Monday, October 26, 2015

The twins - 93B and 94A. NE monsoon to reach Tamilnadu coast on 27-Oct


Now, both circulations, LOW are tracked.. S Arabian sea - 94A and SW Bay - 93B... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXqm1.jpg

Present position and Pressure of two systems..
94A - 6.5N, 64.4E, 1007mb
93B - 6.2N, 82.5E, 1007mb

10pm, Satellite IR shows heavy convective activity All along 5th to 10th parallel from S Arabian sea to S,S-E Bay.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXK4i.jpg
10pm, Due to WD, scattered rain seen over Punjab, Kashmir and N Himachal... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXK4i.jpg

Now, the forecast for both 94A and 93B is getting 75% clear.
Models expect the 94A to become Cyclone and drift W-N-W in next 3/4 days.
While, the SW Bay LOW is not expected to intensify, instead it'll get embedded with the upcoming easterly trough.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXKPb.jpg

As of now, the easterly wave has reached upto central Bay... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXKVn.jpg
This easterly wave is expected to reach Tamilnadu coast, S-coast Andhra on morning/noon of 27-Oct.. launching NE monsoon along coast ! 
Heavy/moderate rain to start for S-coast #Andhra, #Tamilnadu coast and #Chennai from noon/evening of 27-Oct.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXLtz.jpg

If 94A intensifies into Cyclone and drifts W-N-W then pull effect can give more rain for Tamilnadu coast and Andhra coast after wednesday.

Rainfall alert for next 36hrs
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Monday morning and before 3pm...
light / moderate rain possible along N-E,N-coast,SE-coast,S Tamilnadu and #Chennai.

On 25-Oct, N,W,NW zones of Maharastra got good T showers.
This is expected on Monday afternoon as well .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/dXMFJ.jpg

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