Tuesday, October 27, 2015
October 27, 2015 at 09:52PM
9pm, Suddenly three things arrived here lightning ⚡ Thunder and drizzle at #Shahdol , MP. #iwm
October 27, 2015 at 07:49PM
#Chennai - 7:30pm, mini showers seen along coast and may push inland. #weather
Heavy rain ahead for Madhyapradesh, W,S,central Uttarpradesh due to WD
A strong upper-level WD trough embedded with a circulation is expected to push into NW India in 20hrs.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0qvZ.jpg
In next 48hrs, this WD circulation is expected travel E-S-E into Uttarpradesh, NE Madhyapradesh and then weaken ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0rcH.jpg
In next 2 days... scattered T showers for E,NE Rajasthan, many zones of Madhyapradesh, W,S,central Uttarpradesh .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0rrM.jpg
S-coast Andhra, N,central coast Tamilnadu to get showers in next 15hrs
As of now, 93B continues to be active, thanks to easterlies ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0oxL.jpg
Now, GFS expects the LOW, 93B to drift NW in next 72hrs and push upto central-coast Tamilnadu .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0oMN.jpg
#Chennai - at present the wind speed has increased and direction is from NNE upto 3km above sea.. expected to change to more East in 15hrs
#Chennai - 4pm, Showers seen over E,NE,SE over sea and SW over land at around 100 to 200km.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0ppZ.jpg
For S-coast #Andhra , #Chennai , N,central coast #Tamilnadu .. heavy rain expected to push in after midnight today ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0pzE.jpg
The twins update...
94A - Position 9.5N, 65E, "No intensification seen"
93B - Position 9N, 81.3E, "LOW, moved North" ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0f18.jpg
1pm, Satellite IR shows, 94A is weak along W,NW quadrant, 93B is getting active due to easterlies feed ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/e0fbE.jpg
Monday, October 26, 2015
94A slowly intensifying, NE monsoon showers are near for Tamilnadu, S-coast Andhra
3pm, 94A over S Arabian sea is slowly getting a shape, while 93B over SW Bay remains as circulation ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dYwIc.jpg
Present location of 94A is 7.2N, 66E.
Pressure around 1004mb.
Winds gusting to 45 kmph.
94A is expected to intensify into a Cyclone in next 2/3 days and drift N-W and then W-N-W towards Oman / Yemen coast .
Easterlies over Bay is nearing Tamilnadu coast and S Andhra coast.
Heavy / moderate rain expected from mid-morning or afternoon of 27-Oct
Heavy / Moderate rain for N,central coast #Tamilnadu , #Chennai , and S-coast #Andhra from noon/ evening of 27-Oct .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dYAfk.jpg
By midnight of 27-Oct... NE #Monsoon will be over S-coast Andhra and Tamilnadu coast !
Strong WD system to give rain for Delhi, W,central Uttarpradesh, Punjab, Haryana
A mid,upper-level WD trough is affecting N,N-W India now ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXN4a.jpg
The upper-level WD trough can be seen along NW India dipping South upto 21/20N.
This WD trough is expected to drop a strong circulation in next 36hrs over central Pakistan and will move East into #India.
The WD trough and circulation is expected to drift east across N,N-central India during next 3/4 days... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXNj3.jpg
Before Wednesday... scattered heavy / moderate rain for Kashmir, Punjab, N,N-E Rajasthan, Haryana, Himachal, W Uttarpradesh.
Good chance of moderate rain for #Delhi on Tuesday and Wednesday.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXNtR.jpg
Scattered T showers will push into W,central Uttarpradesh and N,N-E Madhyapradesh from Tuesday evening into Wednesday, Thursday !
The twins - 93B and 94A. NE monsoon to reach Tamilnadu coast on 27-Oct
Now, both circulations, LOW are tracked.. S Arabian sea - 94A and SW Bay - 93B... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXqm1.jpg
Present position and Pressure of two systems..
94A - 6.5N, 64.4E, 1007mb
93B - 6.2N, 82.5E, 1007mb
10pm, Satellite IR shows heavy convective activity All along 5th to 10th parallel from S Arabian sea to S,S-E Bay.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXK4i.jpg
10pm, Due to WD, scattered rain seen over Punjab, Kashmir and N Himachal... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXK4i.jpg
Now, the forecast for both 94A and 93B is getting 75% clear.
Models expect the 94A to become Cyclone and drift W-N-W in next 3/4 days.
While, the SW Bay LOW is not expected to intensify, instead it'll get embedded with the upcoming easterly trough.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXKPb.jpg
As of now, the easterly wave has reached upto central Bay... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXKVn.jpg
This easterly wave is expected to reach Tamilnadu coast, S-coast Andhra on morning/noon of 27-Oct.. launching NE monsoon along coast !
Heavy/moderate rain to start for S-coast #Andhra, #Tamilnadu coast and #Chennai from noon/evening of 27-Oct.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXLtz.jpg
If 94A intensifies into Cyclone and drifts W-N-W then pull effect can give more rain for Tamilnadu coast and Andhra coast after wednesday.
Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Monday morning and before 3pm...
light / moderate rain possible along N-E,N-coast,SE-coast,S Tamilnadu and #Chennai.
On 25-Oct, N,W,NW zones of Maharastra got good T showers.
This is expected on Monday afternoon as well .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXMFJ.jpg
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