Thursday, October 10, 2013

"90W" is "02B" and will be Cyclone Phailin in 12hrs.

Latest analysis show that "02B" is nearing Cyclone intensity, and  has crossed Andaman Islands.
Soon it'll be named as "Phailin". 
Pressures around 993mb.
Winds reaching upto 75 kmph
Here's the latest position taken from GFS analysis at 5:30pm today.
Latest satellite IR at 11:30pm shows Heavy convective activity along it's core and the circulation is getting very well organized.

Almost ALL weather models NOW agree to the N-E Andhra coast and Odisha coast landfall on evening of Saturday, 12-Oct as "severe Cyclone".
During next 3 days, there's NO Western disturbance systems affecting the N,N-W India.
An anti-cyclone is expected to persist over Pakistan and adjoining N-W India till 13-Oct.
The upper level 200hpa JET is from East to West... this can steer the Cyclone to track West or W-N-W during next 3 days.

From today, N-E Andhra and Odisha coast should get ready to face this massive storm. !

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