2:30pm, ADT analysis, Madi has moved rapidly in North direction and intensified during past 6hrs.
Position 13.39N , 84.08E
Pressure 989mb
Cyclone Madi is nearing the latitude where Cyclone Lehar lost its life.
Around 14N the V.Wind shear is high .. http://ow.ly/i/3XuFN
DRY air from N,N-W India is slowly encircling Cyclone Madi as of 11:30am analysis ... http://ow.ly/i/3XuIh
DRY air, Wind shear is expected to affect the Cyclone Madi's further intensification... in fact models expect the system to weaken in 36hrs
As of 3pm visible shot, Madi looks in good shape with good convective activity along core of system ... http://ow.ly/i/3XuNi
Going by model suggestions, 2 options for Madi,
1. Fizzle out around 14N, 85E
2. Weaken, then move S-W towards TN coast on/after Tuesday.
GFS continues to forecast a Northerly movement for 36hrs, then weaken and make a rapid S-W recurve towards central Tamilnadu coast on 11-Dec
Position 13.39N , 84.08E
Pressure 989mb
Cyclone Madi is nearing the latitude where Cyclone Lehar lost its life.
Around 14N the V.Wind shear is high .. http://ow.ly/i/3XuFN
DRY air from N,N-W India is slowly encircling Cyclone Madi as of 11:30am analysis ... http://ow.ly/i/3XuIh
DRY air, Wind shear is expected to affect the Cyclone Madi's further intensification... in fact models expect the system to weaken in 36hrs
As of 3pm visible shot, Madi looks in good shape with good convective activity along core of system ... http://ow.ly/i/3XuNi
Going by model suggestions, 2 options for Madi,
1. Fizzle out around 14N, 85E
2. Weaken, then move S-W towards TN coast on/after Tuesday.
GFS continues to forecast a Northerly movement for 36hrs, then weaken and make a rapid S-W recurve towards central Tamilnadu coast on 11-Dec
No comments:
Post a Comment