Position :: 8.2 N and 76 E
Wind :: up to 60 Km/Hr
Pressure :: 996mb
JTWC warning
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JTWC projected path
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Latest satellite IR shot
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Meanwhile North East monsoon will be Very active along entire Tamilnadu coast. Heavy rain forecast for entire Tamilnadu coast for another 2 days.
Wind :: up to 60 Km/Hr
Pressure :: 996mb
JTWC warning
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260300Z POSITION NEAR 8.5N 75.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05A, LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 105 NM SOUTH OF COCHIN, INDIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 14 KNOTS DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS. MICROWAVE SATELLITE IMAGERY REVEALS FORMATIVE CONVECTIVE BANDING AROUND THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) HAVE FURTHER CONSOLIDATED. THE INITIAL POSITION WAS EXTRAPOLATED FROM A 252127Z AMSU-B MICROWAVE IMAGE AND VALIDATED BY A SURFACE OBSERVATION FROM SOUTHWESTERN INDIA. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SUPPORTED BY DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND KNES AND BY RECENT SCATTEROMETRY DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS TC 05B IS SITUATED ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN ANTICYCLONE, WITH EXCELLENT RADIAL DIVERGENT OUTFLOW. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE VALUES ARE HIGH (28-29 DEGREES CELSIUS). NUMERICAL MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN OVERALL AGREEMENT AND TAKES THE SYSTEM NORTHWESTWARD BEFORE RECURVING IT TO THE NORTHEAST AT THE LATER TAUS, ALTHOUGH THERE IS SOME DISAGREEMENT ON WHEN RECURVATURE WILL OCCUR. THIS FORECAST TRACK IS SLIGHTLY WEST OF CONSENSUS IN RESPONSE TO AN APPROACHING MID-LATITUDE TROUGH. THIS WARNING SUPERSEDES AND CANCELS REF A, NAVMARFCSTCEN 250751Z NOV 11 TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (WTIO21 PGTW 250800 ) MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 260000Z IS 11 FEET.
JTWC projected path
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Latest satellite IR shot
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Meanwhile North East monsoon will be Very active along entire Tamilnadu coast. Heavy rain forecast for entire Tamilnadu coast for another 2 days.
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