Friday, October 04, 2013

Belgaum - 6:20pm, "On and off showers continue over Belgaum, looks like once again monsoon has returned with cool breeze"

#Kolkata - today experienced a overcast day with some light rain. DumDum zone got a good sharp shower.

#Bangalore - 5:30pm, "a clear day"... http://ow.ly/i/3kBsm  >> almost the same of #Chennai as well !

Madhyapradesh circulation persists !

Analysis show that, circulation along central coast of Maharastra and off-shore trough upto Goa, N Karnataka coast persists.

And the circulation over N-central Madhyapradesh also persists... http://ow.ly/i/3ktDr 

Present N-central madhyapradesh circulation is expected to re-curve N-E into S Uttarpradesh in next 24hrs .. http://ow.ly/i/3ku3s 

The circulation may fizzle out over S-E Uttarpradesh on Sunday !
The off-shore along S Maharastra coast, #Goa will sustain till Saturday evening.
RT @9841375656: @weatherofindia sunny morning in Chennai . (9:15am)

RT @rajugana: Bangalore 12.50pm, Clear skies, bright sunshine, warm and breezy. Morning Sky pic @ Varthur lake http://t.co/8f6VVouJqo 

#Chennai - 3:10pm, "Lots of Sunshine and Warm". Temperature around 33 C with almost Zero clouds ! 
#Chennai - Rainfall stats till 8:30am today, Nungambakkam = 4.7mm and Airport = 25mm.
Polichalur zone got 3 round of heavy rain yesterday !

3pm, Showers continue over E,central,N Maharastra, E Madhyapradesh and into S,S-E Uttarpradesh ... http://ow.ly/i/3ks21 
3pm, Due to Arabian sea Off-shore trough... showers seen along S,central-coast Maharastra and into #Goa... http://ow.ly/i/3ks21

#HOT at 3:30pm, Ahmedabad = 35 C (feels like 43.4 C) and Tiruchirapalli = 37 C (feels like 41 C). #Delhi airport has reported T showers, 3pm

Thursday, October 03, 2013

Chennai - Polichalur zone got second round of heavy rain from 10:40pm to 11pm

NE Monsoon Watch - 2 (Advance Parameters)...3rd October 2013..Das report is long, please read detailed report with Part 1 also on Vagaries

Heavy rain ahead for S,E Uttarpradesh in 36hrs.

Before tomorrow evening, more HEAVY rain for E,N-E Madhyapradesh, S,S-E,E Uttarpradesh and for E,N Maharastra.
From Tomorrow noon, more HEAVY rain expected for S,S-E,E Uttarpradesh. And HEAVY rain for W,S Bihar and N,N-W Jharkhand from Friday evening.

Anti-cyclone is expected to take shape over N-W India from Saturday, expected N-E re-curve of Madhyapradesh circulation to happen in 24hrs

The present off-shore trough along S,central-coast maharastra and Goa to persist during next 48hrs.. HEAVY showers for these zones expected!


Madhyapradesh and central-coast Maharastra circulation persists !

Latest analysis show that circulation is seen over central Madhyapradesh and another along central Maharastra coast over Sea.

9pm, #Chennai - HEAVY rain seen over W,W-S-W and S-W from city at around 45 to 100km. Now near  Poonamalle, Tiruvallur zones.

#Bangalore - 7pm, "mostly no rain for the day."

#Belgaum - 9pm, "received rain at around 3pm for half an hour.Today whole day cloudy."

Indore - mostly cloudy weather but no rain

Shahdol (E Madhyapradesh) - Today, Intermittent sharp spells of rain. Once it was very heavy in afternoon.

Malout - Today it was mostly clear skies !

8:30pm, HEAVY rain continue over central,E,N, S-coast Maharastra, N,N-W Andhra, S,central,E Madhyapradesh and into S Uttarpradesh.
8:30pm, T showers also seen over S,S-E Karnataka, N,N-E,central Tamilnadu... http://ow.ly/i/3jYXD 

Heavy rain over E,S-E Madhyapradesh today and Depression over Bay expected on 8-Oct

3pm, HEAVY rain over E,central,S Madhyapradesh, E,N Maharastra, S Chatisgarh, S Odisha, N,N-E Andhra, S Bengal .. http://ow.ly/i/3jMIZ

Latest analysis show that the low,mid level circulation is over E,central Madhyapradesh ... http://ow.ly/i/3jN4b 
The low level circulation near central Maharastra coast persists ... and the offshore trough is seen upto N Kerala http://ow.ly/i/3jNb1 

This offshore trough from central Maharastra coast to Karnataka coast is expected to persist till Saturday !
GFS model suggests a N-E re-curve for the present Madhyapradesh circulation in next 36hrs ... http://ow.ly/i/3jNg4 
But WRF models suggest a stagnant low level circulation over W Madhyapradesh during next 2 days !

A remnant circulation from Pacific is expected to pop into E-S-E Bay on 6/7-Oct... and this is expected to become LOW / Depression on 8-Oct 
E Bay may host a Depression or even a Cyclone by 9-Oct.. and track towards N-E Andhra and Odisha coast ! http://ow.ly/i/3jNpG 

#Chennai rain 3:20pm

#Chennai - 3:20pm, Showers seen over S-W zones of city. And more showers seen over W-N-W,N-W from city at around 60 to 100km.

#Chennai - 3:30pm, HEAVY rain now over Polichalur zone.


#Chennai - 4pm, HEAVY rain continue even now over Polichalur zone. Mild drizzle now over Pallavaram zone.. http://ow.ly/i/3jMXQ 

Wednesday, October 02, 2013

Heavy rain ahead for E.Madhyapradesh and S,S-E,E Uttarpradesh

Latest analysis show that the circulation has moved into S-E Madhyapradesh and N-E Maharastra ... http://ow.ly/i/3jn61 

There's another circulation seen over N-E corner Arabian sea near S Gujarat and Mumbai !
An offshore trough seen along S Maharastra coast and upto Goa... the N-E Arabian sea circulation is embedded in this.

This offshore trough is expected to last till Saturday evening ! Rain expected over S Maharastra coast, Goa and along Karnataka coast.
#Mumbai can expect moderate rain till Saturday.
#Goa can expect HEAVY rain till Sunday morning !

By Friday evening, the present S-E MP circulation is expected to drift into N-E Madhyapradesh, along S Uttarpradesh http://ow.ly/i/3jnGL

Due to this circulation, HEAVY rain ahead for E,S-E Madhyapradesh, S,S-E Uttarpradesh (Including Kanpur and Lucknow) before 3-Oct,evening.
Before tomorrow evening, scattered Heavy rain also for E,N,central Maharastra, S,central Chatisgarh and some into N-E Karnataka, N Andhra
Tomorrow as well showers linger over E,S-E Gujarat.
On Friday, HEAVY rain to push into N-E,E Madhyapradesh, E Uttarpradesh, N Chatisgarh and into W,S-W Bihar.

Latest GFS model suggests that the low level circulation will drift E-N-E after reaching N-E Madhyapradesh on Friday.
But WRF model suggests that the upper level circulation will continue to drift W-N-W and reach S-E Gujarat on 4-Oct http://ow.ly/i/3jove 

Till 6/7-Oct, "there is NO chance of monsoon withdrawal process"