Tuesday, November 24, 2009

First LOW over Bay of Bengal for this NE season .. "95B"

Here's the latest visible shot of that system..


and IR shot.



















And here's the advisory from JTWC ..
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THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 5.1N 91.1E,


IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 5.0N 91.3E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM WEST OF THE

NORTHERN TIP OF SUMATRA. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY

INDICATES IMPROVED CONSOLIDATION OF THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER

(LLCC). A 231940Z AMSR-E IMAGE DEPICTS A DEFINED LLCC WITH CURVED

CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT. A 230336Z

ASCAT PASS SHOWED A 20-25 KNOT SYSTEM. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS

INDICATES THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED WELL SOUTH OF THE SUBTROPICAL

RIDGE AXIS AND IS UNDER MODERATE, EASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. DEEP

CONVECTION IS BEING FUELED BY DIFFLUENT FLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM

SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA

LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR

THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24

HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.

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NO cyclone warning yet from IMD.

1 comment:

  1. Let us hope that low pressure will bring torrential rains to TamilNadu. Water scarcity and drought will reduce. But there is an equal probability that low pressure goes to Orissa,Calcutta,Burma if it takes bay of bengal path. Otherway if it takes Arabian Sea way then again cyclone for Mumbai. Already Mumbai had 5 months of rain.

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