Gujarat: Late monsoon coming with a bang!

Late monsoon for northern India. Now Gujarat prepares for late monsoon with a bang.

Yesterday's LOW pressure system "93A" is now organized itself into a potential Arabian sea Cyclone.

JTWC is tracking the system as a potential Cyclone.

JTWC warning:: ***********************************

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 18.3N
71.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 71.4E, APPROXIMATELY 85 NM WEST-
NORTHWEST OF MUMBAI, INDIA. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED IMAGERY AND
A 221611Z ASCAT PASS INDICATE THAT A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) HAS CONTINUED TO DEVELOP OVER THE PAST 12 HOURS WITH DEEP
CONVECTION MOVING OVER THE LLCC. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS SHOWS A DUAL
CHANNEL OUTFLOW BEGINNING TO SETUP OVER THE LLCC, ENHANCED BY A
MID-LATITUDE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE PAKISTAN/INDIA BORDER
REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT
12 TO 24 HOURS. ADDITIONALLY, IT IS IN LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
HOWEVER, IF THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO TRACK TOWARDS THE COAST, LAND
INFLUENCES COULD HAMPER THE INFLOW TO THE LLCC. SEA SURFACE TEMPER-
ATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE REGION.
INTENSITY ESTIMATES ARE BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM PGTW AND
KNES. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 27 TO 32
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1001 MB.
DUE TO INCREASED CONSOLIDATION AND ORGANIZATION OVER THE LAST 6
HOURS, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS GOOD.
***********************************

Here's the JTWC warning graphic...

Latest satellite pic shows...

Good circulation cloud mass west of Mumbai and in striking distance from South-Gujarat.

Monsoon clouds covering almost FUll of Bay of Bengal. And monsoon is active over south-Kerala.