Showing posts with label South West Monsoon forecast; rainfall; IMD; PDO; Super El Nino; IOD; below average; SOI; 2014; drought; Modi; sluggish advancement; Bay of Bengal; Arabian Sea; drought; JAMSTEC; typhoon; Neoguri. Show all posts
Showing posts with label South West Monsoon forecast; rainfall; IMD; PDO; Super El Nino; IOD; below average; SOI; 2014; drought; Modi; sluggish advancement; Bay of Bengal; Arabian Sea; drought; JAMSTEC; typhoon; Neoguri. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 09, 2014

Typhoon Neoguri's slow movement increases its damage potential


Typhoon Neoguri was packing sustained winds of 130 km/h and gusts up to 185 km/h Wednesday morning, far lower than the winds of up to 250 km/h reported at its peak, the Meteorological Agency said.

Tuesday, July 08, 2014

Unbelievable but terrifying images of Typhoon Neoguri from space



 
Over the past day astronauts on board the International Space Station have passed over the typhoon, and they have taken astonishing pictures of the storm system. As always, pictures like these are amazingly beautiful, but never doubt for a second that what you are seeing is as destructive and dangerous as it is awe-inspiring and lovely.

Monday, July 07, 2014

The worst of monsoon deficit may be behind us. Rainfall may pick up shortly but is such turnaround a tad too late? !




The Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) latest model forecasts provided some stunning news. The much touted “Super El Nino” just mysteriously dissipated into mid-air, leaving La Nina like conditions. Sea Surface Temperatures (SSTs) in Nino3.4 areas are plunging and expected to turn negative within this month and the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) have bounced back to be La Nina like as seen above!!


It's time IMD should snap out of denial and officially acknowledge the reality of drought




The very fact that the IMD has to keep on reiterating every day that it may be too early to panic suggest that the spectre of drought is increasing as a strong probability, if not prevailing already. 
While there is much merit to IMD’s argument that the seasonal rainfall may in the end turn out not very far from their revised forecast of 93% of LPA, with July-Sept making up for the June deficiency, even so, there is every reason already to panic, at least on the agricultural front. 

Read more: http://devconsultancygroup.blogspot.in/2014/07/its-time-imd-should-snap-out-of-denial.html

Neoguri: Strongest Pacific storm for the year with wind speeds upto 290 kph to flatten Okinawa late tonight


Okinawa will likely see the worst impact from the storm Monday night with rainfall rates of 50 mm (2 inches) or greater per hour at times, sustained winds as high as 225 kph (140 mph) with occasional gusts of 290 kph (180 mph),"



Sunday, July 06, 2014

Revival of Monsoon now rests on hope of cyclone developing in NW Bay of Bengal 3rd week July


International models predict a fair probability of a fresh low emerging in North-West Bay of Bengal (BoB) during 3rd week of July. If one emerges, rainfall may pickup in the country. But the cavaet is that there is also a potential cyclone expected to develop in South India Ocean near Diego Garcia around the same time that might torpodeo this likely BoB low formation!!! On the face of it, July looks a wash out like June in terms of the monsoon vigour.


Pacific Typhoon Neoguri stalls the Monsoon: Modi Sarkar has now little option but to declare a national disaster emergency



Typhoon Neoguri has very rapidly strengthened to Category 4 (Very Severe Cyclone) and expected to hit Category 5 (super Cyclone) strength by tomorrow or latest by Tuesday as it moves through the waters of North-Western Pacific Ocean.  This transition to Category 5 is aided by the fact that it is already a very well defined storm and further tracks very warm ocean waters having low wind shear.