Monday, July 28, 2014

Posted Monday 28th Night:

BB-5 currently as a low, will deepen slightly to around 994/996 mb by Tuesday 29th /Wednesday 30th, and track inland as shown in chart. System will survive as a UAC at 700 hpa levels till Thursday.
Another Low forms over the Gujarat/Rajasthan region. This forms mainly as the axis slip southwards. Associated with a strong UAC, the other seasonal low will be capable of precipitating heavy rains in the areas shown. 
Very Heavy rains expected in Kutch.
Very heavy rains amounting to > 110 mms expected in Surat and Bharuch from Tuesday evening.

UAC 2 will move West and effect the Sindh coast on Thursday. 

Mumbai City: Tuesday 29th  and Wednesday 30th  city will see intermittent rains, occasional showers. Heavy showers with prolonged duration, can lead to flooding in some areas.
Rains would amount to about 60-80 mms on Tuesday and 70-90 mms Wednesday.
Summary: Mumbai City:130-170 mms expected next 2 days (Tuesday/Wednesday).
All Northern and Eastern Outer townships can expect very heavy rains in excess of 100 mms next 2 days.
Thursday 31st: After a wet morning, rains decrease in intensity on Thursday. 



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