Saturday, November 23, 2013

92W - Now a Well marked LOW over S-E corner of Bay

Analysis at 11:30am show good Wind wrapping over its center.
Pressure around 1003 mb and winds upto 60 kmph.

Present location is plotted here...

As of latest numeric models, IMD GFS and NAVGEM model suggests a N Andhra coast or Odisha coast landfall as Cyclone on 29-Nov.

But COLA GFS suggests same zone as that of Cyclone Helen (central Andhra coast)
At present it has slowly drifted W-N-W during past 12hrs.
The present upper level winds in that zone will guide the system W-N-W and cross Andamans into Bay at around 10N, 92 / 91E in next 36hrs.

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