Tuesday, October 08, 2013

"90W" in 36hrs it can be Cyclone Phailin

Latest analysis at 5:30pm, suggests that "90W" is now a marked LOW pressure system and gathering intensity on a rapid pace.
At present the pressure is around 1004mb and has tracked W-N-W, still in Andaman seas.
This is the latest location as per analysis.

Latest GFS model, suggests that the system will intensify into a Deep Depression in 24hrs and to Cyclone strength in 48hrs over E-Central Bay.

GFS and NCMRWF models now suggest a N-E Andhra coast and S Odisha coast landfall on midnight of Saturday, 12-Oct as Cyclone Phailin.
NAVGEM model suggests a Central, N-E Andhra coast as a Depression.
Here's the last visible satellite shot of "90W".. showing heavy convective activity near Center, W, N-W quadrant and over most of Andaman Islands.

Due to this system, HEAVY rain with HIGH winds expected over most of N,central Islands of Andaman during next 36hrs.

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