Friday, December 09, 2016

Vardah - moving WNW



Cyclone #Vardah has turned West towards SE-coast of India .. ADT suggests pressure aroound 995mb! .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pLVQR.gif 

Latest satellite visible show that most of convective activity is over N,NW,W quadrants of #vardah. Partly exposed LLCC can also be seen ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pLW3W.jpg 




JTWC continues to forecast a central-coast Andhra as a Cyclone on 12-Dec ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pLWuh.gif 
This is what GFS and GEM model suggest about the track of #Vardah .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pLWO8.jpg 


Cyclone #Vardah is expected to be steered WNW by a ridge situated NE of the system 
.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pLWXU.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/pLWYf.jpg 

Wind shear is expected to be neutral all along its forecast track, so it'll intensify further during next 48hrs ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/pLX6l.gif 

@harinipaddy @AfsarOfficial @Karthikganesh29   >> As per latest GFS model, JTWC .. #vardah is not expected to make landfall near #Chennai  
@harinipaddy @AfsarOfficial @Karthikganesh29 >> We shall wait for latest ECMWF and HWRF model run in next 1 hr ! 


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