 2015

August 20, 2015 at 06:09PM

2pm, Indian ocean view from Kanyakumari, s tip India. #weather

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August 20, 2015 at 04:19PM

Chennai - 4pm, heavy T showers seen over NW from city and over N Tamilnadu, S Andhra. #weather

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August 20, 2015 at 11:45AM

Chennai - 11:40am, hot, clear now. Almost 95% chance of T shower after 3/4pm and before early morning today. #iwm

August 20, 2015 at 11:39AM

10:30am, monsoon rains are back over S tip Tamilnadu. Rain in Panagudi ghats. #weather

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August 20, 2015 at 06:39AM

West Pacific, a rare event is happening. Twin typhoons. Atsani and Goni. #weather

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Wednesday, August 19, 2015

August 19, 2015 at 07:01PM

This is Pune today evening. Dry conditions continue. #weather

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August 19, 2015 at 06:59PM

Heavy T showers over Telegana, w ghats Karnataka, Kerala and East India. #weather

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August 19, 2015 at 05:58PM

Bangalore - 5pm, raining in Koramangala. Rained in HSR layout 6.6 mm in 9 minutes. #weather

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Heavy rain ahead for N Andhra, Telegana, E,N-E India, New N Bay circulation expected in 3 days

Today, a low,mid-level trough seen from E Uttarpradesh, W Bihar to N,N-W Odisha..
This trough is expected to drift East and position from N Bengal to N Bay in next 24hrs.
During the same time, an upper-level circulation expected over N-central, N-W-central Bay on 20-Aug.

Yesterday's low,mid-level circulation over S-E corner Arabian sea is now seen almost in same location...
From 20,21,22-Aug... S,central coast Karnataka, Kerala and S-tip Tamilnadu is expected to get some HEAVY rain..
The present S-E Arabian sea circulation is expected to fizzle out in next 24hrs !

Almost non-existent sea level East coast offshore trough is expected to be non existent during next 3 days..
On 20-Aug, only a low-level (850hpa) offshore trough expected from N-central coast Karnataka to S Kerala coast ..

2:30pm, E Maharastra, Telegana, central,N Odisha, N,E Bihar, many zones of Bengal getting rains now ...

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
Before morning of 20-Aug.
HEAVY T showers for W,central,S,N-E Karnataka and along W-ghats Kerala, W-ghats Tamilnadu

In next 15hrs.. scattered T showers for N,N-E Andhra, Telegana, E Maharastra, S Chatisgarh and Odisha.

HEAVY scattered rain for N Bihar, N,central Bengal, Sikkim and into N,central zones of N-E states !!

On 20-Aug...
More Heavy rain ahead for Bihar, N,central Bengal.
On 20-Aug... Heavy rain for N,N-E Andhra, Telegana, N,N-E Karnataka.

 On 20-Aug..
HEAVY T showers expected for S Karnataka, Bangalore, N,N-E Tamilnadu, Chennai and S Andhra ...

August 19, 2015 at 12:10AM

RT @pankaj4malda: It's raining all day in #Malda #WestBengal today. @SkymetWeather @weatherofindia #Monsoon2015 (8:55pm, 18-Aug). #iwm

Monday, August 17, 2015

August 17, 2015 at 04:04PM

#Chennai - 3:30pm, RADAR shows Heavy T showers over N-W and S-W from city at 60 to 100km, these system will move N-W or W-N-W. #iwm

Scattered Heavy T showers ahead for Kerala, W-ghats and Tamilnadu

Today, at low-level a weak circulation seen over E,central Uttarpradesh and its trough seen South upto S-W Bay..
South end of the low-level trough is embedded with a weak circulation at 850hpa,700hpa levels over S-S-E of Srilanka ..
At upper-levels (500hpa) the wind is easterlies below 15N ... and will be so till 18/19-Aug...

1pm, HEAVY rain over central,E Uttarpradesh, E Rajasthan, N,N-E Madhyapradesh into S,W Bihar ...

Today, LWD seen from S,S-W Karnataka to S tip Tamilnadu.
Heavy rain ahead for W-ghats Tamilnadu, Kerala, Nilgiris 

In next 48hrs, the S-W Bay circulation is expected to move W-N-W just touching S-tip Tamilnadu on today & 18-Aug..
This circulation is expected to enter into S-E corner Arabian sea and fizzle out on 19/20-Aug...

HEAVY rain ahead for S,central Kerala and S-tip Tamilnadu from 19th to 21/22-Aug due to W-N-W movement of present circulation.

Rainfall forecast for next 36hrs

Before morning of 18-Aug...
Scattered Heavy / moderate rain for E,central Uttarpradesh, E,S-E Rajasthan, N,central,N-E Madhyapradesh
In next 18hrs...
Scattered rain for Jharkhand, N,central Chatisgarh, central,N Odisha and N,w,central Bengal..

HEAVY rain alert for W-ghats of Kerala, Tamilnadu, S W-ghats of Karnataka
Scattered over many zones of Tamilnadu, S Karnataka, S Andhra

#Chennai - Today, an odd moderate T shower may pop along W,S-W suburbs before 9pm.

On 18-Aug...
Again heavy scattered rain expected all along S-E and Eastern end of monsoon axis, i.e over E,N-E Madhyapradesh, Bihar, Bengal
On 18-Aug, scattered rain also over N,central Chatisgarh, central,N,W Odisha and Jharkhand...

On 18-Aug, afternoon, late-evening...
Scattered T showers for S,S-central Karnataka, W,central,S Tamilnadu and over many zones of Kerala.
For next 48hrs, LESS rain forecast for Maharastra coast, Goa and N,central coast Karantaka !!

From tomorrow and next 2/3 days, widespread HEAVY rain expected over many zones of N-E states !

August 17, 2015 at 01:28PM

12pm, Chennai - T showers expected for W,NW,SW suburbs today. #weather

from Instagram

August 17, 2015 at 01:24PM

12:33pm, near Panagudi, S tip Tamilnadu. Heavy rain seen. #weather

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Thursday, August 13, 2015

Heavy rain for S,central Madhyapradesh, E,N-E,N Maharastra and S-E,E Gujarat in next 48hrs

Today, the N-W Bay LOW has drifted inland into S Odisha and S,central Chatisgarh ...
Its LOW-level circulation seen over Odisha and mid,upper-level circulation over N-E Andhra, S Odisha ...

Today, west coast offshore trough seen along central coast Maharastra coast and upto S coast Karnataka !
On the east coast trough seen from N-E Andhra to S-E coast Tamilnadu .

Today, the monsoon axis is seen from N-W India and tilted S-E towards LOW in Odisha.
12pm, HEAVY rain over S Madhyapradesh, N,N-E,E Maharastra, S Chatisgarh, S-E Rajasthan..

In next 48hrs, present low-level Odisha circulation is expected to drift N-W and then North towards N Madhyapradesh ..
In 24hrs, a mid-level circulation expected along W,S-W Gujarat coast...
While the present N-E Andhra mid,upper-level circulation will move N-W and push to E,S-E Gujarat on 14/15-Aug.

After 16-Aug, present East coast offshore trough is expected to weaken or vanish.
Instead a low,mid-level circulation expected over S-W Bay!

Rainfall forecast for next 36hrs
Before morning of 14-Aug...
Due to LOW.
Heavy rain for N,N-E Andhra, S,central Chatisgarh, S,central Odisha, E,N Maharastra, S,S-E M.P
Scattered heavy rain also for S,S-E Rajasthan, N-W,W,central Madhyapradesh, central Maharastra, Telegana ..

Before morning of 14-Aug, scattered rain also for Haryana, #Delhi and W Uttarpradesh.

Today as well...
T showers expected over S Karnataka, #Bangalore, N,N-E Tamilnadu, S Andhra and some into #Chennai.

For next 36hrs...
Scattered HEAVY rain from central coast Maharastra to N coast Kerala

On 14-Aug, as the circulation moves N-W...
HEAVY rain will move N-W from N-E,E Maharastra to S,S-W Madhyapradesh and to E,S-E Gujarat !
14-Aug, its going to be a wet day for S,W,N,central Madhyapradesh...

On 14-Aug, evening...
HEAVY rain are expected over E,S-E Gujarat, N,N-W Maharastra and into S,S-E Rajasthan.
More T showers for 14-Aug ...over S Karnataka, N,N-E Tamilnadu, #Chennai and S Andhra.

Wednesday, August 12, 2015

August 12, 2015 at 09:54AM

9:51am, Drizzling in Hyderabad. #iwm

August 12, 2015 at 09:52AM

Surat - 9:46am, Raining heavily in surat, Getting on and off showers since morning. #iwm

August 12, 2015 at 09:36AM

Pics taken today morning at kalijai island,chilika lake, Odisha.. #weather

from Instagram

Tuesday, August 11, 2015

August 11, 2015 at 01:45PM

Karnataka coast rainfall 10-Aug.. Honnavar 78 Karwar 54 Agumbe 49.8 Mangalore 34 Madikeri 23.8 Belgaum airport 1.4 Gulbarga 54.9 mm #iwm

August 11, 2015 at 01:42PM

11:14am, Today ghats of N. Konkan are with clear skies. #weather

from Instagram

Monday, August 10, 2015

HEAVY rain ahead for N Andhra, S Odisha, E Maharastra, S,central Chatisgarh

Today, N-W Bay along Odisha coast has popped a weak LOW ...

And its low, mid-level circulation seen over N Bay ...
N-W Bay LOW's upper-level (500hpa) circulation seen near S Andhra coast over Bay ...

In next 36hrs, the low-level circulation is expected to push into Odisha coast, while the upper-level thru N-E,central coast Andhra.
GFS expects the circulation to drive up to S Chatisgarh and stay put even till Friday, 14-Aug...
WRF suggests that present N-W Bay LOW to persist along Odisha coast till 12-Aug ...

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs

Before morning of 11-Aug, 
Due to N-W Bay LOW...
Heavy scattered rain for N,N-E Andhra, some into Telegana, S,central Odisha.
Before morning of 11-Aug, 
Due to N-W Bay LOW...
Heavy scattered rain also for E maharastra, S,central Chatisgarh ...
Scattered Rain also will push into S,S-E Madhyapradesh, N Chatisgarh and Jharkhand during next 15hrs.

Today evening into midnight...
T showers expected for S Karnataka, Bangalore, S Andhra, N,N-central Tamilnadu and into Chennai.

Scattered Heavy rain for Karnataka coast and Kerala expected during next 36hrs. !

As the N-W Bay LOW drifts into Odisha coast ... an upper-level weak circulation expected along central coast Maharastra!
This Maharastra coast upper-level circulation can give HEAVY rain for S,central  Maharastra coast and N coast Karnataka, Goa on 11,12-Aug.

On 11-Aug before noon...
Scattered Rain again for Haryana, #Delhi, E,N-E Rajasthan and W Uttarpradesh.
On 11-Aug..
Scattered heavy rain for Madhyapradesh, S-E,E Rajasthan, Chatisgarh, E Maharastra and N,N-E Andhra, Telegana and Odisha.
11-Aug.. more scattered T showers for S Karnataka, S Andhra and N,N-E Tamilnadu.
#Chennai and #Bangalore...

RT @rdsouza11: Heavy #monsoon Rains #mangalore #karnataka @SkymetWeather @weatherofindia @Indiaclimate (9:55am)

RT @AlvareAseem: Again heavy rain in mumbai☔ (10:50am)

11:30am, Rain seen over E Rajasthan, E Maharastra, N Odisha, S Jharkhand, coast Karnataka, central Kerala...