Thursday, May 09, 2013

"92 B" - Persists as a weak LOW over S-S-E Bay

12:30pm, Latest analysis show that "92 B" is still a weak LOW pressure system with pressures around 1007 mb.
Latest (1:30pm) satellite IR shows "Good convective activity seen along its Southern, Western quadrants"

Current Position is 7.0N , 90.9E.

Latest COLA model suggests that the system will become as a Depression on Saturday, 11-May and expected to track N-N-W into Bay. It may end up along Bangladesh or Myanmar after 15-May.

IMD-GFS model also suggests the same as that of COLA, and predicts a landfall as Depression along Bangladesh and Bengal coast on 16-May.

Latest NOGAPS model suggests that the system will become as a Deep Depression and cross Central Andhra coast on 16-May..!




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