Monday, November 18, 2013

Latest on Bay circulation "91B"

5:30pm, Wind analysis show that the circulation over E-central Bay is getting organized, currently positioned at 14.1 N , 88.3 E.
Pressure around 1007mb.
The nature of the circulation is elongated from North to South.

8pm, Satellite IR shows good convective activity over N,N-E,E quadrants and the system is seen getting a good circular feature.

NAVGEM model indicates a Westerly track and then W-S-W towards N Tamilnadu coast during next 36hrs.

But GFS model suggests a N-W or W-N-W track and then a small S-W drift towards S Andhra coast.
Both the models expect the system to make landfall as LOW on evening or midnight of Wednesday, 20-Nov.

Till Wednesday evening less showers for S Andhra coast, N,central Tamilnadu coast and #Chennai.
Showers expected to continue over W-ghats of Kerala, Tamilnadu, S,S-central Tamilnadu till evening of Wednesday, 20-Nov.

No comments:

Post a Comment