Monday, May 06, 2013

"91B" and "92B" - Two circulations !!

According to NRL,
"91 B" is now located over 7.4 N , 74.3 E.
"92 B" is Fresh and located over 5.5 N , 87.9 E

Latest analysis show that the circulation is elongated in nature from East (S,S-E Bay) to West (Gulf mannar, S-E corner Arabian sea).

8pm, Satellite IR shows TWO circulations and its cloud activities...




Latest COLA model suggests a Depression over S. Bay on 10-May, and expects the system to move N-W after that.

IMD GFS model suggests almost the same, but after that it expects the system to move North into Bay.

All together a different track is projected by NOGAPS model. A depression is expected to form just S-E of Srilanka on 10-May and drift into Srilanka and then into Gulf Mannar in subsequent days. This is highly unlikely.


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