"03B" - Stationary, Dry and weakening. Rain expected !

4pm, Latest satellite IR shows some fresh convective activity around the core of "03B".
Positioned almost stationary at 15N, 86E.

IMD warning at 2pm
---------------------------------------

The depression over westcentral  Bay of Bengal  remained practically stationary and lay centred at 

1130 hrs IST of today the 19

th

 November 2012 near latitude 15.0

0

N and longitude 86.5

0

E, about 700 km 

east-northeast  of  Chennai  and  450  km  southeast  of  Visakhapatnam.  The  system  would  move  westsouthwestwards towards south Andhra Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu coasts and weaken further during 

next 24 hours.

Under the influence of this system, moderate rainfall would occur at many places over south coastal 

Andhra Pradesh, north coastal Tamilnadu and Puducherry on 20

th

 and 21

st

 November. Sea condition along 

and off Andhra Pradesh coast will be rough during next 24 hours. Fishermen along Andhra Pradesh, north 

Tamil Nadu and Puducherry coasts are advised to be cautious while venturing into sea during next 24 hours

Both NOGAPS and COLA model suggest a S.coastal Andhra landfall as Depression or LOW on noon/evening of 21-Nov.

It may weaken to a LOW over sea itself on 20-Nov.

Showers expected along S.Andhra coast, Chennai and N.Tamilnadu coast from evening of 20-Nov (or) from morning of 21-Nov.