Thursday, December 17, 2009

Another crack at "sset" - 50% deficient rain for Tamilnadu ??!!!

Anonymous has left a new comment on your post "Is this the LAST of North-East Monsoon - 2009 ??":

Again I do not understand how this sset (a reader of Indianweatherman.com) is reporting 50% deficient. As per the latest data available Tamilnadu as a whole has received as much as 45cm rainfall for this season and it may be NORMAL[Positive side] rainfall. However there are few locations such as Dharmapuri, Krishnagiri, Vellore,Salem etc where the rainfall is DEFICIENT. Please refer Disaster Managment and Mitigation Department under Revenue Administration, Government of Tamilnadu site.(authentication required. What you give will lead to factual error.

- We think that it's TIME that Mr. Anonymous should come to Light and show him/herself -
Mercury dips in parts of north India .. http://is.gd/5r63o
Super NASA shot of Mayon Volcano .. http://ping.fm/h0inV
Major eruption for Philippines' Mayon likely: experts .. http://is.gd/5r600
Is this the LAST of North-East Monsoon - 2009 for Chennai & Tamilnadu ?? .. http://is.gd/5r1nY

Warm Air Advection near Chennai

Near 13 Degree latitude there is warm air advection. The Chennai DWR shows [161209/1200UTC] wind veering with height from lower-mid levels. This is may be warm air advection. This may lead to formation of clouds on and off Chennai coast. Lower level EAsterly or NE ly will bring them into Chennai. But lesser amount of precipitation

IMD has noted a RIDGE at 200 hPa level at 9 Degree North Latitude. It seems that the RIDGE had drifted further south to lay marked near Cape Comorin to day [17.12.2009 /0211 hrs IST]
One can expect some inclement weather, cloud formation over Kanyakumari both in Arabian Sea and Bay as the upper divergence above will induce lower level convergence at Cape Comorin sea area.
As expected the "Warm Air Advection" WAA gave light rainfall over on and off [Nellore to]Chennai coast some 1.5 hrs before

Is this the LAST of North-East Monsoon - 2009 ??

After this Cyclone "Ward" and its Remnants... now What??
Winter ??
Is this the LAST of North-East Monsoon - 2009 ?? - NO
COLA-GFS models suggests more and more weather on way for Tamilnadu coast starting from 21-Dec-09.
Take a look.



Latest MJO did not and will not favor for this WET predictions.

Rainfall data for 24hrs ending at 8:30 AM, 17-Dec-09

Northeast monsoon has been vigorous over Tamil Nadu and active over Rayalaseema.
Rainfall occurred at many places over Tamil Nadu and Rayalaseema and at a few places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh. Isolated rainfall occurred over Kerala, Coastal and South Interior Karnataka. Mainly dry weather prevailed over Telangana and North Interior Karnataka. Dry weather prevailed over Lakshadweep.
The following stations recorded heavy rainfall in centimetres.

Orathanadu and Vallam (both Thanjavur dt) 11 each, Alangudi (Pudukottai dt) 10, Parangipettai 9, Vedaranyam and Thirumayam (Pudukottai dt) 8 each and Thozhudur (Cuddalore dt), Aranthangi and Arimalam (both Pudukottai dt) and Cheyyar (Thiruvannamalai dt) 7 each.



The other chief amounts of rainfall recorded in centimetres are:

Kanchipuram, Valangaiman and Kodavasal (both Thanjavur dt), Tondi and Ambasamuthiram (Thirunelveli dt) 6 each, Rapur (Nellore dt), Ongole, Maduranthagam (Kanchipuram dt), Adiramapattinam, Pattukottai (Thanjavur dt), Polur (Thiruvannamalai dt), Ariyalur, Jayamkondam (Ariyalur dt), Chettikulam (Perambalur dt) and Periyar Dam (Theni dt) 5 each, Chengalpattu (Kanchipuram dt), Chidambaram (Cuddalore dt), Cuddalore, Kallakurichi and Vanur (both Villupuram dt), Karaikal, Kumbakonam, Thiruvidaimaruthur, Thirukattupalli and Thiruvaiyaru (all Thanjavur dt), Mannargudi and Muthupet (both Thiruvarur dt), Sirkali and Tarangambadi (both Nagapattinam dt), Karambakudi (Pudukottai dt), Pudukottai, Chengam and Sathanur Dam (both Thiruvannamalai dt), Ambur and Vaniyambadi (both Vellore dt) and Tirupathur (Sivagangai dt) 4 each, Seetharamapuram, Vinjamur, Udayagiri and Atmakur (all Nellore dt), Nellore, Rayachoti, Rajampet and Pulivendala (all Cuddapah dt), Cheyyur and Uthiramerur (both Kanchipuram dt), Sethiyathope and Srimushnam (both Cuddalore dt), Gingee, Thirukoilur and Ulundurpet (all Villupuram dt), Puducherry Airport, Madukkur and Papanasam (both Thanjavur dt), Thanjavur, Nannilam and Needamangalam (both Thiruvarur dt), Thiruvarur, Kollidam and Mayiladuthurai (both Nagapattinam dt), Perungalur (Pudukottai dt), Manamelkudi, Manimutharu (Thirunelveli dt), Thiruvannamalai, Alangayam and Gudiyatham (both Vellore dt), Coonoor, Perambalur, Vembavur (Perambalur dt), Pullambadi (Thiruchirapalli dt), Karaikudi and Thiruppuvanam (both Sivagangai dt) 3 each and Kavali, Podili (Prakasam dt), Gudur (Nellore dt), Koilakuntala (Kurnool dt), Badvel (Cuddapah dt), Virudhachalam and Panruti (both Cuddalore dt), Villupuram, Thiruthuraipoondi (Thiruvarur dt), Gandarvakottai and Keeranur (both Pudukottai dt), Pechiparai (Kanyakumari dt), Arani (Thiruvannamalai dt), Arakonam and Melalathur (both Vellore dt), Tirupattur, Harur (Dharmapuri dt), Valparai, Ketti (Nilgiris dt), Uthagamandalam, Devakottai (Sivagangai dt), Sivagangai and Palani (Dindigul dt) 2 each and Darsi, Addanki and Cumbum (all Prakasam dt), Venkatagiri Town (Nellore dt), Guntur, Satenapalli (Guntur dt), Vempalli, Lakkireddipalli, Kamalapuram and Prodattur (all Cuddapah dt), Tirupathi Airport, Owk and Srisailam (both Kurnool dt), Tiruvananthapuram Airport, M.M. Hills (Chamarajanagar dt), Pavagada (Tumkur dt), Sriperumpudur (Kanchipuram dt), Tambaram, Pallipattu, Ramakrishnarajupet, Poondi, Red Hills and Thamaraipakkam (all Thiruvallur dt), Tiruttani, Thiruvallur, Kattumannarkoil (Cuddalore dt), Sankarapuram and Tindivanam (both Villupuram dt), Grand Anaicut (Thanjavur dt), Nagapattinam, Illuppur (Pudukottai dt), Kadaladi and Thiruvadanai (both Ramanathapuram dt), Vilathikulam (Tuticorin dt), Vanthavasi (Thiruvannamalai dt), Sholingur and Walajahpet (both Vellore dt), Vellore, Pappireddipatty (Dharmapuri dt), Krishnagiri, Mangalapuram (Namakkal dt), Thammampatti (Salem dt), Kundha Bridge (Nilgiris dt), Lalgudi, Samayapuram and Thuraiyur (all Thiruchirapalli dt), Thiruchirapalli Airport, Thiruchirapalli, Chittampatti (Madurai dt), Periyakulam, Manamadurai (Sivagangai dt) and Kodaikanal 1 each.
90% of Tamilnadu is having high cloud cover today with NO rain , except some coastal zone along North TN .. http://yfrog.com/6mg94j
RT @amiya001: Chennai is chilling now....i am enjoying the rain