Correct agree with you. First onset of NE monsoon did not bring any significant rain. It seems western counterpart - SWM, Arbian sea is more active. Today we see clear at east cost- Bay - so TN,Rayalseema may not receive much awaited rain.
It is quite unusual for Arabian sea to become active- "churn the whirl" during oct/nov/dec. But we observing this for past 3-5years. Usually they take away much if clouds from east bay and this results in less rain over southeast India/Sri Lanka. Usually tragectory will be Arbian sea low form in south Arbian sea - intensifies as depression - NE/NW - India - Maharashtra/Gujrat/Pak or hits Africa.
Rajesh in earlier blog has given very good technical explaination about NE monsoon- Thanks for this.
But we all wish south India bountiful rain with Gods blessing this Diwali. May entire country rich/poor prosper.
For current water crisis to tide away, south India needs atleast 2 months of heavy rain. Need to see how long NEM can sustain??? Signals of Western disturbances and early winters which can bring temperatures of bay down?
Correct agree with you. First onset of NE monsoon did not bring any significant rain. It seems western counterpart - SWM, Arbian sea is more active. Today we see clear at east cost- Bay - so TN,Rayalseema may not receive much awaited rain.
ReplyDeleteIt is quite unusual for Arabian sea to become active- "churn the whirl" during oct/nov/dec. But we observing this for past 3-5years. Usually they take away much if clouds from east bay and this results in less rain over southeast India/Sri Lanka. Usually tragectory will be Arbian sea low form in south Arbian sea - intensifies as depression - NE/NW - India - Maharashtra/Gujrat/Pak or hits Africa.
Rajesh in earlier blog has given very good technical explaination about NE monsoon- Thanks for this.
But we all wish south India bountiful rain with Gods blessing this Diwali. May entire country rich/poor prosper.
For current water crisis to tide away, south India needs atleast 2 months of heavy rain. Need to see how long NEM can sustain??? Signals of Western disturbances and early winters which can bring temperatures of bay down?
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