Thursday, October 03, 2013

Chennai - Polichalur zone got second round of heavy rain from 10:40pm to 11pm

NE Monsoon Watch - 2 (Advance Parameters)...3rd October 2013..Das report is long, please read detailed report with Part 1 also on Vagaries

Heavy rain ahead for S,E Uttarpradesh in 36hrs.

Before tomorrow evening, more HEAVY rain for E,N-E Madhyapradesh, S,S-E,E Uttarpradesh and for E,N Maharastra.
From Tomorrow noon, more HEAVY rain expected for S,S-E,E Uttarpradesh. And HEAVY rain for W,S Bihar and N,N-W Jharkhand from Friday evening.

Anti-cyclone is expected to take shape over N-W India from Saturday, expected N-E re-curve of Madhyapradesh circulation to happen in 24hrs

The present off-shore trough along S,central-coast maharastra and Goa to persist during next 48hrs.. HEAVY showers for these zones expected!

Madhyapradesh and central-coast Maharastra circulation persists !

Latest analysis show that circulation is seen over central Madhyapradesh and another along central Maharastra coast over Sea.

9pm, #Chennai - HEAVY rain seen over W,W-S-W and S-W from city at around 45 to 100km. Now near  Poonamalle, Tiruvallur zones.

#Bangalore - 7pm, "mostly no rain for the day."

#Belgaum - 9pm, "received rain at around 3pm for half an hour.Today whole day cloudy."

Indore - mostly cloudy weather but no rain

Shahdol (E Madhyapradesh) - Today, Intermittent sharp spells of rain. Once it was very heavy in afternoon.

Malout - Today it was mostly clear skies !

8:30pm, HEAVY rain continue over central,E,N, S-coast Maharastra, N,N-W Andhra, S,central,E Madhyapradesh and into S Uttarpradesh.
8:30pm, T showers also seen over S,S-E Karnataka, N,N-E,central Tamilnadu... 

Heavy rain over E,S-E Madhyapradesh today and Depression over Bay expected on 8-Oct

3pm, HEAVY rain over E,central,S Madhyapradesh, E,N Maharastra, S Chatisgarh, S Odisha, N,N-E Andhra, S Bengal ..

Latest analysis show that the low,mid level circulation is over E,central Madhyapradesh ... 
The low level circulation near central Maharastra coast persists ... and the offshore trough is seen upto N Kerala 

This offshore trough from central Maharastra coast to Karnataka coast is expected to persist till Saturday !
GFS model suggests a N-E re-curve for the present Madhyapradesh circulation in next 36hrs ... 
But WRF models suggest a stagnant low level circulation over W Madhyapradesh during next 2 days !

A remnant circulation from Pacific is expected to pop into E-S-E Bay on 6/7-Oct... and this is expected to become LOW / Depression on 8-Oct 
E Bay may host a Depression or even a Cyclone by 9-Oct.. and track towards N-E Andhra and Odisha coast ! 

#Chennai rain 3:20pm

#Chennai - 3:20pm, Showers seen over S-W zones of city. And more showers seen over W-N-W,N-W from city at around 60 to 100km.

#Chennai - 3:30pm, HEAVY rain now over Polichalur zone.

#Chennai - 4pm, HEAVY rain continue even now over Polichalur zone. Mild drizzle now over Pallavaram zone..