Indian Weather Man (IWM)

As most of us are now wondering how and when the SWM is going to move ahead, and its future course, I thought it better to again Analise and prepare another another MW.
Vagaries will be publishing the next in the Monsoon Watch in the running series tonite.
We shall be discussing the behavior of the Monsoon this year, and how favourable/Unfavourable it has been vis-a-vis our forecasts. It is not new for the SWM to behave erratically, it just varies from our expectations.

eg: Vagaries had estimated a slow down in the progress after Moving into Mumbai on the 13th of June. SWM was forecasted to be stuck at 20N for some time after the progress into N.Konkan.
Reality: It is stuck at S.Konkan now.

These and the reasons will be discussed.
Draft is ready and final touches may take time, hence it will be published late tonite.
Lengthy reading is boring, so i will keep it short and details of meteorological explanations will be avoided.
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Regards,
Rajesh.