Thursday, October 09, 2014

HudHud - Intensifies further and moved W-N-W


Analysis indicate that Cyclone HudHud has moved W-N-W during past 12hrs and intensified further.
Present position is 13.48 N , 88.54 E.
Pressure around 980 mb.

Wind gust upto 135 kmph around centre.
Wind analysis suggest a wide centre with more than 60 kmph.

8:30am, Satellite IR suggests heavy convective activity along centre, S, S-W,S-E quadrants and over N-W outer bands.

Forecast
~~~~~~~~~~~
Most of the models suggest a further intensification into Severe Cyclone and continue to track W-N-W and make landfall along N-E Andhra coast and S Odisha coast on 12-Oct.

Present upper-level W.D trough is expected to cross N,N-W kashmir in next 36hrs and its trough can be seen upto 31 / 32 N so less affect on the Cyclone HudHud.
Meanwhile, another upper-level W.D circulation and trough is expected to reach N,N-W India on 13-Oct, this system can interact with the remnant of Cyclone over land !!

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