"98B" - Not to become as Cyclone !

Position :: 3.0 N and 82.2 E
Pressure :: 1008mb


JTWC warning
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AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 3.2N 89.5E, 
APPROXIMATELY 510 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA. ANIMATED INFRARED 
SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALED A DISTURBED AREA OF CYCLONIC CIRCULATION 
TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SRI LANKA.  THIS AREA IS ON THE NORTHERN 
PERIPHERY OF AN EQUATORIAL BUFFER CELL IN SURFACE ANALYSIS. UPPER 
LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS THE AREA IS LOCATED UNDER A SMALL POCKET OF 
UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE, APPROXIMATELY 10 DEGREES SOUTH OF A RIDGE 
AXIS. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THIS AREA ARE 29-30 DEGREES 
CELSIUS.  GLOBAL MODELS HAVE BEEN AGGRESSIVELY BUILDING THIS 
CIRCULATION INTO A TROPICAL STORM OVER THE NEXT 48-60 HOURS. MAXIMUM 
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA 
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR 
THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 
HOURS IS LOW.

Latest Satellite IR shot of system
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Latest GFS model predicts that the system will travel WEST towards S. Srilanka on evening of 24-Nov. Then it'll move W-N-W into mouth of Gulf Mannar on 25-Nov and touch S.Tip of Tamilnadu and move into Arabian sea on evening of 26-Nov.

Heavy rain forecast for central, N.coastal Tamilnadu, Chennai and Kanyakumari district of Tamilnadu from 25-Nov to 28-Nov.