Wednesday, October 02, 2013

Heavy rain ahead for E.Madhyapradesh and S,S-E,E Uttarpradesh

Latest analysis show that the circulation has moved into S-E Madhyapradesh and N-E Maharastra ... http://ow.ly/i/3jn61 

There's another circulation seen over N-E corner Arabian sea near S Gujarat and Mumbai !
An offshore trough seen along S Maharastra coast and upto Goa... the N-E Arabian sea circulation is embedded in this.

This offshore trough is expected to last till Saturday evening ! Rain expected over S Maharastra coast, Goa and along Karnataka coast.
#Mumbai can expect moderate rain till Saturday.
#Goa can expect HEAVY rain till Sunday morning !

By Friday evening, the present S-E MP circulation is expected to drift into N-E Madhyapradesh, along S Uttarpradesh http://ow.ly/i/3jnGL

Due to this circulation, HEAVY rain ahead for E,S-E Madhyapradesh, S,S-E Uttarpradesh (Including Kanpur and Lucknow) before 3-Oct,evening.
Before tomorrow evening, scattered Heavy rain also for E,N,central Maharastra, S,central Chatisgarh and some into N-E Karnataka, N Andhra
Tomorrow as well showers linger over E,S-E Gujarat.
On Friday, HEAVY rain to push into N-E,E Madhyapradesh, E Uttarpradesh, N Chatisgarh and into W,S-W Bihar.

Latest GFS model suggests that the low level circulation will drift E-N-E after reaching N-E Madhyapradesh on Friday.
But WRF model suggests that the upper level circulation will continue to drift W-N-W and reach S-E Gujarat on 4-Oct http://ow.ly/i/3jove 

Till 6/7-Oct, "there is NO chance of monsoon withdrawal process"

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