Saturday, December 10, 2016

Cold weather across plains,WD approaching.

Delhi min:- 11.2°c
Rohtak:- 11°c 
Narnaul:- 8.3°c
Hisar:- 10°c
Cold & foggy weather to persists over plains where as a wd is expected to approach hills by Today evening/night due to which moderate snow likely over hills & induced cyclonic circulation over central pak and abjoining Rajasthan due to which light rains /thundershowers may seen over plains of North punjab, Haryana & Rajasthan. 
Cloudy weather may seen over the Delhi NCR region due to which min temp is expected to increase by very little notches but once the wd will clear away from the region the there will be sudden drop in min & max temp accross the plains & cold and dry NW winds blow over the region so, coldwave conditions may be witnessed over some parts thats how the intense winter will start over the region.

December 10, 2016 at 09:35AM

#vardah #wow latest visible shot. Massive #fog cover over haryana, Delhi, Uttarpradesh. #weather

from Instagram

December 10, 2016 at 07:31AM

6:30am, #vardah has intensified (987mb) and moved WNW. #Chennai is having a cold, high cloud #morning . #weather

from Instagram

Friday, December 09, 2016

Vardah - next 48hrs -- SST = ok, shear = ok, Dry air = NOT OK !!


4:30pm, Cyclone #vardah - No great intensification observed, less convective activity, but drifted West ! ...  https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pMvNg.jpg 


#Vardah - ADT analysis suggest pressure around 995mb.
It'll intensify during next 36hrs ! but DRY air has slowly started to wrap thru SW.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pMwj0.jpg 
#Vardah - The dry air may wrap around the system more quickly after next 36hrs and during its intensification process !
#Vardah and dry air !!
GFS - expects there'll be dry wrapping in next 48hrs at mid-levels than in lower levels .. 
After 36/48hrs, Due to DRY air, #vardah can have a drastic "moisture cut" >> meaning, it'll weaken !!!


Shear and Sea surface temperature is almost OK for #vardah 's further WNW track during next 36hrs ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pMybH.jpg 


December 09, 2016 at 12:01PM


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December 09, 2016 at 11:52AM


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Vardah - moving WNW



Cyclone #Vardah has turned West towards SE-coast of India .. ADT suggests pressure aroound 995mb! .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pLVQR.gif 

Latest satellite visible show that most of convective activity is over N,NW,W quadrants of #vardah. Partly exposed LLCC can also be seen ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pLW3W.jpg 




JTWC continues to forecast a central-coast Andhra as a Cyclone on 12-Dec ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pLWuh.gif 
This is what GFS and GEM model suggest about the track of #Vardah .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pLWO8.jpg 


Cyclone #Vardah is expected to be steered WNW by a ridge situated NE of the system 
.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pLWXU.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pLWYf.jpg 

Wind shear is expected to be neutral all along its forecast track, so it'll intensify further during next 48hrs ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pLX6l.gif 

@harinipaddy @AfsarOfficial @Karthikganesh29   >> As per latest GFS model, JTWC .. #vardah is not expected to make landfall near #Chennai  
@harinipaddy @AfsarOfficial @Karthikganesh29 >> We shall wait for latest ECMWF and HWRF model run in next 1 hr ! 


Thursday, December 08, 2016

December 08, 2016 at 06:38PM


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December 08, 2016 at 05:55PM


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December 08, 2016 at 05:53PM


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