Friday, November 05, 2010

05 B update [051110/0600 UTC]



05B
TROPICAL STORM 05B 6:00UTC 05November2010
UW-CIMSS Experimental Vertical Shear and TC Intensity Trend Estimates

Current Conditions (from JTWC) :
Latitude : 9:24:56 N
Longitude : 88:08:18 E
Intensity (MSLP) : 991.0 hPa

Max Pot Int (MPI,from Emanuel) : 893.7 hPa
MPI differential (MSLP-MPI) : 97.3 hPa

CIMSS Vertical Shear Magnitude : 8.1 m/s
Direction : 103.6 deg

Outlook for TC Intensification Based on Current
Env. Shear Values and MPI Differential
Forecast Interval : 6hr 12hr 18hr 24hr
F F F F

Legend : VF-Very Favorable F-Favorable N-Neutral
U-Unfavorable VU-Very Unfavorable

-- Mean Intensity Trend (negative indicates TC deepening) --
6hr 12hr 18hr 24hr
VF <-3.0mb/ 6hr <-6.0mb/12hr <-9.0mb/18hr <-12.0mb/24hr F -3.0 - -1.5 -6.0 - -3.0 -9.0 - -4.5 -12.0 - -6.0 N -1.5 - +1.5 -3.0 - +3.0 -4.5 - +4.5 -6.0 - +6.0 U +1.5 - +3.0 +3.0 - +6.0 +4.5 - +9.0 +6.0 -+12.0 VU >+3.0 >+6.0 >+9.0 >+12.0

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