Scientists have blamed this year's drought on a rare fierce war of temperatures over the Bay of Bengal and the Indian Ocean, which prevented formation of monsoon clouds.
Despite its early onset over Kerala, the southwest monsoon played truant for most of June this year due to unusual heating up of the Indian Ocean as compared to the Bay of Bengal, senior meteorologists P A Francis and Sulochana Gadgil have found.
Indian monsoon is sustained by formation of clouds over a warm Bay. Normally, the sea surface temperatures in the Bay are slightly higher than sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Indian Ocean region.
Analysis of sea surface temperatures for June showed that the Bay was colder than the equatorial Indian Ocean which was warmer than average
It seems even during month of November cyclone formation is towards Arabian sea rather than Indian ocean. So I feel it will be weaker Northeast monsoon for whole season. Mumbai rains started in June with very vigorous southwest monsoon in July/Aug/Sep and still in November we are receiving rains. Actually cyclones should have gone towards dry TamilNadu. Poor people will benefit from water.
ReplyDeleteIt seems even during month of November cyclone formation is towards Arabian sea rather than Indian ocean. So I feel it will be weaker Northeast monsoon for whole season. Mumbai rains started in June with very vigorous southwest monsoon in July/Aug/Sep and still in November we are receiving rains. Actually cyclones should have gone towards dry TamilNadu. Poor people will benefit from water.
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