Wednesday, February 01, 2012

March-April-May that almost entire India is likely to witness below-normal temperatures


South peninsular India may expect to get some organised rainfall by the end of this week as an easterly wave comes calling across the Bay of Bengal. An IMD outlook valid for the next two days said that rainfall activity would increase over Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Rain or thundershowers could break out afresh at a few places over east Madhya Pradesh and north Chhattisgarh. Rains have been forecast also over west Madhya Pradesh, south Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Orissa, north Madhya Maharashtra, Vidarbha, north coastal Andhra Pradesh and Andaman and Nicobar Islands. The IMD has flagged the possibility of fog to shallow fog conditions mainly during the morning hours over isolated pockets of Punjab, Haryana, Delhi and the North-eastern States during the next two days.

SUMMER HEATING

The Tokyo-based Regional Institute for Global Change has said in its seasonal predictions for March-April-May that almost entire India is likely to witness below-normal temperatures. Heating up of the land through the summer is a must to set up the ideal pressure gradient for the impending monsoon to run in. These are initial indications yet, and would need to be watched on a monthly basis from now to arrive at any definitive trend. But it's also a given that the 2012 monsoon would break out against the background expected ‘ENSO-neutral' conditions in the equatorial Pacific.

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